University of Pennsylvania '26
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 14.97 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.090 rating points from 164 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 | University of Pennsylvania | 2.33 | 70.26 | 15.00 | 9 of 10 | 59 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | University of Pennsylvania | 2.01 | 61.15 | 12.50 | 11 of 12 | 40 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | University of Pennsylvania | 2.27 | 64.74 | 27.78 | 7 of 9 | 8 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 69–33 (68%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 5 | — | 33–17 |
| Spring 2023 | 6 | — | 36–16 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 9 graded regattas (98 matches) the record is 66–32 against 68.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.5). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-13 | MAISA Women's Team Race Championships | crew | 3.06 | 2.19 | 10–5 | 12.0 | −0.87 | 1.4 | 96% |
| 2024-04-06 | MAISA Open Team Race/Prosser Trophy | crew | 2.68 | 1.40 | 1–3 | 2.0 | −1.28 | 0.9 | 96% |
| 2024-03-23 | Seahawk Women's Team Race | crew | 2.96 | 2.76 | 15–6 | 15.7 | −0.20 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2024-03-02 | DC Team Race / GW | crew | 2.67 | 2.16 | 5–3 | 5.7 | −0.50 | 0.3 | 85% |
| 2023-04-15 | MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship | crew | 2.63 | 2.80 | 15–3 | 14.6 | +0.17 | 0.0 | 56% |
| 2023-04-01 | Finger Lakes Women's Team Race | crew | 2.43 | 2.70 | 7–5 | 6.4 | +0.28 | 0.1 | 48% |
| 2023-03-25 | Jen Harris Team Race | crew | 2.39 | 2.24 | 3–4 | 3.2 | −0.15 | 0.0 | 72% |
| 2023-03-11 | St. Mary's Women's Team Race | crew | 2.64 | 1.82 | 2–2 | 2.6 | −0.82 | 0.4 | 91% |
| 2023-03-04 | ODU Women's Team Race | crew | 2.30 | 3.63 | 8–1 | 6.2 | +1.32 | 1.5 | 17% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 12.2 | -0.17 |
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 8.5 | -0.01 |
| War Memorial | Crew | A | 4 | 9.2 | -0.23 |
| Susan Rogers Women's Invite Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 11.8 | -0.09 |
| Oyster Bowl | Crew | A | 9 | 8.1 | -0.04 |
| Nevins Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 13.8 | -0.35 |
| Jesuit Invite | Crew | B | 12 | 2.2 | +0.32 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Dinghy National Championship Women's | Crew | B | 1 | 14.0 | -0.02 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 21 | 71% | — |
| MAISA Open Team Race/Prosser Trophy | Crew | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| MAISA Women's Team Race Championships Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Crew | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| DC Team Race / GW | Crew | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| America Trophy - Conference Championship | Crew | B | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Regatta Women's | Crew | A | 12 | 10.6 | +0.21 |
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 6.8 | -0.15 |
| Susan Rogers Women's Invite Women's | Crew | A | 9 | 8.7 | -0.15 |
| Oyster Bowl Women's Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 6.3 | -0.01 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championship Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 4.0 | +0.05 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Crew | TR | 11 | 46% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 11 | 46% | — |
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 9 | 89% | — |
| MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship Women's | Crew | TR | 18 | 83% | — |
| Jen Harris Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Finger Lakes Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 6.8 | -0.08 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Top 9 Open | Crew | A | 12 | 11.4 | — |
| New York Maritime Fall Open | Crew | A | 2 | 7.5 | — |
| Navy Women's Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 4.2 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Crew | A | 4 | 5.8 | — |
| Big Red Invite | Crew | A | 3 | 16.3 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 5.5 | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Women's Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 9.7 | — |
| Kings Point Dinghy Open | Crew | B | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 7.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
