Central Series 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 12 22
2 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 11 14 25
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 22 28
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 22 18 40
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 27 16 43
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 23 24 47
7 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 16 37 53
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 31 25 56
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 37 26 63
10 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 44 41 85
11 Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 46 42 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 1 1 3 6 Adam Strobridge '26
Vanessa Reid '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 2 3 1 10 John Cabell '26
Nicholas Thibodeau '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 5 2 2 11 Andy Leshaw '25
Hannah Hicks '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 3 6 4 16 Kate Myler '23 [1-3]
Marshall Rodes '26 [4]
Marshall Rodes '26 [1-3]
Kate Myler '23 [4]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 6 4 6 22 Oliver Dietter '27
Andres Milne '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 8 5 5 23 Greta Shuster '25
Mitchel Soederberg '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 4 7 8 27 Sean Crandall '25
Charlotte Martinez '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 7 7 8 9 31 Norman Walker '24
Logan O’Rourke '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 9 9 DNF 7 37 William Procter '24
Jonathan Eaton '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 10 10 DNF DNS 44 Alan Andonian '23 [1-2]
Carissa Keung '23 [3-4]
Carissa Keung '23 [1-2]
Alan Andonian '23 [3-4]
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 11 11 DNS DNS 46
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 4 3 3 12 Richard Kalich '26 [1-2]
Josh Sultanik '26 [3-4]
Yangyang Liu '25 [1-2]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 3 2 8 14 John Van Zanten '25
Luke Dubois '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 5 4 4 16 Garrett Moen '23
Roan Iribarren '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 1 6 1 18 Sylvia Burns '26
Reid Wishner '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 8 1 5 22 Lily Moore '26 [1-4]
Olivia Anderson '25 [1-2]
Iain Jaeger '23 [3-4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 2 DNF 6 24 Colby Green '25
Olivia Demerath '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 5 6 DNF 2 25 Michael Morley '26
Bailey Macvaugh '26
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 7 5 7 26 Evelyn Lane '23
Teo Flesher '23
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 9 9 7 DNS 37 Ozel Yilmazel '25 [1-4]
Catherine Lizarraga '23 [1-2]
Shannon Fitzgerald '23 [3-4]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 11 10 8 DNS 41 Alan Andonian '23 [1-2]
Carissa Keung '23 [3-4]
Carissa Keung '23 [1-2]
Alan Andonian '23 [3-4]
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 6 DNS DNF DNS 42
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen11111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14466
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25577
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies881010
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix991111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131322
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks10101212
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs121211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen121211
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15577
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 26688
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991111
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix10101212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11111313
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs131322

Conditions — 03/19/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 25°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.0 kn
avg  ·  max 15.0 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1011.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →