Harvard University '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 (fleet 1.74) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–15 (12%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 2–15 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (17 matches) the record is 2–15 against 1.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-25 | Team Racing Invite | skipper | 0.74 | 1.42 | 2–15 | 1.1 | +0.68 | 0.5 | 30% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta (J105) Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 3.0 | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.8 | 0.94 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Skipper | B | 7 | 11.4 | 1.24 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Terrier Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 9.2 | 1.57 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.4 | 1.97 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 2 | 17.5 | -1.14 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | C | 6 | 13.7 | — |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.2 | 2.77 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.2 | — |
| Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 5 | 11.4 | 2.10 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 12 | 11.2 | 0.96 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.7 | 1.75 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.8 | — |
| BU Invite Oct | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.5 | 0.40 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Racing Invite | Skipper | TR | 17 | 12% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.1 | 1.49 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 16.2 | -0.12 |
| Lark Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.0 | 0.98 |
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 14.8 | 0.54 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
