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Boston University Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 161
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 199
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 217
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 274
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 282
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 303
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 328
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 339
9 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 463
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 A 13 2 5 1 3 3 1 5 13 6 4 2 5 4 2 69 Chase Reynolds '23
Colin Martz '25
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 A 12 7 1 4 1 6 2 1 3 14 6 8 1 6 3 75 George Higham '23
Hank Bailey '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 B 3 4 3 5 11 1 5 14 5 4 9 10 3 5 4 86 Luke Hosek '24 [1-15]
Izaiah Farr '23 [1-8, 11-15]
Ethan Snyder '25 [9-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 9 3 13 8 4 15 6 8 4 1 1 4 8 3 8 95 Christian Moffitt '21
Maddie Taylor '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 2 1 4 14 9 4 3 3 14 8 2 13 10 12 5 104 Zachary Champney '22
Emilia Marino '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 1 9 2 7 2 14 17 13 17 7 8 6 4 1 1 109 Tyler Miller '23
Arturo Ortega '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 B 7 15 8 2 6 13 7 4 6 3 3 9 13 7 12 115 Ryan Mckinney '24
Renee Smith '24
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers A 11 8 9 3 7 2 13 12 8 11 5 3 6 14 6 118 Matthew Elliott '24 [1-10]
Jemma Schroder '24 [11-15]
Sarah Stoops '25 [1-10]
Zoe Fisher '23 [11-15]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 4 5 6 6 5 7 12 6 2 12 7 17 16 2 16 123 Nathan Selian '25 [1-15]
Trent Chismar '22 [1-10]
Shana Weitzen '25 [11-15]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 B 15 10 7 18 8 10 9 9 7 5 12 11 7 9 11 148 William Bailey '24
Callum Robbins '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 B 5 16 16 9 13 8 4 11 11 2 14 15 18 8 9 159 Andrew Powers '24
Ashley Breyer '24
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers B 8 6 12 16 18 11 10 2 10 13 10 5 17 16 10 164 Charles Lindsay '21 [1-10]
Raymond Huffman '21 [11-15]
Yitian Zhu '25 [1-10]
Sarah Aaronson '23 [11-15]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 16 11 11 11 12 17 11 15 9 9 13 1 11 11 7 165 Miles Williams '24
Ava Wilson '24
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 A 14 17 14 13 10 5 14 7 12 10 15 12 9 13 15 180 Fritz Baldauf '24
Abigail Lenox '23
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 A 10 13 10 10 16 16 16 17 18 DNS 11 7 2 10 13 188 Charles Bresnahan '24 [1-12]
William Bedford '23 [13-15]
Ruth Reischmann '23 [1-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 17 12 17 12 17 9 8 16 1 15 17 14 15 17 18 205 William Wiegand '25
Will Brownie '25
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 18 14 18 15 15 12 15 10 15 16 16 18 14 15 14 225 Cameron Frary '24
Claudia Mabley '24
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 6 18 15 17 14 18 18 18 16 17 18 16 12 18 17 238 Harry Stevenson '24
Ryan Standaert '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats111111111111333
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222222222222444
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 1333333333333555
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 2444444444444666
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers555555555555777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1888888888888101010
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2999999999999111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1666666666666888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2777777777777999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats101010101010101010101010121212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111111111111111111111111131313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 1121212121212121212121212141414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 2131313131313131313131313151515
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers141414141414141414141414161616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1171717171717171717171717191919
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2181818181818181818181818202020
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1151515151515151515151515111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2161616161616161616161616222

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1008.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.0 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From E (94°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1008.1 hPa Rain0.30 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · W 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →