Oberg Trophy

HostNortheastern
Date10/21/2023
TypeRegional
BoatFJ
Scoring3 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	C	TOT
1	Brown University	Bears	76	66	52	194
2	Tufts University	Jumbos	78	103	69	250
3	Northeastern University	Huskies	94	99	62	255
4	University of Rhode Island	Rams	92	136	41	269
5	Harvard University	Crimson	58	61	171	290
6	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 1	143	95	85	323
7	Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	108	124	94	326
8	Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	89	71	174	334
9	Yale University	Bulldogs	144	63	139	346
10	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 2	154	138	78	370
11	Connecticut College	Camels 1	154	134	107	395
12	Boston University	Terriers	137	121	170	428
13	University of Vermont	Catamounts	147	163	184	494
14	Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	171	205	140	516
15	Salve Regina University	Seahawks	138	198	197	533
16	Connecticut College	Camels 2	186	164	187	537
17	Princeton University	Tigers	175	201	196	572

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Harvard University	Crimson	4	1	7	7	5	8	6	1	6	1	1	2	1	8	58	Robby Meek '27 [1-14] Christina Chen '27 [1-6] Jj Drummond '27 [7-14]
Brown University	Bears	6	4	3	2	6	4	10	13	3	5	3	5	7	5	76	Mason Stang '25 [1-14] Olivia Miller '25 [1-6] Sidney Moyer '27 [7-14]
Tufts University	Jumbos	10	2	1	11	2	1	8	9	7	9	7	3	2	6	78	Shea Smith '25 Naomi Pedersen '25
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	7	11	8	1	3	5	1	4	2	16	14	1	3	13	89	Robert Ulmer '27 Yitian Zhu '25
University of Rhode Island	Rams	1	6	2	13	7	13	2	5	10	2	2	7	12	10	92	Henry Lee '24 [1-14] Olivia Anderson '25 [1-9, 13-14] Miles Silverman '27 [10-12]
Northeastern University	Huskies	11	3	10	9	15	9	7	3	5	7	4	6	4	1	94	Everett Nash '24 Zoe Grant '25
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	14	13	13	10	9	2	4	2	8	6	5	10	5	7	108	Kyra Phelan '26 [1-6] Lauren Russler '26 [7-14] Sophie Brett '25 [1-6] Ava Arepally '27 [7-9] Alex Bloom '26 [10-14]
Boston University	Terriers	5	10	4	5	10	10	11	14	13	10	13	8	9	15	137	Tiare Sierra '25 Lachlan Hooper '25
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	15	9	5	14	12	6	5	11	12	11	11	14	11	2	138	Emil Tullberg '25 Shannon Gondoly '25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 1	3	DSQ	16	17	1	3	DNF	6	1	13	6	13	14	14	143	Jack Derry '25 [1-14] Aiana Cayao '26 [1-7] Gavin Vanmanen '27 [8-14]
Yale University	Bulldogs	9	16	11	15	14	7	3	10	4	8	8	15	8	16	144	Mathias Reimer '27 Ariana Borut '27
University of Vermont	Catamounts	2	5	6	16	11	12	14	7	14	4	10	12	17	17	147	Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [1-14] Sabina Coroi '27 [1-6] Jack Taylor '27 [7-14]
Connecticut College	Camels 1	16	14	12	8	8	15	12	8	11	15	17	9	6	3	154	Wade Anthony '24 [1-14] Madeline Synnestvedt '27 [1-12] Vivian Smith '27 [13-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 2	17	12	15	3	4	11	9	12	15	12	16	4	15	9	154	Peter Mcgonagle '25 Austin White '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	8	8	14	6	13	17	13	15	9	17	15	16	16	4	171	Tyler Egeli '24 Luke Dubois '26
Princeton University	Tigers	12	15	17	4	16	14	16	16	17	3	12	11	10	12	175	Asher Green '24 Virginia Cobbs '25
Connecticut College	Camels 2	13	7	9	12	17	16	15	17	16	14	9	17	13	11	186	Andrew Powers '24 [1-8] Skylor Sweet '26 [9-14] Winni Opel '26 [1-8] Finley Regan '27 [9-14]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Harvard University	Crimson	1	2	1	7	7	1	2	10	6	6	11	2	4	1	61	Zoey Ziskind '27 Kathleen Downey '24
Yale University	Bulldogs	13	1	5	2	2	2	6	6	3	8	5	1	6	3	63	Alex Adams '26 Julia Miller '26
Brown University	Bears	2	4	4	6	1	9	1	4	4	7	12	3	2	7	66	Katharine Doble '26 [1-14] Caroline Keeffe-Jones '26 [1-8] Katherine Majette '27 [9] Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [10-14]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	3	10	8	1	11	5	4	2	7	2	2	4	8	4	71	Emma Wang '27 [1-8] Andy Yu '27 [9-14] Wendy Wu '23 [1-8] Garrett Blosen '25 [9-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 1	5	3	7	3	12	12	9	3	1	3	3	12	10	12	95	Dominik Spinelli '27 Jin Johnson '24
Northeastern University	Huskies	7	6	3	12	5	4	10	11	13	1	6	5	7	9	99	Sam Monaghan '24 Emma Cole '25
Tufts University	Jumbos	6	7	6	5	3	6	7	1	15	11	7	8	13	8	103	Connor Rosow '24 Magdelaina Putnam '25
Boston University	Terriers	9	8	13	8	6	3	3	7	12	10	14	13	1	14	121	Nathan Selian '25 Grace Murphy '25
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	4	9	9	15	10	7	8	8	11	14	4	7	12	6	124	Ethan Danielson '26 [1-8] Michelangelo Vecchio '27 [9-14] Hazel Johnson '27 [1-8] Maizie Bartlett '27 [9-14]
Connecticut College	Camels 1	8	13	11	13	14	8	5	16	8	4	13	14	5	2	134	Henry Scholz '27 Renee Smith '24
University of Rhode Island	Rams	15	12	10	14	13	11	17	5	2	13	1	9	3	11	136	Olin Guck '26 [1-8] Max Sigel '26 [9-12] Adam Strobridge '26 [13-14] Gabriella Cappelli '24 [1-6] Miles Silverman '27 [7-8] Lily Moore '26 [9-12] Ella Gibson '27 [13-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 2	10	15	2	17	4	13	14	9	5	5	8	15	11	10	138	Bradley Whiteway '26 Sarah Krajewski '26
University of Vermont	Catamounts	12	14	12	4	15	10	15	12	10	9	15	10	9	16	163	Gavin Sanborn '25 [1-14] Alex Boni '25 [1-3, 7-14] Jack Taylor '27 [4-6]
Connecticut College	Camels 2	11	5	16	9	16	17	12	15	9	15	9	11	14	5	164	Charles Bresnahan '24 [1-8] Duncan Craine '26 [9-14] Cecilia Bohan '24 [1-8] Cecilia Roe '26 [9-12] Andrew Selian '27 [13-14]
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	17	17	17	10	8	16	16	13	14	12	10	16	15	17	198	Sean Morrison '27 Charlotte Martinez '23
Princeton University	Tigers	16	11	14	16	9	14	11	14	16	16	17	17	17	13	201	Eddie O’Keefe '25 [1-14] Isabel Kim '24 [1-8, 13-14] Chai Mauliola '24 [9-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	14	16	15	11	17	15	13	17	17	17	16	6	16	15	205	Caleb Burt '25 [1-7] Andy Leshaw '25 [8-14] Murphy Olson '27 [1-7] Andrew Dyment '26 [8-14]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
University of Rhode Island	Rams	3	1	1	5	1	1	3	3	7	1	2	3	3	7	41	Declan Botwinick '25 Vanessa Reid '26
Brown University	Bears	4	4	4	1	3	5	7	4	1	7	3	2	1	6	52	Emily Mueller '25 [1-8] Martins Atilla '27 [9-14] Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [1-8] Talia Levine '26 [9-12] Katherine Majette '27 [13-14]
Northeastern University	Huskies	5	7	2	6	2	3	2	2	6	2	11	4	2	8	62	Adrian Winkelman '25 Sam Barrett '26
Tufts University	Jumbos	8	2	11	2	6	2	4	11	3	3	1	1	6	9	69	Jack Flores '25 Amelia Carlson '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 2	2	3	5	9	8	4	1	7	4	10	7	9	7	2	78	Kevin Gosselin '27 [1-14] Gavin Vanmanen '27 [1-8] Caroline Odell '27 [9-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears 1	1	5	8	15	4	9	5	1	8	6	8	5	5	5	85	Luke Zylinski '26 Grace Austin '27
Bowdoin College	Polar Bears	10	8	3	4	5	6	12	5	11	8	6	6	9	1	94	Rebecca Schill '27 [1-8] Shea Mcgrath '27 [9-14] Katharine Kurtz '24 [1-8] Caleb Adams-Hull '23 [9-14]
Connecticut College	Camels 1	12	6	10	11	7	7	11	10	2	5	4	8	10	4	107	Matias Martin '27 [1-3, 7-14] Ryan Mckinney '24 [4-6] Ashley Breyer '24 [1-3, 7-8] Vivian Smith '27 [4-6] Alejandro Amezcua '25 [9-14]
Yale University	Bulldogs	6	10	13	3	11	8	14	14	16	12	9	12	8	3	139	Beck Lorsch '25 Mary Madaus '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Buccaneers	9	9	12	17	10	14	8	13	13	4	5	7	4	15	140	Kevin Brooksbank '27 Mallory Dietsch '27
Boston University	Terriers	13	15	14	10	15	11	9	12	5	11	10	15	16	14	170	Renato Korzinek '25 Jack Cariaso '25
Harvard University	Crimson	7	11	6	13	9	DSQ	16	6	10	17	16	DNF	14	10	171	Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26 Peyton Hadfield '27
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	17	13	9	8	16	16	6	17	9	16	15	10	11	11	174	Lucas Escandon '26 Katherine Jankowski '27
University of Vermont	Catamounts	15	17	7	16	17	12	10	9	17	9	12	14	13	16	184	Will Kelleher '25 Tyler Davis '27
Connecticut College	Camels 2	11	12	15	14	13	13	13	15	15	15	13	11	15	12	187	Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [1-8] Lilly Saffer '27 [9, 13-14] Jake Demos '27 [10-12] Sophia Rey '26 [1-6] Andrew Selian '27 [7-12] Cecilia Roe '26 [13-14]
Princeton University	Tigers	14	14	16	12	14	10	15	8	14	14	17	DNF	17	13	196	Carly Mraz '25 [1-9, 13-14] Bracklinn Williams '25 [10-12] Kate Feiner '26 [1-9, 13-14] Berkley Yiu '25 [10-12]
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	16	16	17	7	12	15	17	16	12	13	14	13	12	17	197	Tyler Winowiecki '27 Frances Donahoe '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
Boston University Terriers	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
Brown University Bears	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10
Connecticut College Camels 1	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18
Connecticut College Camels 2	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1
Harvard University Crimson	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3
Northeastern University Huskies	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5
Princeton University Tigers	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6
University of Rhode Island Rams	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12
Salve Regina University Seahawks	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
Tufts University Jumbos	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
University of Vermont Catamounts	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13
Yale University Bulldogs	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
Boston University Terriers	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14
Brown University Bears	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
Connecticut College Camels 1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
Connecticut College Camels 2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17
Harvard University Crimson	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1
Northeastern University Huskies	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3
Princeton University Tigers	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4
University of Rhode Island Rams	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10
Salve Regina University Seahawks	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5
Tufts University Jumbos	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6
University of Vermont Catamounts	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11
Yale University Bulldogs	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12

Division C

Team	1C	2C	3C	4C	5C	6C	7C	8C	9C	10C	11C	12C	13C	14C
Boston University Terriers	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14
Bowdoin College Polar Bears	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
Brown University Bears	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9
Connecticut College Camels 1	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17
Connecticut College Camels 2	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18
Harvard University Crimson	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2
Northeastern University Huskies	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4
Princeton University Tigers	11	11	11	14	14	14	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5
University of Rhode Island Rams	17	17	17	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11
Salve Regina University Seahawks	12	12	12	15	15	15	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6
Tufts University Jumbos	13	13	13	16	16	16	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
University of Vermont Catamounts	18	18	18	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12
Yale University Bulldogs	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston University	Tiare Sierra '25	Lachlan Hooper '25
Terriers	Nathan Selian '25	Grace Murphy '25
	Renato Korzinek '25	Jack Cariaso '25
Bowdoin College	Kyra Phelan '26 [1-6] Lauren Russler '26 [7-14]	Sophie Brett '25 [1-6] Ava Arepally '27 [7-9] Alex Bloom '26 [10-14]
Polar Bears	Ethan Danielson '26 [1-8] Michelangelo Vecchio '27 [9-14]	Hazel Johnson '27 [1-8] Maizie Bartlett '27 [9-14]
	Rebecca Schill '27 [1-8] Shea Mcgrath '27 [9-14]	Katharine Kurtz '24 [1-8] Caleb Adams-Hull '23 [9-14]
Brown University	Mason Stang '25 [1-14]	Olivia Miller '25 [1-6] Sidney Moyer '27 [7-14]
Bears	Katharine Doble '26 [1-14]	Caroline Keeffe-Jones '26 [1-8] Katherine Majette '27 [9] Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [10-14]
	Emily Mueller '25 [1-8] Martins Atilla '27 [9-14]	Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [1-8] Talia Levine '26 [9-12] Katherine Majette '27 [13-14]
Connecticut College	Wade Anthony '24 [1-14]	Madeline Synnestvedt '27 [1-12] Vivian Smith '27 [13-14]
Camels 1	Henry Scholz '27	Renee Smith '24
	Matias Martin '27 [1-3, 7-14] Ryan Mckinney '24 [4-6]	Ashley Breyer '24 [1-3, 7-8] Vivian Smith '27 [4-6] Alejandro Amezcua '25 [9-14]
Connecticut College	Andrew Powers '24 [1-8] Skylor Sweet '26 [9-14]	Winni Opel '26 [1-8] Finley Regan '27 [9-14]
Camels 2	Charles Bresnahan '24 [1-8] Duncan Craine '26 [9-14]	Cecilia Bohan '24 [1-8] Cecilia Roe '26 [9-12] Andrew Selian '27 [13-14]
	Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [1-8] Lilly Saffer '27 [9, 13-14] Jake Demos '27 [10-12]	Sophia Rey '26 [1-6] Andrew Selian '27 [7-12] Cecilia Roe '26 [13-14]
Harvard University	Robby Meek '27 [1-14]	Christina Chen '27 [1-6] Jj Drummond '27 [7-14]
Crimson	Zoey Ziskind '27	Kathleen Downey '24
	Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26	Peyton Hadfield '27
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Robert Ulmer '27	Yitian Zhu '25
Engineers	Emma Wang '27 [1-8] Andy Yu '27 [9-14]	Wendy Wu '23 [1-8] Garrett Blosen '25 [9-14]
	Lucas Escandon '26	Katherine Jankowski '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	Tyler Egeli '24	Luke Dubois '26
Buccaneers	Caleb Burt '25 [1-7] Andy Leshaw '25 [8-14]	Murphy Olson '27 [1-7] Andrew Dyment '26 [8-14]
	Kevin Brooksbank '27	Mallory Dietsch '27
Northeastern University	Everett Nash '24	Zoe Grant '25
Huskies	Sam Monaghan '24	Emma Cole '25
	Adrian Winkelman '25	Sam Barrett '26
Princeton University	Asher Green '24	Virginia Cobbs '25
Tigers	Eddie O’Keefe '25 [1-14]	Isabel Kim '24 [1-8, 13-14] Chai Mauliola '24 [9-12]
	Carly Mraz '25 [1-9, 13-14] Bracklinn Williams '25 [10-12]	Kate Feiner '26 [1-9, 13-14] Berkley Yiu '25 [10-12]
Salve Regina University	Emil Tullberg '25	Shannon Gondoly '25
Seahawks	Sean Morrison '27	Charlotte Martinez '23
	Tyler Winowiecki '27	Frances Donahoe '24
Tufts University	Shea Smith '25	Naomi Pedersen '25
Jumbos	Connor Rosow '24	Magdelaina Putnam '25
	Jack Flores '25	Amelia Carlson '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Jack Derry '25 [1-14]	Aiana Cayao '26 [1-7] Gavin Vanmanen '27 [8-14]
Bears 1	Dominik Spinelli '27	Jin Johnson '24
	Luke Zylinski '26	Grace Austin '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Peter Mcgonagle '25	Austin White '27
Bears 2	Bradley Whiteway '26	Sarah Krajewski '26
	Kevin Gosselin '27 [1-14]	Gavin Vanmanen '27 [1-8] Caroline Odell '27 [9-14]
University of Rhode Island	Henry Lee '24 [1-14]	Olivia Anderson '25 [1-9, 13-14] Miles Silverman '27 [10-12]
Rams	Olin Guck '26 [1-8] Max Sigel '26 [9-12] Adam Strobridge '26 [13-14]	Gabriella Cappelli '24 [1-6] Miles Silverman '27 [7-8] Lily Moore '26 [9-12] Ella Gibson '27 [13-14]
	Declan Botwinick '25	Vanessa Reid '26
University of Vermont	Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [1-14]	Sabina Coroi '27 [1-6] Jack Taylor '27 [7-14]
Catamounts	Gavin Sanborn '25 [1-14]	Alex Boni '25 [1-3, 7-14] Jack Taylor '27 [4-6]
	Will Kelleher '25	Tyler Davis '27
Yale University	Mathias Reimer '27	Ariana Borut '27
Bulldogs	Alex Adams '26	Julia Miller '26
	Beck Lorsch '25	Mary Madaus '25

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle

Humidity 96% · Pressure 987.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F

↑ 59°F ↓ 57°F

Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.1 kn

avg · max 9.4 kn

Gusts to 16.1 kn

From NE (45°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity96% Pressure987.5 hPa Rain1.19 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn* · NW 15 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Northeastern: a typical day (+0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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