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New York Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 25 24 49
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 39 25 64
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 18 47 65
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 32 36 68
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 39 31 70
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 36 45 81
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 48 45 93
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 75 29 104
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 57 91 LOP 148 LOP
10 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 72 76 148
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 66 87 153
12 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 77 82 159
13 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 66 97 163
14 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 97 85 182
15 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 96 93 189
16 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 104 92 196
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 3 1 1 1 8 3 18 Atlee Kohl '25
Teddy Bueres '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 1 7 5 6 1 1 25 Hayden Earl '25 [1-7]
Sophia Mulvania '26 [1-4]
Sophia Fogarty '25 [5-7]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 2 4 7 2 6 9 32 Jack Derry '25
Daniel Neville '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 7 3 3 7 2 8 36 Connor Rosow '24
Magdelaina Putnam '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 5 6 6 10 5 2 39 Cole Woodworth '26 [1-6]
Benjamin Honig '26 [7]
Connor Fischetti '26 [1-4]
Anna Hoffman '26 [5-6]
Caroline Dannacher '25 [7]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 7 4 5 2 5 10 6 39 Calvin Schmid '26 [1-6]
Everett Botwinick '26 [7]
Everett Botwinick '26 [1-4]
Millay Metz '26 [5-7]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 BKD 11 12 4 7 4 48 Parker Purrington '24 [1-7]
Cadence Goodnight '26 [1-4]
Tyler Brown '26 [5-7]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 11 2 4 9 12 10 57 Peter Lobaugh '24
Leah Spadaro '25
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 9 8 9 11 4 DSQ 66 Ryan Downey '25
Charles Bedford '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 12 10 11 13 3 5 66 Ryan Potter '24
Alex Forrest '26
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers DNF 6 9 8 12 9 11 72 Brooks Turcotte '26
Shawn Tirone '25
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 10 14 14 3 11 12 75 Asher Green '24 [1-7]
Anna Eaton '24 [1-4]
Robert Rubin '23 [5-7]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 10 8 13 10 8 15 13 77 Kai Rauch '24
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 14 12 15 14 14 14 96 Jonathan Kelly '23
Laurel Krause '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers DNF DNF 16 13 BKD 13 7 97 Tyler Egeli '24 [1-7]
Jewelnguyen Huynh '23 [1, 3-4]
Robert Houde '23 [2, 5-7]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 14 13 15 16 15 16 15 104 Patrick Mcbride '25 [1-7]
Benjamin Garretson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Liberatore '25 [3-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 1 4 6 2 6 2 24 J.J. Smith '24
Rocco Cappetta '24
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 5 3 6 1 1 3 6 25 Rayne Duff '25 [1-6]
Payne Donaldson '24 [7]
Walter Wolfe '26 [1-6]
George Hambleton '21 [7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 4 5 BKD 4 6 2 4 29 Connor Mraz '23
Nelson Chow '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 6 8 5 9 1 1 31 Samuel Gavula '24
Joshua Zeelander '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 4 2 3 3 5 DNF 36 Luke Zylinski '26
Mia Quinlan '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 10 5 7 7 4 5 45 Andrew Ciszewski '25 [1-7]
Lindsey Kaufmann '26 [1-4]
Megan Geith '24 [5-7]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 2 3 2 4 7 DNF 45 Clark Morris '26 [1-7]
Cindy Wang '25 [1-4]
Devin Hart '23 [5-7]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 7 1 DSQ 5 8 3 47 Steven Hardee '26
Magnus Weissenberger '25
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 11 13 10 12 14 8 76 Finn Mahan '26
William Caggiano '27
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 9 10 14 16 11 9 82 Ryan Magill '22 [1-7]
Morgan Bittmann '24 [1-6]
Jessica Schaefer '23 [7]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 14 7 8 15 15 DNF 85 Andy Leshaw '25
John Van Zanten '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 16 9 12 8 13 DNF 87 Luke Quine '23 [1-4]
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [5-7]
Charlie Kantor '25 [1-4]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 8 DSQ 9 10 9 7 91 LOP Connor Bennett '26
Ava Brimicombe '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos DNF 15 11 15 14 10 10 92 Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-7]
Luca Bonanno '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Newton '24 [3-4, 7]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 13 12 13 11 12 DNF 93 Hartley Meyer '25
Andrew Tran '23
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 14 12 14 11 13 16 DNF 97 Clay Myers '25
Etienne Quille '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1122334
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears101099887
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2211161615
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3344556
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4433221
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111212131314
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers77889910
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5566778
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1212111110109
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6655443
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8877665
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos991010111112
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13131414151516
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141313121211
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen15151616112
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers16161515141413

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1122334
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears101099887
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2211161615
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3344556
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4433221
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111212131314
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers77889910
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5566778
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1212111110109
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6655443
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8877665
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos991010111112
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13131414151516
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141313121211
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen15151616112
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers16161515141413
School / Team SkipperCrew
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Downey '25 Charles Bedford '24
Keelhaulers Clay Myers '25 Etienne Quille '25
Cornell University Cornell University Hayden Earl '25 [1-7] Sophia Mulvania '26 [1-4]
Sophia Fogarty '25 [5-7]
Big Red J.J. Smith '24 Rocco Cappetta '24
Fordham University Fordham University Peter Lobaugh '24 Leah Spadaro '25
Rams Connor Bennett '26 Ava Brimicombe '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Tyler Egeli '24 [1-7] Jewelnguyen Huynh '23 [1, 3-4]
Robert Houde '23 [2, 5-7]
Buccaneers Andy Leshaw '25 John Van Zanten '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Parker Purrington '24 [1-7] Cadence Goodnight '26 [1-4]
Tyler Brown '26 [5-7]
Monarchs Andrew Ciszewski '25 [1-7] Lindsey Kaufmann '26 [1-4]
Megan Geith '24 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Asher Green '24 [1-7] Anna Eaton '24 [1-4]
Robert Rubin '23 [5-7]
Tigers Connor Mraz '23 Nelson Chow '23
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Brooks Turcotte '26 Shawn Tirone '25
Privateers Finn Mahan '26 William Caggiano '27
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Kai Rauch '24 Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Seawolves Ryan Magill '22 [1-7] Morgan Bittmann '24 [1-6]
Jessica Schaefer '23 [7]
Tufts University Tufts University Connor Rosow '24 Magdelaina Putnam '25
Jumbos Clark Morris '26 [1-7] Cindy Wang '25 [1-4]
Devin Hart '23 [5-7]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Jack Derry '25 Daniel Neville '25
Bears Luke Zylinski '26 Mia Quinlan '24
University of Miami University of Miami Atlee Kohl '25 Teddy Bueres '24
Hurricanes Steven Hardee '26 Magnus Weissenberger '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Cole Woodworth '26 [1-6]
Benjamin Honig '26 [7]		 Connor Fischetti '26 [1-4]
Anna Hoffman '26 [5-6]
Caroline Dannacher '25 [7]
Quakers Samuel Gavula '24 Joshua Zeelander '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Ryan Potter '24 Alex Forrest '26
Catamounts Luke Quine '23 [1-4]
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [5-7]		 Charlie Kantor '25 [1-4]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Patrick Mcbride '25 [1-7] Benjamin Garretson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Liberatore '25 [3-4, 7]
Wahoos Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-7] Luca Bonanno '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Newton '24 [3-4, 7]
Washington College Washington College Jonathan Kelly '23 Laurel Krause '24
Shoremen Hartley Meyer '25 Andrew Tran '23
Webb Institute Webb Institute Calvin Schmid '26 [1-6]
Everett Botwinick '26 [7]		 Everett Botwinick '26 [1-4]
Millay Metz '26 [5-7]
Clippers Rayne Duff '25 [1-6]
Payne Donaldson '24 [7]		 Walter Wolfe '26 [1-6]
George Hambleton '21 [7]

Conditions — 10/01/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1015.9 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.4 kn
avg  ·  max 17.6 kn
Gusts to 33.0 kn
From NE (48°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1015.9 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn · NE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →