Oberg Trophy

HostNortheastern
Date04/13/2024
TypeRegional
Boat420
Scoring3 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	C	TOT
1	Brown University	Bears	61	60	106	227
2	College of Charleston	Cougars	48	104	83	235
3	Tulane University	Green Wave	74	93	99	266
4	Tufts University	Jumbos	96	88	102	286
5	Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	102	120	79	301
6	Fordham University	Rams	128	76	104	308
7	Old Dominion University	Monarchs	113	102	107	322
8	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	166	85	78	329
9	Roger Williams University	Hawks	84	127	120	331
10	University of Rhode Island	Rams	128	134	82	344
11	Northeastern University	Huskies	133	124	133	390
12	Yale University	Bulldogs	118	107	170	395
13	Boston University	Terriers	175	137	97	409
14	SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	153	169	148	470
15	Salve Regina University	Seahawks	160	191	193	544
16	Maine Maritime Academy	Mariners	168	180	203	551

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
College of Charleston	Cougars	4	1	1	2	3	7	5	9	2	1	1	1	6	5	48	Benjamin Dufour '26 [1-14] Clara Murphy '27 [1-13] Garrett Grenauer '24 [14]
Brown University	Bears	2	5	3	8	7	2	3	11	1	4	7	6	1	1	61	Mason Stang '25 Olivia Miller '25
Tulane University	Green Wave	1	2	10	13	2	6	9	4	6	5	4	8	2	2	74	Thad Lettsome '24 [1-3, 13-14] Samantha Gardner '27 [4-12] Ellie Spearman '25 [1-3, 13] Abigail Borggaard '24 [4-6, 10-12, 14] Lucy Spearman '25 [7-9]
Roger Williams University	Hawks	11	3	12	9	4	4	1	2	3	8	6	5	10	6	84	Drew Mastovsky '26 [1-14] Frankie Sparrow '27 [1-6] Ruby Hope '25 [7-14]
Tufts University	Jumbos	5	9	RAF	3	1	DSQ	8	5	15	3	3	3	4	3	96	Kurt Stuebe '27 Matthew Caplan '25
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	14	4	5	12	5	1	2	3	13	11	9	2	12	9	102	Robert Ulmer '27 [1-14] Yitian Zhu '25 [1-6] Ade Larsen '27 [7-14]
Old Dominion University	Monarchs	6	8	8	14	12	5	6	1	8	7	5	4	16	13	113	Parker Purrington '24 Asianna Acosta '26
Yale University	Bulldogs	7	7	2	6	11	15	12	14	7	2	16	9	3	7	118	Mathias Reimer '27 Ariana Borut '27
University of Rhode Island	Rams	10	15	15	4	9	3	13	8	4	9	15	10	9	4	128	Olin Guck '26 Parker Brown '26
Fordham University	Rams	12	13	14	1	6	13	4	7	5	15	8	11	11	8	128	Beckett Kumler '24 Isabela Hillmann '27
Northeastern University	Huskies	3	12	11	11	13	8	7	12	10	12	2	13	7	12	133	Eva Ermlich '26 Abigail Thress '24
SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	15	10	4	5	10	14	11	6	11	14	11	14	14	14	153	Brooks Turcotte '26 Tyler Mendes '25
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	8	16	7	10	16	11	10	15	9	13	14	7	13	11	160	Emil Tullberg '25 Kate Johnson '25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	13	6	13	15	8	10	DSQ	10	14	16	10	16	8	10	166	Jack Derry '25 Austin White '27
Maine Maritime Academy	Mariners	9	11	6	16	14	12	15	16	16	6	12	15	5	15	168	Zachary York '24 William Ries '26
Boston University	Terriers	16	14	9	7	15	9	14	13	12	10	13	12	15	16	175	Elliott Mendenhall '25 [1-6, 10-12] Renato Korzinek '25 [7-9, 13-14] Arielle Candaele '26 [1-6, 10-12]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Brown University	Bears	1	5	1	2	1	6	5	5	9	1	2	4	13	5	60	Katharine Doble '26 Katherine Majette '27
Fordham University	Rams	5	1	4	3	2	10	7	2	3	5	1	14	5	14	76	Connor Bennett '26 Ava Brimicombe '25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	8	6	3	4	10	12	6	9	2	7	3	6	2	7	85	Luke Zylinski '26 Grace Austin '27
Tufts University	Jumbos	9	9	6	1	8	1	1	14	14	6	4	3	6	6	88	Connor Rosow '24 Amelia Carlson '24
Tulane University	Green Wave	7	2	11	9	15	3	9	1	8	9	7	1	3	8	93	Ava Anderson '27 [1-14] Catherine Anderson '26 [1-8, 13-14] Hope Breslin '26 [9-12]
Old Dominion University	Monarchs	4	3	9	8	7	4	2	4	4	13	6	12	15	11	102	Diogo Silva '26 Ethan Tutt '24
College of Charleston	Cougars	3	10	2	13	4	8	RDG	15	6	3	9	8	7	9	104	Jonnie Ciffolillo '27 Garrett Grenauer '24
Yale University	Bulldogs	14	12	12	7	5	2	13	16	1	8	5	10	1	1	107	Alex Adams '26 Mary Madaus '25
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	13	11	5	5	6	7	DNF	13	11	12	10	2	4	4	120	Emma Wang '27 Katherine Jankowski '27
Northeastern University	Huskies	12	13	8	10	11	5	4	8	12	4	12	13	10	2	124	Lucia Loosbrock '25 Lucinda Harley '27
Roger Williams University	Hawks	10	4	7	11	3	9	10	7	7	10	14	7	16	12	127	Jed Lory '27 Dominique Spinola '26
University of Rhode Island	Rams	16	7	14	14	9	13	3	3	13	2	11	11	8	10	134	Adam Strobridge '26 [1-14] Jane Lally '25 [1-2, 13-14] Miles Silverman '27 [3-12]
Boston University	Terriers	2	8	15	6	12	15	8	6	10	11	13	9	9	13	137	Nathan Selian '25 [1-14] Lachlan Hooper '25 [1-9] Sam Whipple '25 [10-14]
SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	11	16	16	15	16	11	12	11	5	15	8	16	14	3	169	Ben Hosford '25 Noah Kuzloski '27
Maine Maritime Academy	Mariners	6	14	13	16	13	16	14	12	16	14	15	5	11	15	180	Nathan Hyde '25 Anna Ladue '26
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	15	15	10	12	14	14	11	10	15	16	16	15	12	16	191	Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-14] Caelan Haddock '25 [1-8] Julia Overmyer '27 [9-14]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	1	3	4	12	8	7	6	4	5	3	9	7	8	1	78	Kevin Gosselin '27 Gavin Vanmanen '27
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Engineers	4	5	6	1	5	6	2	5	8	11	2	13	5	6	79	Andy Yu '27 Lucas Escandon '26
University of Rhode Island	Rams	2	7	1	4	9	4	4	14	15	7	5	5	1	4	82	Declan Botwinick '25 Vanessa Reid '26
College of Charleston	Cougars	5	12	14	11	3	5	5	2	2	6	3	11	2	2	83	Bella Shakespeare '27 Andrea Melnik '27
Boston University	Terriers	9	1	3	2	10	8	7	8	10	9	7	9	7	7	97	Gavin Monaghan '26 [1-6, 10-14] Richard Kalich '26 [7-9] Adam Elci '26 [1-6, 8-14] Sam Whipple '25 [7]
Tulane University	Green Wave	6	6	12	3	2	2	3	3	7	8	12	14	13	8	99	Mia Hanes '24 [1-14] Mira Herlihy '27 [1-2, 4-14] Sloane Mullin '27 [3]
Tufts University	Jumbos	7	4	11	6	1	1	13	13	3	10	4	3	12	14	102	Jack Flores '25 Nicole Morikawa '25
Fordham University	Rams	10	2	2	10	4	12	8	1	11	1	11	10	10	12	104	Lucas Thress '26 Caroline Newton '27
Brown University	Bears	12	8	7	5	11	9	9	10	9	5	8	4	4	5	106	Connor Macken '24 Sierra Bornheim '24
Old Dominion University	Monarchs	8	10	13	9	7	3	11	9	13	2	6	1	6	9	107	Blake Goodwin '27 Molly Hanson '27
Roger Williams University	Hawks	3	11	8	8	12	11	1	7	6	4	10	12	16	11	120	Yasar Akin '27 [1-14] Demetry Spinola '26 [1-7] Dawson Chambers-Tartaglino '27 [8-9] Frankie Sparrow '27 [10-14]
Northeastern University	Huskies	14	9	16	13	14	16	12	11	1	12	1	8	3	3	133	Aidan Boni '26 [1-7] Adrian Winkelman '25 [8-14] Hala Gilbert '26 [1-7] Emma Cole '25 [8-14]
SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	16	15	10	7	6	15	10	15	4	14	13	2	11	10	148	Jeremy Lunati '27 Ryan Sylvester '26
Yale University	Bulldogs	11	14	5	15	16	10	15	6	16	13	15	6	15	13	170	Beck Lorsch '25 Ilinca Anschel '26
Salve Regina University	Seahawks	13	13	9	14	13	13	14	16	12	16	14	16	14	16	193	Tyler Winowiecki '27 [1-7, 13-14] Sean Morrison '27 [8-12] Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-7] Caelan Haddock '25 [8-14]
Maine Maritime Academy	Mariners	15	16	15	16	15	14	16	12	14	15	16	15	9	15	203	Griffen Horne '23 [1-6] Isaac Thompson '27 [7-14] Kylie Coxon '27 [1-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
Boston University Terriers	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
Brown University Bears	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
College of Charleston Cougars	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12
Fordham University Rams	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2
Maine Maritime Academy Mariners	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4
Northeastern University Huskies	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5
SUNY Maritime College Privateers	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
Old Dominion University Monarchs	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6
University of Rhode Island Rams	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13
Roger Williams University Hawks	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
Salve Regina University Seahawks	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9
Tufts University Jumbos	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10
Tulane University Green Wave	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11
Yale University Bulldogs	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
Boston University Terriers	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14
Brown University Bears	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
College of Charleston Cougars	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11
Fordham University Rams	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1
Maine Maritime Academy Mariners	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3
Northeastern University Huskies	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4
SUNY Maritime College Privateers	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
Old Dominion University Monarchs	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5
University of Rhode Island Rams	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12
Roger Williams University Hawks	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6
Salve Regina University Seahawks	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
Tufts University Jumbos	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9
Tulane University Green Wave	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10
Yale University Bulldogs	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13

Division C

Team	1C	2C	3C	4C	5C	6C	7C	8C	9C	10C	11C	12C	13C	14C
Boston University Terriers	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13
Brown University Bears	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14
College of Charleston Cougars	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10
Fordham University Rams	4	4	4	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16
Maine Maritime Academy Mariners	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2
Northeastern University Huskies	7	7	7	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3
SUNY Maritime College Privateers	10	10	10	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6
Old Dominion University Monarchs	8	8	8	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4
University of Rhode Island Rams	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8	8	11	11
Roger Williams University Hawks	9	9	9	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5
Salve Regina University Seahawks	11	11	11	14	14	14	1	1	1	4	4	4	7	7
Tufts University Jumbos	12	12	12	15	15	15	2	2	2	5	5	5	8	8
Tulane University Green Wave	13	13	13	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9
Yale University Bulldogs	16	16	16	3	3	3	6	6	6	9	9	9	12	12

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston University	Elliott Mendenhall '25 [1-6, 10-12] Renato Korzinek '25 [7-9, 13-14]	Arielle Candaele '26 [1-6, 10-12]
Terriers	Nathan Selian '25 [1-14]	Lachlan Hooper '25 [1-9] Sam Whipple '25 [10-14]
	Gavin Monaghan '26 [1-6, 10-14] Richard Kalich '26 [7-9]	Adam Elci '26 [1-6, 8-14] Sam Whipple '25 [7]
Brown University	Mason Stang '25	Olivia Miller '25
Bears	Katharine Doble '26	Katherine Majette '27
	Connor Macken '24	Sierra Bornheim '24
College of Charleston	Benjamin Dufour '26 [1-14]	Clara Murphy '27 [1-13] Garrett Grenauer '24 [14]
Cougars	Jonnie Ciffolillo '27	Garrett Grenauer '24
	Bella Shakespeare '27	Andrea Melnik '27
Fordham University	Beckett Kumler '24	Isabela Hillmann '27
Rams	Connor Bennett '26	Ava Brimicombe '25
	Lucas Thress '26	Caroline Newton '27
Maine Maritime Academy	Zachary York '24	William Ries '26
Mariners	Nathan Hyde '25	Anna Ladue '26
	Griffen Horne '23 [1-6] Isaac Thompson '27 [7-14]	Kylie Coxon '27 [1-6]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Robert Ulmer '27 [1-14]	Yitian Zhu '25 [1-6] Ade Larsen '27 [7-14]
Engineers	Emma Wang '27	Katherine Jankowski '27
	Andy Yu '27	Lucas Escandon '26
Northeastern University	Eva Ermlich '26	Abigail Thress '24
Huskies	Lucia Loosbrock '25	Lucinda Harley '27
	Aidan Boni '26 [1-7] Adrian Winkelman '25 [8-14]	Hala Gilbert '26 [1-7] Emma Cole '25 [8-14]
Old Dominion University	Parker Purrington '24	Asianna Acosta '26
Monarchs	Diogo Silva '26	Ethan Tutt '24
	Blake Goodwin '27	Molly Hanson '27
Roger Williams University	Drew Mastovsky '26 [1-14]	Frankie Sparrow '27 [1-6] Ruby Hope '25 [7-14]
Hawks	Jed Lory '27	Dominique Spinola '26
	Yasar Akin '27 [1-14]	Demetry Spinola '26 [1-7] Dawson Chambers-Tartaglino '27 [8-9] Frankie Sparrow '27 [10-14]
SUNY Maritime College	Brooks Turcotte '26	Tyler Mendes '25
Privateers	Ben Hosford '25	Noah Kuzloski '27
	Jeremy Lunati '27	Ryan Sylvester '26
Salve Regina University	Emil Tullberg '25	Kate Johnson '25
Seahawks	Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-14]	Caelan Haddock '25 [1-8] Julia Overmyer '27 [9-14]
	Tyler Winowiecki '27 [1-7, 13-14] Sean Morrison '27 [8-12]	Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-7] Caelan Haddock '25 [8-14]
Tufts University	Kurt Stuebe '27	Matthew Caplan '25
Jumbos	Connor Rosow '24	Amelia Carlson '24
	Jack Flores '25	Nicole Morikawa '25
Tulane University	Thad Lettsome '24 [1-3, 13-14] Samantha Gardner '27 [4-12]	Ellie Spearman '25 [1-3, 13] Abigail Borggaard '24 [4-6, 10-12, 14] Lucy Spearman '25 [7-9]
Green Wave	Ava Anderson '27 [1-14]	Catherine Anderson '26 [1-8, 13-14] Hope Breslin '26 [9-12]
	Mia Hanes '24 [1-14]	Mira Herlihy '27 [1-2, 4-14] Sloane Mullin '27 [3]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Jack Derry '25	Austin White '27
Bears	Luke Zylinski '26	Grace Austin '27
	Kevin Gosselin '27	Gavin Vanmanen '27
University of Rhode Island	Olin Guck '26	Parker Brown '26
Rams	Adam Strobridge '26 [1-14]	Jane Lally '25 [1-2, 13-14] Miles Silverman '27 [3-12]
	Declan Botwinick '25	Vanessa Reid '26
Yale University	Mathias Reimer '27	Ariana Borut '27
Bulldogs	Alex Adams '26	Mary Madaus '25
	Beck Lorsch '25	Ilinca Anschel '26

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 53% · Pressure 997.1 hPa

Temperature

54°F

↑ 56°F ↓ 50°F

Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

13.0 kn

avg · max 15.6 kn

Gusts to 28.8 kn

From WSW (252°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity53% Pressure997.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 22 kn · SW 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Northeastern: a favourites’ day (+0.05)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09

Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.23 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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