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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 30 34 64
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 36 61 97
3 California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 68 35 103
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 62 59 121
5 California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 63 68 131
6 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 85 69 154
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 40 121 161
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 114 76 190
9 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 120 75 195
10 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 127 72 199
11 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 88 MRP 133 MRP 221 MRP
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 95 127 222
13 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 121 129 250
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 180 81 261
15 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 129 144 273
16 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 134 161 295
17 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 145 175 320
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 173 167 340
19 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 188 166 354
20 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 160 197 357
21 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 175 185 360
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 2 1 8 2 1 2 1 10 1 2 30 Morgana Manti '26
Ariana Gabier '24
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 3 2 1 4 2 1 11 3 8 1 36 Hudson Mayfield '27
Jackson Mckinley '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 7 3 2 1 3 12 2 2 3 5 40 Marianna Shand '24
Linnea Jackson '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 10 9 6 7 10 5 5 1 6 3 62 Will Cornell '25
Emerson Marquez '27
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 6 4 4 9 13 3 6 7 4 7 63 Cyrus Khaleeli '24
Jaden Lobbia '27
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 8 6 3 3 8 14 10 5 2 9 68 Ryan Downey '25
Charles Bedford '24
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 11 5 9 8 5 8 13 9 11 6 85 Aidan Boylan '24
Noah Lovelace '25
Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 5 8 12 5 4 10 9 4 7 4 88 MRP
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 11 13 15 6 4 8 8 16 10 95 Florence Duff '25 [1-10]
Maura Darby '25 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Jack Kisling '25 [3-4, 8-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 13 13 14 12 12 9 3 12 9 17 114 Tobie Bloom '23
Rita Usmanova '23
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 7 16 13 14 6 21 14 14 14 120 Sean Von Engelbrechten '23
Blossom Jee '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 18 18 5 6 15 16 4 16 10 13 121 Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Enzo Cremers '24 [3-4, 8-9]
Ines Huret '24 [1-9]
Ivanni Jamin '24 [10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 14 12 19 11 7 11 7 20 18 8 127 Elizabeth Fourney '26 [1-10]
Vibhas Simha '27 [1-2]
Jonah Eckerman '27 [3-4]
Rahul Sankar '23 [5-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters DNF 14 7 16 21 7 20 6 5 11 129 Arin Bekem '26
Ryan Gedminas '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 9 19 11 21 9 13 14 11 12 15 134 Mitchell Powers '25
Jaquelyn Quintana '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 12 15 18 14 17 15 16 13 13 12 145 Sean Lipps '24
Cassidy Murray '24
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 15 21 10 20 11 18 15 15 19 16 160 Sadie Hoberman '25
Zacarias Valencia '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 16 10 17 17 18 21 18 18 17 21 173 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-6]
Ian Johnston '25 [7-10]
Liza Churkov '25 [1-6]
Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 DNS 20 15 10 16 17 17 19 20 19 175
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 17 16 21 18 20 19 19 17 15 18 180 Christopher Milan '25 [1-10]
Adam Vanleeuwen '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Athena Mo '27 [3-4, 8-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 19 17 20 19 19 20 12 21 21 20 188 Katherine Smith '24 [1-10]
Neomi Goodman '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Kenan Thomas '26 [3-4, 8-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 2 3 3 1 3 2 4 4 5 7 34 Luke Harris '27
Breeze Pickford '26
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 3 1 1 6 7 8 2 5 1 1 35 Clay Myers '25
Etienne Quille '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 7 7 5 8 9 3 10 6 2 2 59 Wilton Lawton '26
Tessa Greene '26
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 15 6 2 3 2 10 7 7 3 6 61 Edward Ansart '24
Genaro Flores - Machorro '25
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 4 5 4 5 10 9 5 11 7 8 68 Conner Skewes '25 [1-10]
Adam Mollica '24 [1-7]
Christian Villegas '26 [8-10]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 6 8 9 7 4 12 6 8 6 3 69 Matt Grimsley '26
Patrick Gardiner '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 4 8 12 1 1 1 2 DNF 12 72 Daniel Erisman '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Jt Long '25 [3-4]
Rahul Sankar '23 [1-2]
Vibhas Simha '27 [3-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 5 17 6 2 8 7 9 3 9 9 75 Braedon Hansen '25 [1-10]
Aryaman Patel '24 [1-5]
Sara Camarero '24 [6-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 8 10 7 11 6 4 3 9 8 10 76 Andrew Keller '23 [1-10]
Stella Potter '26 [1-6]
Carli Smith '13 [7-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 1 2 13 4 5 5 8 19 10 14 81 Sanchita Pant '26 [1-7]
Teresa Dang '24 [8, 10]
Aidan Araoz '25 [9]
Teresa Dang '24 [1-2, 5-7, 9]
Aidan Araoz '25 [3-4, 8, 10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 11 13 10 9 11 13 14 13 11 16 121 Conrad Kistler '26
Phineas Fritsch '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 18 18 11 15 20 19 16 1 4 5 127 Colin Thompson '25 [1-7]
Samuel Groom '24 [8-10]
Sara Moore '24 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Samuel Groom '24 [3-4]
Colin Thompson '25 [8-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 13 12 15 13 13 11 11 14 16 11 129 Aivan Durfee '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Aidan Ramblas '24 [3-4, 8-10]
Ivanni Jamin '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Madalyn Gordon '25 [3-4, 8-10]
Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 Aztecs 1 DNF 9 12 10 14 6 12 10 14 4 133 MRP
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 15 14 14 12 14 13 15 DNF 15 144 Nikita Swatek '25
Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 16 14 16 16 15 16 17 17 17 17 161 Sean Kenealy '25
Austin Hargus '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 14 11 18 DNF 17 15 18 16 15 20 166 Orion Spatafora '25 [1-8]
John Flanagan '25 [9-10]
John Flanagan '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Aleksander Briones '24 [3-4]
Orion Spatafora '25 [9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 17 19 17 17 16 17 15 18 12 19 167 Grace Richie '24 [1-6]
Bella Valente '24 [7-10]
Carsten Hoeke '24 [1-6]
Nakshatra Bansal '25 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 20 20 21 18 18 20 20 12 13 13 175 Tean Brooks '24 [1-6]
Maria Gunness '25 [7-10]
Laurence Mach '24 [1-6]
Stella Potter '26 [7-10]
Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 Aztecs 2 12 16 20 20 19 18 19 21 19 21 185
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 3 19 21 19 19 21 21 21 20 18 18 197 Corbin Stanley '23 [1-10]
Emily Broach '25 [1-7]
Taylor Ziebell '27 [8-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 139393939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 240404040404040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 3139139139139139139139139139139
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 224242424242424242424
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101101
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102102
Aztecs 1Aztecs 1 Aztecs 115151515151515151515
Aztecs 2Aztecs 2 Aztecs 216161616161616161616
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 139393939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 240404040404040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 3139139139139139139139139139139
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 224242424242424242424
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101101
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102102
Aztecs 1Aztecs 1 Aztecs 115151515151515151515
Aztecs 2Aztecs 2 Aztecs 216161616161616161616
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 137373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 238383838383838383838
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 129292929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 230303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131313131
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Aidan Boylan '24 Noah Lovelace '25
Sun Devils 1 Matt Grimsley '26 Patrick Gardiner '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Mitchell Powers '25 Jaquelyn Quintana '25
Sun Devils 2 Sean Kenealy '25 Austin Hargus '27
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sadie Hoberman '25 Zacarias Valencia '24
Sun Devils 3 Corbin Stanley '23 [1-10] Emily Broach '25 [1-7]
Taylor Ziebell '27 [8-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Florence Duff '25 [1-10] Maura Darby '25 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Jack Kisling '25 [3-4, 8-9]
Mustangs Colin Thompson '25 [1-7]
Samuel Groom '24 [8-10]		 Sara Moore '24 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Samuel Groom '24 [3-4]
Colin Thompson '25 [8-9]
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Ryan Downey '25 Charles Bedford '24
Keelhaulers 1 Clay Myers '25 Etienne Quille '25
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Cyrus Khaleeli '24 Jaden Lobbia '27
Keelhaulers 2 Conner Skewes '25 [1-10] Adam Mollica '24 [1-7]
Christian Villegas '26 [8-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Will Cornell '25 Emerson Marquez '27
Bears 1 Wilton Lawton '26 Tessa Greene '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-2, 5-7, 10]
Enzo Cremers '24 [3-4, 8-9]		 Ines Huret '24 [1-9]
Ivanni Jamin '24 [10]
Bears 2 Aivan Durfee '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Aidan Ramblas '24 [3-4, 8-10]		 Ivanni Jamin '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Madalyn Gordon '25 [3-4, 8-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Sean Von Engelbrechten '23 Blossom Jee '25
Aggies Braedon Hansen '25 [1-10] Aryaman Patel '24 [1-5]
Sara Camarero '24 [6-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Arin Bekem '26 Ryan Gedminas '26
Anteaters Nikita Swatek '25 Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 Linnea Jackson '25
Bruins 1 Conrad Kistler '26 Phineas Fritsch '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Christopher Milan '25 [1-10] Adam Vanleeuwen '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Athena Mo '27 [3-4, 8-10]
Bruins 2 Sanchita Pant '26 [1-7]
Teresa Dang '24 [8, 10]
Aidan Araoz '25 [9]		 Teresa Dang '24 [1-2, 5-7, 9]
Aidan Araoz '25 [3-4, 8, 10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Katherine Smith '24 [1-10] Neomi Goodman '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Kenan Thomas '26 [3-4, 8-10]
Bruins 3 Orion Spatafora '25 [1-8]
John Flanagan '25 [9-10]		 John Flanagan '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Aleksander Briones '24 [3-4]
Orion Spatafora '25 [9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tobie Bloom '23 Rita Usmanova '23
Tritons 1 Andrew Keller '23 [1-10] Stella Potter '26 [1-6]
Carli Smith '13 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sean Lipps '24 Cassidy Murray '24
Tritons 2 Tean Brooks '24 [1-6]
Maria Gunness '25 [7-10]		 Laurence Mach '24 [1-6]
Stella Potter '26 [7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-6]
Ian Johnston '25 [7-10]		 Liza Churkov '25 [1-6]
Tritons 3 Grace Richie '24 [1-6]
Bella Valente '24 [7-10]		 Carsten Hoeke '24 [1-6]
Nakshatra Bansal '25 [7-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Elizabeth Fourney '26 [1-10] Vibhas Simha '27 [1-2]
Jonah Eckerman '27 [3-4]
Rahul Sankar '23 [5-10]
Gauchos Daniel Erisman '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Jt Long '25 [3-4]		 Rahul Sankar '23 [1-2]
Vibhas Simha '27 [3-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Morgana Manti '26 Ariana Gabier '24
Trojans 1 Luke Harris '27 Breeze Pickford '26
University of Southern California University of Southern California Hudson Mayfield '27 Jackson Mckinley '26
Trojans 2 Edward Ansart '24 Genaro Flores - Machorro '25

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1010.3 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From NW (306°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1010.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →