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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 58
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 117
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 145
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 162
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 165
6 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 166
7 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 166
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 186
9 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 203
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 3 2 1 5 1 2 2 1 17 Ben Mueller '26
Henry Tindall '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 10 1 7 6 5 6 3 3 41 Shea Smith '25
Maisie Macgillivray '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 14 8 10 1 3 1 4 9 50 Tyler Egeli '24
Jewelnguyen Huynh '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 9 17 2 2 10 7 1 7 55 Nils Tullberg '23
Frances Donahoe '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 1 6 9 4 4 14 14 4 56 Ryan Hamilton '23
Will Broseman '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 17 9 3 3 2 11 9 6 60 Sam Monaghan '24
Tyler Meadows '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 7 7 12 10 14 3 7 2 62 Pearl Lattanzi '23
Charlotte Martinez '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 5 5 8 7 7 9 13 11 65 Declan Botwinick '25
Molly Mcmahon '23
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 B 4 14 11 9 13 10 10 5 76 Nalu Ho '24 [1-6]
Griffen Horne '23 [7-8]
Margaret Archibald '26 [1-6]
Amelia Griffith '25 [7-8]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds A 13 4 13 13 11 5 5 13 77 Hal Clews '23
Emma Hawko '23
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 B 16 13 6 8 9 4 12 12 80 Lochlann Ludwig '25
Nicholas Paulu '25
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 A 8 3 4 11 18 17 8 17 86 Kevin Carse '25
Courtney King '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 6 16 18 14 6 8 11 10 89 Christian Cushman '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Alice Thompson '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Ardizzoni '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 A 12 10 5 16 12 12 15 8 90 Henri Richardsson '25
William Ries '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 15 18 15 12 8 13 6 18 105 Ashley Arruda '24
Alexander Jaber '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 2 15 14 15 17 15 18 16 112 Andy Leshaw '25
Celia Del Rosso '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 11 12 17 18 16 16 17 14 121 Anthony Purcell '24
Sarah Baker '24
McGill University McGill University Redbirds B 18 11 16 17 15 18 16 15 126 Katherine Weaver '25
Sonali Cowieson '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 111223344
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 222334455
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33445566
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds44556677
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55667788
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams889910101111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks66778899
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7788991010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99101011111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 11010111112121313
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 21111121213131414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212131314141515
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1313141415151616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414151516161717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171718181122
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1515161617171818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161717181811
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818112233

Conditions — 09/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1021.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · W 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →