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Owen Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 69
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 73
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 96
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 104
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 152
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 155
7 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 226 MRP
8 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 235 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears B 4 BKD 4 2 1 2 1 10 27 Martins Atilla '27
Talia Levine '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 5 6 4 3 1 4 11 36 Clark Morris '26
Cody Lamoreux '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 1 1 8 3 9 3 11 1 37 Adrien Bellanger '25
Reddin Kehrli '27
Boston College Boston College Eagles A BKD 4 3 5 4 8 7 5 41 Ian Hopkins Guerra '26
Emily Marlas '26
Brown University Brown University Bears A 12 2 BKD 1 2 13 5 2 42 Blake Behrens '27
Corinne Harrison '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 3 2 6 7 14 9 6 50 Everett Nash '24
Jake Carlson '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 5 8 5 10 5 10 2 9 54 Adrian Winkelman '25
Emma Cole '25
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 7 9 1 7 6 9 3 13 55 Ryan Mcgauley '27
Paige Roby '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 8 12 7 8 8 6 12 3 64 Calvin Lamosse '25
Will Broseman '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 10 10 12 14 11 5 8 7 77 Jack Crager '27
Alexandra Chigas '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 6 6 14 13 13 4 14 8 78 Peter Cotoia '26
Madelyn Lascala '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 9 15 15 15 12 12 6 4 88 Christian Cushman '25 [1-8]
Brooke Willke '24 [1-6]
Lane Kaeyer '27 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 13 13 10 12 DNF 15 15 12 107 Charlie Lawrence '26 [1-8]
Holly Sugrue '27 [1-6]
Patrick York '24 [7-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 11 11 9 9 15 11 10 14 110 MRP Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26
Abigail Fennelly '24
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 14 7 13 11 10 16 13 BKD 116 MRP Christina Chen '27
Daniella Bregman '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 15 14 11 16 14 7 16 15 128 MRP Robert Finora '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Oscar Gilroy '27 [3-4]
Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Patrick York '24 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122223344
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22221116161515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson33445566
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7788991010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4433222211
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks55667788
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos66554433
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles99101011111212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1010998877
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1111121223232424
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners15151616112222
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies12121111101099
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks2323242415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2424232312121111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1616151524242323

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 997.0 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From WSW (250°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity54% Pressure997.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →