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NE Dinghy Tourney

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 60
2 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 102
3 Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths 109
4 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 118
5 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 124
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 148
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 216
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags B 2 5 1 1 1 2 3 14 29 Wilson Kaznoski '24
Grace Gunsalus '24
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags A 3 8 3 4 4 3 4 2 31 Nolan Cooper '25
Anastasia Mastrocola '23
Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths A 1 11 2 7 6 4 9 4 44
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 4 2 8 10 2 5 1 12 44 Andy Leshaw '25
John Van Zanten '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 7 3 10 2 5 13 2 6 48 Grace Cannon '23
Katelyn Howe '22
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 5 4 6 8 3 1 8 13 48 Ted Lutton '24
Claudia Mabley '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 10 1 4 12 7 9 5 10 58 Tyler Egeli '24
Jewelnguyen Huynh '23
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners B 6 9 12 3 8 8 10 3 59 Luke Healy '22
Tristan Walker '22
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners A 9 7 5 5 12 6 14 7 65 Mott Blair '22 [1-4]
John Egger '23 [5-8]
Arden Astin '24 [1-4]
Courtney King '24 [5-8]
Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths B 8 6 9 11 10 7 6 8 65
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 11 12 7 6 11 11 7 5 70 Jack Valentino '22
Greta Shuster '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 13 13 13 9 9 10 13 1 81 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Evelyn Lane '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 12 10 11 13 14 OCS 12 11 100 James Sullivan '25
Devyn Weed '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 14 15 14 14 13 12 11 9 102 Kai Latham '24
Sarah Barth '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 15 14 15 15 15 14 15 15 118 Ilya Mccune-Pedit '24
Shannon Fitzgerald '23
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B DNF 16 DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 135
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
MammothsMammoths Mammoths44445555
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11112222
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags22223333
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners33334444
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen77778888
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55556666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers66667777
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats88889999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
MammothsMammoths Mammoths1212121213131313
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats999910101010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1010101011111111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1111111112121212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1515151516161616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1313131314141414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1414141415151515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats161616161111

Conditions — 04/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1004.4 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From SE (126°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1004.4 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →