Andy Leshaw

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat0.62unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)12Spring 2024

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.13 (fleet 1.51) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.04 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 15–20 (43%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202449–17—
Spring 202216–3—
0.911.11.2Spring 2024McMerrick Cup SATURDAY (2024-03-02): rating 1.05, fleet rating alone 1.04, offset +0.01; record 3-5 in this boatMcMerrick Cup SUNDAY (2024-03-03): rating 1.09, fleet rating alone 1.05, offset +0.04; record 1-2 in this boatSalve Regina Team Race Invite (2024-03-10): rating 1.10, fleet rating alone 1.05, offset +0.04; record 0-2 in this boatSalve Regina Team Race Invite (2024-03-10): rating 1.10, fleet rating alone 1.05, offset +0.04; record 0-4 in this boatAlymers Team Race Invite (2024-04-06): rating 1.09, fleet rating alone 1.06, offset +0.03; record 5-4 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 5 graded regattas (35 matches) the record is 15–20 against 11.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-04-06Alymers Team Race Inviteskipper1.391.685–44.5+0.290.151%
2024-03-10Salve Regina Team Race Inviteskipper1.45-1.550–60.1≤−3.000.2>99%
2024-03-03McMerrick Cup SUNDAYskipper1.403.261–20.3+1.861.127%
2024-03-02McMerrick Cup SATURDAYskipper1.192.453–51.3+1.261.612%
2022-04-03Herring Pond Team Raceskipper0.931.446–35.3+0.510.246%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper B 14 9.1 1.80
Shields Trophy Keelboat Crew A 7 8.1 —
Schell Trophy NEISA Open Championship Skipper B 5 16.0 0.95
NEISA Match Race Championship Keelboat Crew A 3 7.0 —
McGill Cup Skipper B 6 2.3 1.11
Harman Cup Keelboat Crew A 8 3.6 —
Callagy Ross Regatta Skipper B 10 10.6 -0.42
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Salve Regina Team Race Invite Skipper TR 10 10% —
McMerrick Cup SUNDAY Skipper TR 5 40% —
McMerrick Cup SATURDAY Skipper TR 8 38% —
CGA J70 Invite #1 Keelboat Skipper A 9 5.2 0.30
Alymers Team Race Invite Skipper TR 9 56% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper A 14 12.2 1.85
Sherman Hoyt Trophy Skipper B 14 16.9 0.70
Penobscot Bay Open Skipper B 7 6.4 0.23
Oberg Trophy Skipper B 7 14.9 0.72
NEISA Match Race Championship Keelboat Skipper A 3 8.0 —
The Hatch Brown Trophy Skipper B 7 15.9 1.62
The Dark of Night Crew B 2 12.0 —
The 82nd Professor Schell Trophy Skipper B 10 16.5 0.53
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Sunday Salve Regina Invite Skipper B 7 7.3 2.15
Open New England Fleet Race Championship Skipper B 14 16.3 1.31
New England Dinghy Tournament Skipper B 9 2.2 2.13
George Morris Trophy Skipper B 12 10.2 1.46
Icebreaker Invitational Skipper A 5 8.6 0.35
Central Series 2 @ MSM Skipper A 5 5.2 1.68
Central Series 1 Skipper A 4 2.8 2.44
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Sherman Hoyt Trophy Skipper B 14 15.6 1.76
Schell Trophy Skipper B 14 16.6 1.00
Savin Hill Invite Skipper A 5 11.6 1.81
Pen Bay Open Skipper B 8 14.0 -0.33
New York Maritime Fall Open Skipper B 6 11.3 1.28
Mass Maritime Invite Skipper A 5 2.4 3.96
The Hatch Brown Trophy Skipper A 10 17.4 0.35
The Chris Loder Trophy Skipper A 5 2.6 3.18
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Saturday Salve Invite Skipper B 6 2.3 2.96
Priddy Trophy Skipper A 7 4.4 1.07
O'Toole Trophy Skipper A 15 8.7 0.43
New England Dinghy Champs for the CG Alumni Bowl Skipper B 12 17.4 0.13
NE Dinghy Tourney Skipper B 8 5.5 0.52
Herring Pond Team Race Skipper TR 9 67% —
Harbor Cup Keelboat Crew A 10 5.9 —
Central Series March 27 Skipper A 7 5.4 1.19
Central Series Four Skipper A 6 12.8 0.35
Fall 2021 Team page Season
The Nickerson Trophy Skipper A 8 19.5 0.60
Nicholas Barnett Trophy Skipper B 14 15.4 0.42
Mass Maritime Invite Skipper A 6 6.7 1.76
Great Herring Pond Open Skipper B 6 8.0 1.16
Chris Loder Trophy Skipper B 8 8.1 0.99
Callagy Ross Trophy Skipper A 5 6.2 0.98

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →