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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 87
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 108
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 169
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 180
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 198
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 293
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 1 4 2 1 2 3 13 Connor Mchugh '28
Caroline Felser '28
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 5 DSQ 4 2 3 1 21 Ryan Mcgauley '27
Paige Roby '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 6 7 6 3 1 2 25 Benjamin Stevens '25
Hazel Johnson '27
Boston College Boston College Eagles C 3 3 8 5 5 5 29 Griffin Gigliotti '26
Tor Svendsen '27
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 1 3 4 9 16 35 Charles Gish '28
Phoebe Hackett '28
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 8 5 1 6 11 6 37 Nick Budington '25
Kate Joslin '28
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks C 10 8 5 9 6 4 42 Katherine Mcgagh '26
Peter Cotoia '26
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 7 6 7 11 8 8 47 Kate Danielson '28
Katherine Shin '27
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 9 9 12 10 4 7 51 Zoey Ziskind '27
Peyton Hadfield '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 4 14 9 7 7 12 53 Tavia Smith '27
Elyssa Franklin '26
Brown University Brown University Bears A 12 10 10 8 10 10 60 Kaitlyn Hamilton '26
Marin Soderberg '28
Brown University Brown University Bears C 11 11 16 12 13 11 74 Grace Ivancich '28
Sasha Gordon '28
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson C 16 15 14 14 14 9 82 Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26
Catherine Li '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 15 17 11 16 12 14 85 Shea Mcgrath '27
Kique Ruiz '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 13 12 17 13 16 15 86 Jack Whitman '27
Matthew Chen '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears C 14 16 13 17 15 13 88 Riley Donahue '28
Aidan Michelow '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies C 17 13 15 15 17 17 94 Isabella Cho '27
Max Boni '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 18 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 113 Gabrielle Ahitow '28
Alexander Rosen '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears333333
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies555555
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles777777
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears888888
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears999999
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson101010101010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111111111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121212121212

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles131313131313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears141414141414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears151515151515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson161616161616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies171717171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks181818181818

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Dense drizzle
Humidity 99%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.5 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From NNE (27°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity99% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.57 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston College: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →