U. S. Merchant Marine Academy '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 35.91 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.111 rating points from 27 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | U. S. Merchant Marine Academy | 1.57 | 53.84 | 50.00 | 6 of 11 | 17 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | U. S. Merchant Marine Academy | 1.14 | 41.86 | 31.82 | 8 of 11 | 8 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10 (fleet 1.53) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–12 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 0–12 against 0.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | KP Open Team Race | skipper | 1.30 | -1.70 | 0–12 | 0.6 | ≤−3.00 | 0.8 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Susan Rogers Women's | Skipper | A | 1 | 12.0 | — |
| KP Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.7 | -0.77 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.1 | 2.01 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.9 | 2.05 |
| David Lee Arnoff | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.4 | -0.46 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.6 | 0.49 |
| Susan Rogers Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.7 | 2.17 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 15.6 | 0.84 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.5 | 1.42 |
| MAISA Top 9 Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.7 | 0.67 |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.4 | 0.10 |
| CofC Women's Fall Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.1 | -0.33 |
| Charleston Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 6 | 11.3 | 1.06 |
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 11.1 | 1.11 |
| KP Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 0% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.9 | 2.45 |
| Admiral’s Cup | Skipper | A | 4 | 13.8 | 1.47 |
| 87th Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.5 | 0.28 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.8 | -1.73 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 11.3 | 1.42 |
| Women's ACC Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 14.1 | 1.36 |
| Susan Rogers Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.0 | -0.53 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A | Skipper | A | 2 | 15.0 | 2.26 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 14.8 | 1.12 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.1 | 2.06 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Seawolf Women's Spring Open Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 2.2 | -0.21 |
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.6 | 1.84 |
| Hanbury Trophy | Crew | B | 10 | 5.8 | -0.41 |
| Eastern Women's National Semi-final Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 17.1 | -0.13 |
| America Trophy - Conference Championship | Crew | B | 4 | 16.0 | -0.25 |
| Admiral's Cup | Crew | B | 5 | 2.2 | +0.59 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.0 | -0.84 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.3 | 0.96 |
| Susan Rogers Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 13.4 | 0.81 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.1 | 1.52 |
| CofC Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 13.6 | -3.46 |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championships Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 16.1 | -0.20 |
| 2024 Rose Bowl Regatta | Crew | B | 8 | 8.0 | -0.01 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
