Connecticut College '24
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 0.88 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 15 | Spring 2022 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 (fleet 2.14) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 32–100 (24%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 6 | 13–59 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 3 | 10–17 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 2 | 9–24 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 10 graded regattas (130 matches) the record is 30–100 against 27.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.1). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 14 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-13 | Thompson Trophy Camel | skipper | 1.99 | -1.01 | 0–21 | 1.2 | ≤−3.00 | 1.7 | >99% |
| 2024-04-06 | NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle | skipper | 1.88 | -1.12 | 0–9 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.5 | >99% |
| 2024-03-30 | Staake Trophy | skipper | 1.73 | 2.83 | 7–5 | 5.1 | +1.10 | 1.5 | 14% |
| 2024-03-16 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 1.81 | 2.66 | 2–16 | 0.9 | +0.85 | 0.7 | 24% |
| 2024-03-09 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 1.83 | 1.15 | 1–6 | 1.3 | −0.68 | 0.1 | 93% |
| 2024-03-02 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 1.60 | 2.76 | 3–2 | 1.8 | +1.16 | 1.0 | 24% |
| 2023-03-25 | Team Racing Invite | skipper | 1.84 | 0.30 | 5–12 | 9.8 | −1.54 | 5.0 | >99% |
| 2023-03-05 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 1.72 | 2.39 | 3–5 | 1.9 | +0.67 | 0.5 | 30% |
| 2022-04-02 | Jumbo Team Race | skipper | 1.43 | 2.40 | 8–13 | 4.6 | +0.97 | 2.5 | 5% |
| 2022-03-05 | Hap Moore | skipper | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1–11 | 1.0 | −0.00 | 0.0 | 67% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy Camel | Skipper | TR | 21 | 0% | — |
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 6 | 50% | — |
| Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 11% | — |
| NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle | Skipper | TR | 11 | 0% | — |
| NEISA Open Dinghy Championship/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 6 | 14.5 | 1.63 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.8 | 2.37 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.6 | 1.55 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 17.5 | -0.14 |
| Harry Anderson Jr Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 13.3 | 2.34 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 18.7 | 1.12 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 2 | 15.5 | 0.54 |
| The 82nd Professor Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 13.5 | 2.13 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Team Racing Invite | Skipper | TR | 17 | 29% | — |
| College Sailing Open Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 1 | 17.0 | — |
| Brown Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 16 | 19% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale FJ Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 16.3 | 0.43 |
| Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.9 | 1.93 |
| CC Invite Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.8 | -2.17 |
| 31st Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.2 | 1.32 |
| 2022 Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 7.1 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 7 Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.8 | — |
| Mystic Lake TR | Skipper | TR | 12 | 17% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 38% | — |
| Hap Moore | Skipper | TR | 16 | 6% | — |
| J-70 Invitational #2 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 15 | 4.1 | 0.46 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Ester | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.0 | 1.53 |
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.2 | 2.44 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 6 | 14.0 | 1.24 |
| Boston University Invite | Skipper | A | 11 | 13.1 | -1.59 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 16.2 | -0.62 |
| Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.9 | 0.84 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.2 | 1.01 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
