Ryan Downey

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat0.98unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)24Spring 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.73 (fleet 2.38) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.01 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 44–43 (51%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2025110–9—
Spring 2024213–9—
Spring 2023218–18—
Fall 202113–7—
1.41.51.61.7Spring 2023Spring 2024Spring 2025McIntyre Team Race (2023-02-25): rating 1.59, fleet rating alone 1.58, offset +0.01; record 7-8 in this boatPCCSC Carter Ford Team Race Championship (2023-04-08): rating 1.58, fleet rating alone 1.57, offset +0.01; record 11-10 in this boatMustang Team Race (2024-02-03): rating 1.55, fleet rating alone 1.53, offset +0.02; record 4-0 in this boatCarter Ford Open PCCSC Team Race Championship (2024-04-13): rating 1.55, fleet rating alone 1.52, offset +0.03; record 9-9 in this boatPCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship (2025-04-12): rating 1.61, fleet rating alone 1.62, offset -0.01; record 10-9 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 6 graded regattas (87 matches) the record is 44–43 against 43.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-12PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championshipskipper2.032.2610–99.2+0.230.144%
2024-04-13Carter Ford Open PCCSC Team Race Championshipskipper2.000.939–911.4−1.071.998%
2024-02-03Mustang Team Raceskipper1.834.834–03.4≥+3.000.855%
2023-04-08PCCSC Carter Ford Team Race Championshipskipper1.952.3111–1010.0+0.360.339%
2023-02-25McIntyre Team Raceskipper1.872.137–86.6+0.260.155%
2021-11-06Gaucho Fall Team Raceskipper1.572.313–72.3+0.740.441%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat Skipper A 9 5.4 —
PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship Skipper TR 19 53% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Shields Trophy Keelboat Skipper A 7 4.3 —
Kennedy Cup Keelboat Skipper A 8 4.8 —
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat Crew A 9 5.2 —
PCCSC South Designate Semis Skipper A 10 11.1 1.57
Mustang Team Race Skipper TR 4 100% —
Carter Ford Open PCCSC Team Race Championship Skipper TR 18 50% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
UCSD Open Skipper A 10 6.8 —
Top-9 Invite Skipper B 8 14.5 —
Stoney Burke JV Skipper A 5 4.0 —
Shields Trophy Keelboat Crew A 7 3.0 —
Kennedy Cup Keelboat Crew A 3 4.7 —
Fall Pacific Coast Championship Skipper B 10 4.0 —
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Top-9 Open Skipper A 3 10.7 -0.86
Rainier Cup Varsity Skipper B 8 1.4 3.67
Port of LA Harbor Cup Keelboat Crew A 7 4.3 —
PCCSC Carter Ford Team Race Championship Skipper TR 21 52% —
Pacific Coast Open Fleet Race Championships Skipper A 13 6.7 2.23
McIntyre Team Race Skipper TR 15 47% —
Keelhauler Open Skipper B 13 2.8 1.00
Jeff Simon Memorial - Open Skipper A 8 5.9 2.64
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Shields Trophy Keelboat Crew A 5 4.0 —
PCCSC Match Race Conference Championship Skipper TR 8 12% —
New York Maritime Fall Open Skipper A 6 8.2 2.36
Fall Pacific Coast Championship Skipper A 7 10.0 1.49
Spring 2022 Team page Season
PCCSC South Designate Skipper A 10 6.9 2.94
Fall 2021 Team page Season
UCSD Frosh Soph Skipper A 7 6.6 1.33
Stoney Burke JV Skipper A 9 4.2 2.23
Gaucho Fall Team Race Skipper TR 10 30% —
Fall PCC JV Skipper B 5 2.8 3.55

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →