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Stoney Burke JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 38 13 51
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 21 40 61
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 33 49 82
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 21 72 93
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 47 71 118
6 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 109 29 138
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 59 80 139
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 64 86 150
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 118 36 154
10 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 105 51 156
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 74 84 158
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 92 110 202
13 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 112 108 220
14 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 96 133 229
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 98 135 233
16 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 137 128 265
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 4 1 1 2 5 4 1 2 1 21 Maxwell Roth '24
Cyrus Khaleeli '24
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 3 2 1 2 1 4 1 2 21 Jasper Reid '25
Schuyler Capita '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 2 7 5 1 2 2 7 5 33 Zackery Martin '23
Amelia Kau '23
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 8 3 6 6 3 3 5 3 38 Ryan Downey '25
Lucas Kennedy '24
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 6 4 8 3 4 5 5 8 4 47 Michael Mcculloch '25 [1-6]
Nate Ingebritson '25 [7-9]
Audrey Turcotte '25 [1-6]
Jessica Stewart '23 [7-8]
Ethan Lisle '25 [9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 7 14 4 4 8 6 6 3 7 59 Drew Wolf '24 [1-9]
Samson Grunwald '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christopher Milan '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 12 6 5 7 3 13 8 4 6 64 Jacob Matiyevsky '23
David Spector '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 5 9 8 10 10 7 6 16 74 John Alexander '24 [1-8]
Andrew Keller '23 [9]
Bella Valente '24 [1-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 10 12 6 12 7 14 12 9 10 92 Ximena Greatorex '25
Travis Bouck '24
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 9 15 10 9 15 8 10 12 8 96 Nathaniel Holden '25
Cooper Cook '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 14 10 12 13 11 9 9 11 9 98 Samuel Groom '24 [1-9]
Andrea Lanfranconi '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Alex Rosenbaum '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 9 14 10 12 7 14 15 13 105 Marcus Leitner '22
Savannah Hallgarth '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 8 16 16 14 9 11 11 13 11 109 Jack Kelly '22 [1-9]
Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Helena Willits '23 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 15 11 11 11 14 12 13 10 15 112 Dane Williams '23 [1-9]
Riley Wille '22 [1-8]
Jonas Oelke '23 [9]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 13 7 13 16 13 15 15 14 12 118 Henry Stier '23 [1-9]
Judah Wong '24 [1-6]
Alex Vlad '23 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 16 13 15 15 16 16 16 16 14 137 Adriana Yarkin '22 [1-9]
Chloe Schofield '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christian Fuller '22 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 Clay Myers '25
Etienne Quille '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 1 1 4 6 4 3 3 5 2 29 Sean Ross '25 [1-9]
Eric Wang '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Andrew Ausonio '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 3 3 3 9 5 2 4 5 36 Aragorn Crozier '24 [1-9]
Maya Outhred '24 [1-2, 5-9]
Alex Vlad '23 [3-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 6 6 7 2 6 2 6 2 3 40 Kawika Tumilowicz '25
Kyle Vaughn '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 7 5 7 3 4 4 8 8 49 Erin Pamplin '24
Annabelle Smith '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 10 4 2 5 2 7 7 7 7 51 Ryan Martin '23 [1-6]
Karl Zoghbi '22 [7-9]
Travis Ackermann '23 [1-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 7 10 8 10 8 10 8 6 4 71 Max Lawall '23 [1-6]
James Guiraud '21 [7-9]
Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-6]
Sophia Jacobs '23 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 12 9 6 9 5 6 10 9 6 72 Juliet St. Germain '25
Mason Schimmel '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 9 8 9 8 7 8 9 12 10 80 Linnea Jackson '25 [1-9]
Aidan Araoz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
John Gallagher '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 12 10 13 13 9 5 3 14 84 Tobie Bloom '23 [1-8]
Jonathan Hickey '23 [9]
Annaclaire Rogness '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Jonathan Hickey '23 [5-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 8 5 13 4 10 12 15 10 9 86 Deven Douglas '22
Teresa Dang '24
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 11 13 12 12 12 11 11 11 15 108 Emilia Anctil '25
Emily Ward '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 14 11 11 11 11 14 13 14 11 110 Florence Duff '25
Hudson Price '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 13 14 15 15 16 13 14 16 12 128 Macy Rowe '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Mason James '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Sara Moore '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 15 16 14 16 14 15 12 15 16 133 Shanay Patel '22 [1-9]
Aryaman Patel '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Soumya Duriseti '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4 DNS 15 16 14 15 16 16 13 13 135 Ryan Schackel '23 [1-9]
Walden Hillegass '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kelsey Byrne '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123123123123123
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2104104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4212121212121212121
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148148
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos888888888888888888
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2231231231231231231231231231

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123123123123123
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1103103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2104104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 4212121212121212121
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148148
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos888888888888888888
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs333333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2231231231231231231231231231
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kelly '22 [1-9] Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Helena Willits '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 1 Sean Ross '25 [1-9] Eric Wang '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Andrew Ausonio '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ximena Greatorex '25 Travis Bouck '24
Mustangs 2 Florence Duff '25 Hudson Price '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Adriana Yarkin '22 [1-9] Chloe Schofield '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christian Fuller '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 3 Macy Rowe '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Mason James '25 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sara Moore '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Samuel Groom '24 [1-9] Andrea Lanfranconi '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Alex Rosenbaum '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 4 Ryan Schackel '23 [1-9] Walden Hillegass '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kelsey Byrne '25 [3-4, 7-8]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Downey '25 Lucas Kennedy '24
Keelhaulers 1 Clay Myers '25 Etienne Quille '25
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Maxwell Roth '24 Cyrus Khaleeli '24
Keelhaulers 2 Kawika Tumilowicz '25 Kyle Vaughn '24
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Dane Williams '23 [1-9] Riley Wille '22 [1-8]
Jonas Oelke '23 [9]
49ers Emilia Anctil '25 Emily Ward '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Michael Mcculloch '25 [1-6]
Nate Ingebritson '25 [7-9]		 Audrey Turcotte '25 [1-6]
Jessica Stewart '23 [7-8]
Ethan Lisle '25 [9]
Bears Max Lawall '23 [1-6]
James Guiraud '21 [7-9]		 Adrien Stroumza '23 [1-6]
Sophia Jacobs '23 [7-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Nathaniel Holden '25 Cooper Cook '25
Aggies Shanay Patel '22 [1-9] Aryaman Patel '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Soumya Duriseti '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Drew Wolf '24 [1-9] Samson Grunwald '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Christopher Milan '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins 1 Linnea Jackson '25 [1-9] Aidan Araoz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
John Gallagher '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Jacob Matiyevsky '23 David Spector '25
Bruins 2 Deven Douglas '22 Teresa Dang '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego John Alexander '24 [1-8]
Andrew Keller '23 [9]		 Bella Valente '24 [1-9]
Tritons Tobie Bloom '23 [1-8]
Jonathan Hickey '23 [9]		 Annaclaire Rogness '22 [1-4, 7-9]
Jonathan Hickey '23 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Jasper Reid '25 Schuyler Capita '25
Gauchos Juliet St. Germain '25 Mason Schimmel '23
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Marcus Leitner '22 Savannah Hallgarth '22
Banana Slugs Ryan Martin '23 [1-6]
Karl Zoghbi '22 [7-9]		 Travis Ackermann '23 [1-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Zackery Martin '23 Amelia Kau '23
Huskies 1 Erin Pamplin '24 Annabelle Smith '23
University of Washington University of Washington Henry Stier '23 [1-9] Judah Wong '24 [1-6]
Alex Vlad '23 [7-9]
Huskies 2 Aragorn Crozier '24 [1-9] Maya Outhred '24 [1-2, 5-9]
Alex Vlad '23 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From N (1°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →