Massachusetts Institute of Technology '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.46 (fleet 3.54) | 137 of 328 | −0.10 ± 0.15 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 31–75 (29%) as crew 4–0 (100%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 7 | 27–58 | 4–0 |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 4–17 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 9 graded regattas (110 matches) the record is 35–75 against 39.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Thompson Trophy | skipper | 2.82 | 3.74 | 7–8 | 4.5 | +0.92 | 1.7 | 11% |
| 2026-04-04 | NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | skipper | 2.86 | 2.85 | 3–8 | 3.0 | −0.01 | 0.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-28 | The Lynn Marchiando Trophy Team Race-2026 | skipper | 2.71 | 2.34 | 7–11 | 8.2 | −0.38 | 0.3 | 83% |
| 2026-03-21 | The Friis Trophy | skipper | 2.85 | 1.65 | 2–6 | 3.3 | −1.21 | 1.2 | 96% |
| 2026-03-14 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 2.93 | 2.29 | 4–6 | 5.4 | −0.65 | 0.6 | 90% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | skipper | 2.97 | 2.12 | 3–13 | 5.0 | −0.85 | 1.2 | 94% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | crew | 2.97 | 5.97 | 4–0 | 3.4 | ≥+3.00 | 0.9 | 53% |
| 2026-02-28 | Liam O'Keefe '26 Trophy Team Race | skipper | 2.98 | 1.89 | 1–6 | 2.0 | −1.09 | 0.8 | 94% |
| 2024-04-06 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.64 | 2.36 | 4–17 | 4.9 | −0.28 | 0.2 | 77% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 7.1 | 3.31 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 11.0 | 3.43 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| The Wood Trophy | Skipper | TR | 20 | 35% | — |
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 33% | — |
| Open Eastern National Semis | Skipper | B | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| The Lynn Marchiando Trophy Team Race-2026 | Skipper | TR | 18 | 39% | — |
| Liam O'Keefe '26 Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| The Friis Trophy | Skipper | TR | 16 | 19% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.5 | 3.38 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.4 | 3.42 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.2 | 4.17 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.1 | 3.08 |
| 84th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.7 | 3.89 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Terrier Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.5 | 3.82 |
| Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 11.1 | 3.12 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 24 | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.3 | 3.45 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 14 | 5.6 | 3.29 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 19% | — |
| Boston University Trophy FR | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.3 | 3.35 |
| Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 5 | 6.2 | 3.66 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 4.13 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 3 | 6.3 | 2.80 |
| Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 12.8 | 2.44 |
| The Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 2 | 11.5 | 1.91 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.3 | 4.58 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Andy Yu |  Antilles School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
