Cal Poly University S.L.O. '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 (fleet 2.31) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–10 (38%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 2 | 6–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 6–10 against 8.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-08 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.82 | -1.22 | 1–8 | 4.4 | −3.04 | 7.3 | >99% |
| 2022-02-12 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 1.60 | 2.88 | 5–2 | 3.9 | +1.28 | 1.0 | 28% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of LA Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 5.1 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 7.1 | — |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 6 | 83% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 9 | 3.2 | 2.37 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | C | 6 | 4.7 | 2.83 |
| 2022 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 11.0 | 1.89 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Sean Ross |  La Jolla High School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
