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Rainier Cup Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 13 11 24
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 35 46
3 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 24 48 72
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 50 24 74
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 38 38 76
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 54 32 86
7 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 40 56 96
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 56 44 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 11 Maxwell Miller '25
Grace Smith '24
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 BKD 2 2 1 1 2 1 13 Clay Myers '25
Etienne Quille '25
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 24 Colin Olson '26
Eliza Murrell '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 6 38 Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-6]
Max Lawall '23 [7-8]
Sophia Jacobs '23 [1-6]
Aidan Ramblas '24 [7-8]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 40 Liam Brinton '22
Stella Doehring '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 8 4 7 8 5 6 4 50 Nathan Gerber '26
Lucas Schadewitz '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 6 7 6 7 8 7 7 54 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 7 8 8 4 7 RDG 8 56 Owen Lubben '24
Peter Spoerri '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 11 Ryan Downey '25
Charles Bedford '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 7 2 2 2 7 2 1 1 24 Dalton Lovett '25
Eric Newell '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 4 6 4 3 3 4 3 32 Dylan Murphy '26
Audrey Lillie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 8 3 3 2 4 3 6 35 Jaden Unruh '26
Judah Wong '24
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 3 4 6 5 7 7 5 38 Ethan Lisle '25 [1-4]
Guillaume Collin '23 [5-8]
Viola Phillips Frank '26 [1-2]
Madalyn Gordon '25 [3-4]
Aaron Shalf '23 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 7 8 7 4 5 6 4 44 Gabriel Abbott '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Luke Notkin '23 [3-6]
Austin Porras '23 [1-2, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 5 7 5 8 6 5 8 48 Hunter Holguin '25
Karl Zoghbi '22
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 8 6 5 8 6 8 8 7 56 Quincy Spurlock '24
Mikaela Lee '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears23238888
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers101101757534348181
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats88882323
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks88882323
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers757534348181101101
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343481811011017575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818110110175753434
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings88882323

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears343481811011017575
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers88882323
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats757534348181101101
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks818110110175753434
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers23238888
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs88882323
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies88882323
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings101101757534348181

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From SSE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1018.8 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Western Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →