Gavin Monaghan

Rating History

Crew Rating

Career: 40.61 percentile of ICSA crews (limited evidence)

No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded1.93unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)9Fall 2022

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.69 (fleet 2.27) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.04 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 27–64 (30%)
as crew 5–7 (42%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202514–6—
Fall 202412–3—
Spring 2024211–12—
Fall 202321–21—
Spring 202349–224–4
Fall 20221—1–3
1.31.41.51.61.7Spring 2023Fall 2023Spring 2024Fall 2024Spring 2025Wood Trophy Team Race (2023-03-11): rating 1.52, fleet rating alone 1.51, offset +0.01; record 4-10 in this boatHarpswell Sound Team Race (2023-03-25): rating 1.54, fleet rating alone 1.50, offset +0.03; record 4-12 in this boatNorman Reid Team Race (2023-10-21): rating 1.47, fleet rating alone 1.46, offset +0.01; record 0-12 in this boatFranklin Lane Trophy Team Race (2023-10-22): rating 1.44, fleet rating alone 1.46, offset -0.02; record 1-9 in this boatBU Team Race (2024-03-23): rating 1.44, fleet rating alone 1.50, offset -0.05; record 2-0 in this boatMystic Lake Team Race (2024-04-06): rating 1.48, fleet rating alone 1.50, offset -0.02; record 9-12 in this boatFranklin Lane Trophy Team Race (2024-10-20): rating 1.51, fleet rating alone 1.49, offset +0.02; record 2-3 in this boatBU Team Race (2025-03-22): rating 1.58, fleet rating alone 1.57, offset +0.02; record 4-6 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 9 graded regattas (100 matches) the record is 29–71 against 25.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-03-22BU Team Raceskipper1.952.284–63.5+0.340.148%
2024-10-20Franklin Lane Trophy Team Raceskipper1.811.602–32.2−0.210.077%
2024-04-06Mystic Lake Team Raceskipper2.082.719–126.4+0.621.214%
2023-10-22Franklin Lane Trophy Team Raceskipper1.821.251–91.6−0.570.284%
2023-10-21Norman Reid Team Raceskipper1.75-1.250–121.0≤−3.001.6>99%
2023-04-08Mystic Lake Team Racing Invitecrew1.892.584–42.9+0.700.630%
2023-03-25Harpswell Sound Team Raceskipper1.791.414–125.0−0.380.382%
2023-03-11Wood Trophy Team Raceskipper1.852.624–102.5+0.770.921%
2022-10-23Franklin Lane Trophycrew2.112.431–30.8+0.330.160%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Wesleyan Invite Skipper B 6 1.0 —
BU Team Race Skipper TR 10 40% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper B 14 9.6 1.54
Penobscot Bay Open Skipper B 9 7.1 0.77
The George Warren Smith Trophy 24 Skipper A 6 12.8 1.95
Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 5 40% —
Callagy Ross Regatta Skipper A 10 6.8 0.96
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Southern Series 7 Skipper B 8 8.0 0.08
Oberg Trophy Skipper C 11 6.5 3.08
Mystic Lake Team Race Skipper TR 21 43% —
George E. Morris Trophy Crew A 4 3.5 +0.23
BU Team Race Skipper TR 5 60% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper B 14 10.0 1.99
Savin Hill Invite Skipper B 8 12.0 1.68
Norman Reid Team Race Skipper TR 12 0% —
Hood Trophy Skipper B 6 16.2 1.18
Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 10 10% —
The Dark of Night Crew B 2 11.0 -0.68
BU Invite Oct Skipper B 10 4.6 2.84
BU Invite Skipper A 9 8.0 1.87
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Wood Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 14 29% —
Oberg Trophy Skipper C 14 6.3 3.13
Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite Crew TR 8 50% —
George Morris Trophy Skipper B 12 7.7 2.34
McMerrick Cup Skipper TR 6 50% —
Harpswell Sound Team Race Skipper TR 16 25% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Savin Hill Invite Crew B 5 9.4 —
Nickerson Trophy Skipper B 2 10.5 1.23
NEISA Fundamental Symposium Skipper B 3 2.7 3.02
Moody Trophy Crew A 6 11.5 —
Harvard Invitational Skipper A 8 9.9 2.27
Greater Boston Solo Championship Singlehanded Skipper A 9 8.4 2.30
Great Herring Pond Open Skipper B 8 3.0 2.59
Franklin Lane Trophy Crew TR 4 25% —

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →