Elliott Mendenhall

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat1.14unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)19Fall 2024

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
2.12 (fleet 2.76) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.12 ± 0.15
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 94–146 (39%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2025521–42—
Fall 202412–3—
Spring 2024320–12—
Fall 202321–21—
Spring 2023522–27—
Fall 202225–14—
Spring 2022316–24—
Fall 202117–3—
1.71.81.922.12.22.3Spring 2022Fall 2022Spring 2023Fall 2023Spring 2024Fall 2024Spring 2025MIT Team Race Invite (2022-03-12): rating 1.88, fleet rating alone 1.83, offset +0.05; record 4-4 in this boatSouthern New England Team Race (2022-03-19): rating 1.95, fleet rating alone 1.84, offset +0.11; record 4-14 in this boatMystic Lake TR (2022-04-09): rating 1.98, fleet rating alone 1.92, offset +0.06; record 8-6 in this boatNorman Reid Team Race (2022-10-22): rating 1.82, fleet rating alone 1.78, offset +0.04; record 4-11 in this boatFranklin Lane Trophy (2022-10-23): rating 1.84, fleet rating alone 1.78, offset +0.06; record 1-3 in this boatMcMerrick Cup (2023-03-04): rating 1.84, fleet rating alone 1.78, offset +0.06; record 1-0 in this boatMcMerrick Cup (2023-03-04): rating 1.84, fleet rating alone 1.78, offset +0.06; record 2-2 in this boatWood Trophy Team Race (2023-03-11): rating 1.85, fleet rating alone 1.80, offset +0.04; record 4-10 in this boatIvan Geiger Team Race (2023-03-18): rating 1.88, fleet rating alone 1.80, offset +0.08; record 6-11 in this boatStaake Trophy (2023-03-25): rating 1.88, fleet rating alone 1.79, offset +0.09; record 5-0 in this boatMystic Lake Team Racing Invite (2023-04-08): rating 1.87, fleet rating alone 1.77, offset +0.10; record 4-4 in this boatNorman Reid Team Race (2023-10-21): rating 1.90, fleet rating alone 1.80, offset +0.10; record 0-12 in this boatFranklin Lane Trophy Team Race (2023-10-22): rating 1.88, fleet rating alone 1.80, offset +0.09; record 1-9 in this boatIvan Geiger Team Race (2024-03-16): rating 1.90, fleet rating alone 1.83, offset +0.07; record 13-4 in this boatBU Team Race (2024-03-23): rating 1.96, fleet rating alone 1.84, offset +0.12; record 1-2 in this boatStaake Trophy (2024-03-30): rating 1.95, fleet rating alone 1.84, offset +0.11; record 6-6 in this boatFranklin Lane Trophy Team Race (2024-10-20): rating 2.07, fleet rating alone 1.99, offset +0.08; record 2-3 in this boatMcMerrick (2025-03-01): rating 2.09, fleet rating alone 2.02, offset +0.07; record 5-0 in this boatIvan Geiger Trophy 2025 (2025-03-15): rating 2.17, fleet rating alone 2.06, offset +0.11; record 5-9 in this boat2025 Staake Trophy (2025-03-22): rating 2.19, fleet rating alone 2.09, offset +0.10; record 4-2 in this boat2025 Staake Trophy (2025-03-22): rating 2.19, fleet rating alone 2.09, offset +0.10; record 5-4 in this boat2025 Marchiando Trophy-Grey Regatta (2025-03-29): rating 2.19, fleet rating alone 2.08, offset +0.11; record 2-19 in this boatFowle Trophy (2025-04-05): rating 2.21, fleet rating alone 2.09, offset +0.12; record 0-1 in this boatFowle Trophy (2025-04-05): rating 2.21, fleet rating alone 2.09, offset +0.12; record 0-7 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 22 graded regattas (240 matches) the record is 94–146 against 83.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+10.1). 6 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 9 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 30 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-05Fowle Trophyskipper2.77-0.230–80.9≤−3.001.4>99%
2025-03-292025 Marchiando Trophy-Grey Regattaskipper2.693.292–191.2+0.600.432%
2025-03-222025 Staake Trophyskipper2.592.799–68.5+0.200.150%
2025-03-15Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025skipper2.652.165–96.6−0.490.587%
2025-03-01McMerrickskipper2.535.535–02.7≥+3.004.44%
2024-10-20Franklin Lane Trophy Team Raceskipper2.422.202–32.2−0.210.077%
2024-03-30Staake Trophyskipper2.531.266–68.0−1.272.098%
2024-03-23BU Team Raceskipper2.551.581–21.7−0.970.592%
2024-03-16Ivan Geiger Team Raceskipper2.413.9613–48.5+1.554.91%
2023-10-22Franklin Lane Trophy Team Raceskipper2.461.891–91.6−0.570.284%
2023-10-21Norman Reid Team Raceskipper2.47-0.530–121.0≤−3.001.6>99%
2023-04-08Mystic Lake Team Racing Inviteskipper2.242.934–42.9+0.700.630%
2023-03-25Staake Trophyskipper2.375.375–04.4≥+3.000.950%
2023-03-18Ivan Geiger Team Raceskipper2.333.246–113.7+0.921.611%
2023-03-11Wood Trophy Team Raceskipper2.233.004–102.5+0.770.921%
2023-03-04McMerrick Cupskipper2.311.833–23.5−0.480.285%
2022-10-23Franklin Lane Trophyskipper2.292.621–30.8+0.330.160%
2022-10-22Norman Reid Team Raceskipper2.222.964–112.3+0.740.919%
2022-04-09Mystic Lake TRskipper2.521.998–69.5−0.520.689%
2022-03-19Southern New England Team Raceskipper2.301.674–145.8−0.630.891%
2022-03-12MIT Team Race Inviteskipper2.174.304–41.1+2.145.01%
2021-10-24Lane Trophy Team Raceskipper1.763.127–34.7+1.352.19%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Truxtun Umsted Skipper B 2 15.5 0.60
NEISA Open FR Champs/Coast Guard Alumni Bowl Skipper A 11 12.0 2.95
McMerrick Skipper TR 5 100% —
Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 Skipper TR 14 36% —
Fowle Trophy Skipper TR 11 0% —
Admiral’s Cup Skipper A 12 10.6 2.49
2025 Staake Trophy Skipper TR 15 60% —
2025 Marchiando Trophy-Grey Regatta Skipper TR 21 10% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Terrier Invite Skipper B 6 2.3 4.03
Savin Hill Invite Skipper A 5 5.0 3.95
Richard Ross at Courageous Keelboat Skipper A 5 3.8 1.80
Moody Trophy Skipper A 4 14.8 1.32
Harman Cup Keelboat Skipper A 8 4.6 0.88
Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 5 40% —
Crews Regatta Crew A 4 1.2 —
Barnett Trophy Skipper A 7 2.3 4.04
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Wesleyan Invite Skipper A 3 1.0 —
Staake Trophy Skipper TR 12 50% —
Southern Series 7 Skipper A 8 4.5 2.05
Oberg Trophy Skipper A 9 11.7 2.38
Ivan Geiger Team Race Skipper TR 17 76% —
BU Team Race Skipper TR 5 60% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper A 14 9.7 2.55
Norman Reid Team Race Skipper TR 12 0% —
Hood Trophy Skipper A 14 10.7 3.01
The Hatch Brown Trophy Skipper C 7 12.9 2.71
Harman Cup Keelboat Skipper A 6 5.2 0.31
The George Warren Smith Trophy Skipper A 9 10.4 2.22
Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 10 10% —
The Dark of Night Skipper A 2 1.5 5.26
Captain Hurst Bowl Skipper B 12 13.7 1.83
BU Invite Oct Skipper A 10 4.4 3.23
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Wood Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 14 29% —
Staake Trophy Skipper TR 20 80% —
Southern 7 Fleet Race Skipper A 9 3.9 2.00
Owen Trophy Skipper A 14 11.5 1.80
Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite Skipper TR 8 50% —
George Morris Trophy Skipper A 8 7.8 2.74
McMerrick Cup Skipper TR 6 50% —
Ivan Geiger Team Race Skipper TR 17 35% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Sister Esther Open Skipper A 12 12.0 1.54
Savin Hill Invite Skipper A 5 8.8 2.65
Norman Reid Team Race Skipper TR 15 27% —
Moody Trophy Skipper A 6 11.5 2.63
The Hood Trophy Skipper A 10 11.0 3.08
Franklin Lane Trophy Skipper TR 4 25% —
CC Invite Trophy Skipper A 8 8.9 0.97
2022 Pine Trophy Keelboat Crew A 8 5.5 —
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Spring Oberg Trophy Skipper C 16 4.6 2.94
Southern New England Team Race Skipper TR 18 22% —
Mystic Lake TR Skipper TR 14 57% —
MIT Team Race Invite Skipper TR 8 50% —
George Morris Trophy Skipper B 10 2.4 4.86
Boston University Trophy Skipper A 14 3.4 3.92
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Savin Hill Invite Skipper B 10 9.0 2.53
The Nickerson Trophy Skipper B 8 7.2 3.35
Nicholas Barnett Trophy Skipper B 13 6.9 2.93
Lane Trophy Team Race Skipper TR 10 70% —
Hewitt Trophy Skipper A 10 7.2 2.96
Harvard Invitational Skipper A 10 8.0 2.03
Charles Invitational Skipper A 9 4.8 2.87

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →