Savin Hill Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 19 13 32
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 17 26 43
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 33 28 61
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 41 33 74
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 49 26 75
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 42 33 75
7 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 47 31 78
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 32 47 79
9 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 36 46 82
10 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 37 53 90
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 39 52 91
12 Boston University Boston University Terriers 44 47 91
13 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 42 50 92
14 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 77 48 125
15 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 58 68 126
16 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 67 80 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 1 2 1 8 5 17 Jack Redmond '26
Kennedy Laureigh '26
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 6 6 2 2 19 Nathan Sih '25
Catherine Cheung '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 3 16 5 4 32 Connor Bennett '26
Roberto Lugones '24
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 5 13 10 3 33 Mason Stang '25
Catherine Morrissette '24
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 6 10 10 4 6 36 Wilson Kaznoski '24
Anastasia Mastrocola '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 15 7 7 1 37 Nils Tullberg '23
Hannah Mailey '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 11 5 1 13 39 Connor Rosow '24
Magdelaina Putnam '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 8 2 13 7 41 Lauren Russler '26
Aidan Michelow '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 13 1 8 9 11 42 Alex Abate '22
Mercedes Escandon '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 14 4 11 3 10 42 Ryan Goldstein '22
Phoebe Lee '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 7 3 14 8 44 Elliott Mendenhall '25
Jack Cariaso '25
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 5 12 15 6 9 47 Francis Selldorff '23
Sophia Hacket '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 13 4 12 12 49 Declan Botwinick '25
Jane Lally '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 9 12 11 16 58 Andy Leshaw '25
Hannah Hicks '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 15 14 9 15 14 67 Aidan Pesce '26
Abigail Fennelly '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 16 16 14 16 15 77 Brandon Depalma '24
Anthon Funderburk '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 2 8 1 13 Mateo Farina '25
Jessi Avila-Shah '25
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 2 8 2 11 26 Peter Joslin '26
Lily Ornstein '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 5 1 1 9 26 Adam Strobridge '26
Jack Honan '23
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 7 5 6 8 28 Katharine Doble '26
Brianna Ross '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 7 9 4 9 2 31 Griffin Gigliotti '26
Josie Warfield '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 4 11 7 7 33 Kyra Phelan '26
Caleb Adams-Hull '23
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 15 3 5 4 33 Griffin Lapham '25
Faye Benjamin '25
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 13 10 15 3 5 46 Nolan Cooper '25
Nicholas Pisani '26
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 12 13 4 13 47 Lucas Thress '26
Leah Spadaro '25
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 8 9 12 10 47 William Wiegand '25
Gavin Monaghan '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 11 7 13 6 48 Brendan Smucker '25
Sofia Scarpa '26
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 14 3 10 11 12 50 Alexander Horne '26
Yitian Zhu '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 14 12 14 3 52 Niall Sheridan '23
Sara Morrison '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 6 6 15 14 53 Pearl Lattanzi '23
Charlotte Martinez '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15 13 14 10 16 68 Michael Morley '26
Jack Clasby '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 16 16 DNF 15 80 Jack Schwab '25
Kathleen Downey '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 222222
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44444
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears55555
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66666
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags77777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers88888
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams99999
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1010101010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212121212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717171717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616161616
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 222222
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44444
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears55555
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66666
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags77777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers88888
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1313131313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1010101010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212121212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717171717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616161616
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Jack Redmond '26 Kennedy Laureigh '26
Eagles 1 Peter Joslin '26 Lily Ornstein '26
Boston College Boston College Francis Selldorff '23 Sophia Hacket '25
Eagles 2 Griffin Gigliotti '26 Josie Warfield '23
Boston University Boston University Elliott Mendenhall '25 Jack Cariaso '25
Terriers William Wiegand '25 Gavin Monaghan '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Lauren Russler '26 Aidan Michelow '21
Polar Bears Kyra Phelan '26 Caleb Adams-Hull '23
Brown University Brown University Mason Stang '25 Catherine Morrissette '24
Bears Katharine Doble '26 Brianna Ross '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Ryan Goldstein '22 Phoebe Lee '26
Big Green Griffin Lapham '25 Faye Benjamin '25
Fairfield University Fairfield University Wilson Kaznoski '24 Anastasia Mastrocola '23
Stags Nolan Cooper '25 Nicholas Pisani '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Brandon Depalma '24 Anthon Funderburk '24
Panthers Brendan Smucker '25 Sofia Scarpa '26
Fordham University Fordham University Connor Bennett '26 Roberto Lugones '24
Rams Lucas Thress '26 Leah Spadaro '25
Harvard University Harvard University Aidan Pesce '26 Abigail Fennelly '24
Crimson Jack Schwab '25 Kathleen Downey '24
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Alex Abate '22 Mercedes Escandon '25
Engineers Alexander Horne '26 Yitian Zhu '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andy Leshaw '25 Hannah Hicks '25
Buccaneers Michael Morley '26 Jack Clasby '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Nils Tullberg '23 Hannah Mailey '25
Seahawks Pearl Lattanzi '23 Charlotte Martinez '23
Tufts University Tufts University Connor Rosow '24 Magdelaina Putnam '25
Jumbos Niall Sheridan '23 Sara Morrison '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Declan Botwinick '25 Jane Lally '25
Rams Adam Strobridge '26 Jack Honan '23
Yale University Yale University Nathan Sih '25 Catherine Cheung '24
Bulldogs Mateo Farina '25 Jessi Avila-Shah '25

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From WSW (245°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →