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The George Warren Smith Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 19 33 52
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 35 22 57
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 45 68 113
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 66 52 118
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 48 87 135
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 59 78 137
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 91 59 150
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 79 77 156
9 Brown University Brown University Bears 74 90 164
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 95 73 168
11 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 98 71 169
12 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 92 78 170
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 94 88 182
14 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 107 91 198
15 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 125 131 256
16 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 115 141 256
17 Williams College Williams College Ephs 135 138 273
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 5 1 1 1 4 4 1 19 Julius Heitkoetter '25
Yitian Zhu '25
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 3 1 2 2 10 7 3 3 35 Ian Hopkins Guerra '26
Emily Marlas '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 2 3 8 6 9 3 2 6 45 Max Sigel '26
Jane Lally '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 5 9 3 4 2 5 8 4 48 Zoey Ziskind '27
Sarra Guezguez '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 9 8 7 5 6 2 9 11 59 Michelangelo Vecchio '27
Maizie Bartlett '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 5 7 7 12 11 8 9 5 2 66 William Bailey '24
Frankie Sparrow '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 16 2 5 9 11 11 1 12 74 Grant Adam '23
Spencer Dellenbaugh '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 4 6 4 10 3 14 10 15 79 Adrien Bellanger '25
Nicole Morikawa '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 12 14 10 13 3 4 10 16 9 91 Ryan Potter '24 [1-3]
Christian Cushman '25 [4-9]
Alex Boni '25 [1-3]
Alice Thompson '25 [4-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 11 14 10 8 5 1 12 16 92 Sam Monaghan '24 [1-6]
Eva Ermlich '26 [7-9]
Isabella Welch '25 [1-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 17 11 6 7 14 15 11 10 94 Elliott Mendenhall '25
Morgan Contrino '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14 6 12 9 15 13 6 15 5 95 Tyler Egeli '24
Celia Del Rosso '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 9 8 4 11 12 15 8 14 17 98 Luke Hosek '24
Ethan Snyder '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 15 15 14 13 7 12 13 7 107 Ava Hurwitz '27
Sudi Zhao '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 17 12 13 15 14 12 13 6 13 115 Marshall Rodes '26
Evelyn Buxton '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 13 17 16 16 16 16 7 14 125 Sean Morrison '27
Camille Cullen '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs 16 10 16 17 17 17 17 17 8 135 Felix Nusbaum '25
Viviana Barberi '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 2 4 4 2 1 1 1 6 22 Ryan Mcgauley '27
Kennedy Laureigh '26
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 3 2 3 1 5 2 12 1 33 Emma Wang '27
Elliott Chalcraft '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 2 12 7 1 8 3 12 4 3 52 Ethan Burt '26
Peter Cotoia '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 7 14 2 5 2 5 10 5 59 Calvin Lamosse '25
Will Broseman '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 5 8 10 9 6 10 3 10 68 Zachary Severson '26
Emma Hershey '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 8 4 3 13 13 8 11 9 2 71 Yasar Akin '27
Addyson Fisher '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 1 6 9 6 13 6 14 12 73 Kevin Brooksbank '27
Sophia Scalisi '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 14 1 7 4 15 9 13 11 77 Marina Garrido '25
Stefano Chiampo '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 13 16 11 5 11 4 3 2 13 78 Shea Mcgrath '27
Katharine Kurtz '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 14 10 13 11 3 7 8 8 4 78 Aidan Boni '26 [1-6]
Lucia Loosbrock '25 [7-9]
Hala Gilbert '26 [1-6]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 11 10 12 10 9 4 5 15 87 Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26
Abigail Fennelly '24
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 9 16 8 12 12 13 6 7 88 William Wiegand '25
Lachlan Hooper '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 15 5 6 7 11 14 11 9 90 Keller Morrison '25
Anna Steffen '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 6 9 14 14 10 7 7 14 91 Michael Hanrahan '24
Sophie Menyhart '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 8 15 15 15 14 17 15 17 131 Tyler Winowiecki '27
Julia Overmyer '27
Williams College Williams College Ephs 16 13 12 17 16 16 16 16 16 138 Felix Nusbaum '25
Gwyn Mclear '24
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 17 17 17 16 17 17 15 17 8 141 Angelina Papa '26 [1-6]
Iain Gillespie '26 [7-9]
Iain Gillespie '26 [1-3]
Marisa Gottsche '26 [4-6]
Angelina Papa '26 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111222333
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222333444
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears333444555
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears444555666
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green555666777
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson666777888
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen141414151515161616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers888999101010
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers777888999
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies999101010111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151515161616171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1101010111111121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111111121212131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121212131313141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131313141414151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161616171717111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs171717111222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111222333
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers222333444
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears333444555
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears444555666
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green555666777
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson666777888
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen141414151515161616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers888999101010
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers777888999
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies999101010111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151515161616171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1101010111111121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111111121212131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121212131313141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131313141414151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161616171717111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs171717111222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Ian Hopkins Guerra '26 Emily Marlas '26
Eagles Ryan Mcgauley '27 Kennedy Laureigh '26
Boston University Boston University Elliott Mendenhall '25 Morgan Contrino '24
Terriers William Wiegand '25 Lachlan Hooper '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michelangelo Vecchio '27 Maizie Bartlett '27
Polar Bears Shea Mcgrath '27 Katharine Kurtz '24
Brown University Brown University Grant Adam '23 Spencer Dellenbaugh '23
Bears Keller Morrison '25 Anna Steffen '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Ava Hurwitz '27 Sudi Zhao '26
Big Green Michael Hanrahan '24 Sophie Menyhart '27
Harvard University Harvard University Zoey Ziskind '27 Sarra Guezguez '27
Crimson Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26 Abigail Fennelly '24
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Julius Heitkoetter '25 Yitian Zhu '25
Engineers Emma Wang '27 Elliott Chalcraft '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Tyler Egeli '24 Celia Del Rosso '24
Buccaneers Kevin Brooksbank '27 Sophia Scalisi '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Sam Monaghan '24 [1-6]
Eva Ermlich '26 [7-9]		 Isabella Welch '25 [1-6]
Huskies Aidan Boni '26 [1-6]
Lucia Loosbrock '25 [7-9]		 Hala Gilbert '26 [1-6]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Luke Hosek '24 Ethan Snyder '25
Hawks 1 Yasar Akin '27 Addyson Fisher '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Bailey '24 Frankie Sparrow '27
Hawks 2 Ethan Burt '26 Peter Cotoia '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sean Morrison '27 Camille Cullen '26
Seahawks Tyler Winowiecki '27 Julia Overmyer '27
Tufts University Tufts University Adrien Bellanger '25 Nicole Morikawa '25
Jumbos Marina Garrido '25 Stefano Chiampo '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Marshall Rodes '26 Evelyn Buxton '26
Minutemen Angelina Papa '26 [1-6]
Iain Gillespie '26 [7-9]		 Iain Gillespie '26 [1-3]
Marisa Gottsche '26 [4-6]
Angelina Papa '26 [7-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Max Sigel '26 Jane Lally '25
Rams Zachary Severson '26 Emma Hershey '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Ryan Potter '24 [1-3]
Christian Cushman '25 [4-9]		 Alex Boni '25 [1-3]
Alice Thompson '25 [4-9]
Catamounts Calvin Lamosse '25 Will Broseman '26
Williams College Williams College Felix Nusbaum '25 Viviana Barberi '24
Ephs Felix Nusbaum '25 Gwyn Mclear '24

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1022.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NNE (30°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.9 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1022.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →