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Wesleyan Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 15 18
2 Williams College Williams College Ephs 8 18 26
3 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 11 19 30
4 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 13 17 30
5 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 14 16 30
6 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 20 34
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 DNS DNS 15 William Wiegand '25
Arielle Candaele '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 DNS DNS 16 Angelina Papa '26
Iain Gillespie '26
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 3 DNS DNS 17 Rory Mcclenahan '24
Benjamin Siegel '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs 4 DNS DNS 18 Charles Maier '26
Gwyn Mclear '24
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 5 DNS DNS 19 Adrian Whitney '26
Divine Daryl Kengne Mukem '27
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 DNS DNS 20 Samuel Oslovich '24
Paisleigh Mccarthy '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies333
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen888
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals666
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths222
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers333
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies888
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen101010
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs666

Conditions — 04/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1020.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine7.9 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1020.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wesleyan: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.37)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wesleyan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Wesleyan: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →