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Hanbury Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 36 38 74
2 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 45 34 79
3 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 47 35 82
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 56 30 86
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 44 58 102
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 36 69 105
7 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 63 63 126
8 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 68 84 152
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 88 76 164
10 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 89 105 194
11 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 90 104 194
12 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 140 MRP 107 MRP 247 MRP
13 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 126 128 254
14 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 122 143 265
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 6 10 1 4 BKD 6 1 2 1 36 Adam Larson '24
Jacob Friend '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 4 OCS 2 1 1 2 3 2 36 Landon Cormie '27 [1-10]
Brooke Bertrand '26 [1-5]
Henry Haddon '25 [6-10]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 3 3 8 7 2 8 6 1 3 44 Lars Osell '24
Annika Vanderhorst '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 5 1 7 6 3 2 7 5 7 45 Sam Riley '27
Isabelle Kanach '25
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 1 6 4 1 BKD 4 5 BKD 9 47 Valerio Palamara '24
Tyler Brown '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 6 4 8 5 9 4 5 3 7 5 56 Olivia Sowa '24 [1-10]
Shea Hoffacker '27 [1-6]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [7-10]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 5 7 11 3 8 8 7 4 6 4 63 Joshua Bendura '26
Berend Vandermeer '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 8 8 5 2 5 6 11 9 4 10 68 Aston Atherton '26
Summer Duba '25
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 9 11 2 6 11 11 13 8 9 8 88 Joseph Bonacci '25 [1-10]
Nora Ciak '27 [1-4, 7-10]
Hunter Ward '25 [5-6]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 10 9 9 3 9 10 12 11 6 89 Andrew Montague '25 [1-10]
Joseph Liberatore '25 [1-2]
Laura Rhodes '24 [3-10]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 12 7 10 10 5 3 10 10 12 90 William Roberts '26
Ellen Toberman '25
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 12 13 13 12 13 13 9 13 13 11 122 Patrick Cashin '24
Isabella Hughes '24
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 13 14 12 13 14 12 12 11 12 13 126 Sam Woodley '26
Abbi Barnette '26
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 14 9 14 11 12 10 14 14 8 14 140 MRP Luke Manternach '26
Arturo Soriano Iii '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 3 9 1 1 5 3 1 1 3 3 30 Benjamin Usher '27
Annika Milstien '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 2 8 6 1 1 5 5 1 4 34 Milo Miller '27
Molly Hanson '27
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 5 1 4 4 3 2 2 8 4 2 35 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 4 3 7 2 6 3 2 2 1 38 Robert Chase '26
Marc Hauenstein '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 6 2 2 6 8 8 7 11 6 58 Reed Mcallister '27
Katherine Mason '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 6 5 5 3 7 7 7 6 5 12 63 Grace Watlington '26 [1-10]
Walter Roou '25 [1-8]
Ellie Mcfall '24 [9-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 8 6 10 4 4 6 4 12 11 69 James Bounds '27
Mary Govan '27
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 7 9 5 10 13 4 3 6 8 76 Kennedy Jones '24 [1-10]
Laurel Krause '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Grayson Wright '25 [3-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 10 3 10 8 13 5 12 9 9 5 84 Laura Smith '26 [1-6]
Sebastian Beavers '26 [7-10]
Noah Hubbard '26 [1-6]
Gail Schneider '25 [7-10]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 12 12 12 8 10 9 12 7 10 104 Advik Eswaran '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nicholas Lorenzen '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Hali Liu '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 11 11 11 12 11 11 10 10 9 105 Maxwell Penders '25 [1-10]
James Unger '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Madalyn Oliver '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 10 7 9 9 9 10 11 8 7 107 MRP Aidan Young '24
Daniel Hale '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 13 13 13 13 11 12 13 13 13 14 128 Erin Winters '25
Tonya Hakim '25
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 14 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 14 14 13 143 Abigail Eck '24
Cheyenne Fair '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 11122334455
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 22233445566
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates3344556677
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners11111212131314141515
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks4455667788
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror66778810101111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack556677881010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788101011111212
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers881010111112121313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10101111121213131414
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks121213131414151511
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1313141415151122
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies14141515112233
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151511223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 11122334455
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 22233445566
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates3344556677
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners11111212131314141515
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks4455667788
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror66778810101111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack556677881010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788101011111212
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers881010111112121313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10101111121213131414
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks121213131414151511
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1313141415151122
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies14141515112233
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151511223344
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Joshua Bendura '26 Berend Vandermeer '27
Captains 1 Grace Watlington '26 [1-10] Walter Roou '25 [1-8]
Ellie Mcfall '24 [9-10]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Aston Atherton '26 Summer Duba '25
Captains 2 Laura Smith '26 [1-6]
Sebastian Beavers '26 [7-10]		 Noah Hubbard '26 [1-6]
Gail Schneider '25 [7-10]
Hampton University Hampton University Valerio Palamara '24 Tyler Brown '26
Pirates Stefano Palamara '25 Tommaso Ciaglia '25
Monmouth University Monmouth University Patrick Cashin '24 Isabella Hughes '24
Hawks Abigail Eck '24 Cheyenne Fair '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Olivia Sowa '24 [1-10] Shea Hoffacker '27 [1-6]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [7-10]
Red Terror Benjamin Usher '27 Annika Milstien '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Adam Larson '24 Jacob Friend '25
Wolfpack Robert Chase '26 Marc Hauenstein '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Sam Riley '27 Isabelle Kanach '25
Monarchs Milo Miller '27 Molly Hanson '27
Princeton University Princeton University William Roberts '26 Ellen Toberman '25
Tigers Advik Eswaran '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nicholas Lorenzen '27 [3-4, 7-8]		 Hali Liu '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Landon Cormie '27 [1-10] Brooke Bertrand '26 [1-5]
Henry Haddon '25 [6-10]
Seahawks James Bounds '27 Mary Govan '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Lars Osell '24 Annika Vanderhorst '27
Mariners Reed Mcallister '27 Katherine Mason '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Sam Woodley '26 Abbi Barnette '26
Seahawks Erin Winters '25 Tonya Hakim '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Andrew Montague '25 [1-10] Joseph Liberatore '25 [1-2]
Laura Rhodes '24 [3-10]
Wahoos Maxwell Penders '25 [1-10] James Unger '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Madalyn Oliver '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Luke Manternach '26 Arturo Soriano Iii '27
Hokies Aidan Young '24 Daniel Hale '27
Washington College Washington College Joseph Bonacci '25 [1-10] Nora Ciak '27 [1-4, 7-10]
Hunter Ward '25 [5-6]
Shoremen Kennedy Jones '24 [1-10] Laurel Krause '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Grayson Wright '25 [3-6]

Conditions — 03/23/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1004.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.1 kn
avg  ·  max 20.0 kn
Gusts to 38.1 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1004.7 hPa Rain0.46 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn · N 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →