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Women's Regatta at KP Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 120
2 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 169
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 170
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 224
5 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 238
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 295
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 312
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 413
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 443
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 A 6 1 4 2 2 1 1 7 2 1 9 1 2 5 44 Bridget Green '25
Sophia Mulvania '26
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 B 2 3 5 11 11 4 2 5 1 3 1 7 6 10 71 Pilar Cundey '27
Kathleen Keller '28
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 B 7 14 2 9 9 7 4 1 3 10 2 2 4 2 76 Winborne Majette '27
Sophia Fogarty '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 A 9 2 1 7 1 2 13 4 6 2 11 9 9 3 79 Sophia Devling '26
Amelia Neumann '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 B 11 13 8 6 8 3 9 14 4 5 5 3 1 1 91 Gilda Dondona '28
Sophia Pearce '26
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 4 6 3 3 16 6 3 9 11 4 13 4 7 8 97 Adra Ivancich '26 [1-14]
Caroline Dannacher '25 [1-9]
Alice Nuyttens '27 [10-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 A 12 9 11 1 7 13 5 8 8 6 3 8 3 4 98 Ava Gustafson '28
Kate Moran '27
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 3 12 6 8 6 5 6 3 10 9 8 10 8 13 107 Elizabeth Starck '25
Ella Donaldson '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 8 5 12 12 4 10 10 6 BKD 8 6 13 5 7 114 Lizzie Cochran '27
Rebecca Keller '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 5 10 15 4 5 9 7 11 17 7 7 5 10 15 127 Margaux Cowles '27 [1-14]
Anna Hoffman '26 [1-8, 10-14]
Alice Nuyttens '27 [9]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 13 7 9 5 10 14 8 2 5 14 15 6 12 11 131 Brook Wood '25 [1-9]
Bennett O'Keefe '27 [10-14]
Bennett O'Keefe '27 [1-8]
Maya Mahoney '27 [9-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 1 8 7 14 3 8 14 10 7 13 4 16 16 12 133 Annika Vanderhorst '27 [1-14]
Holly Sugrue '27 [1-8]
Genevieve Wagnon '28 [9-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 16 4 16 10 13 12 11 16 12 17 14 11 13 14 179 Katherine Mason '27
Hanna Sophia Dornik '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 15 11 10 15 12 11 12 12 9 15 10 14 17 18 181 Lauren Murray '28 [1-6]
Anna Robertson '28 [7-14]
Nora Donahue '28 [1-6]
Alana Shigekane '27 [7-9]
Parker Laing '28 [10-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 10 16 14 16 17 15 15 15 15 11 16 12 11 9 192 Carly Mraz '25
Virginia Cobbs '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 17 17 18 13 14 17 17 18 13 12 17 15 14 16 218 Nicole Ostapowicz '28 [1-14]
Grace Wilson '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Ian Guzman '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 18 18 13 18 15 16 18 13 14 18 18 18 18 6 221 Evelyn Walsh '26
Kate Feiner '26
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 14 15 17 17 18 18 16 17 16 16 12 17 15 17 225 Eva Leggett '24 [1-14]
Ash Clements '28 [1-9, 13-14]
Ian Guzman '27 [10-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 111223344556677
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 222334455667788
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 333445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4455667788991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen556677889910101111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners889910101111121213131414
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers7788991010111112121313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers99101011111212131314141515
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers66778899101011111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 11010111112121313141415151616
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 21111121213131414151516161717
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 31212131314141515161617171818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams13131414151516161717181811
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen141415151616171718181122
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners171718181122334455
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers16161717181811223344
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1818112233445566
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1515161617171818112233

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.50 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →