Brown University '28
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 28.61 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.071 rating points from 421 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →Includes linked high school and college seasons.
| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 | Brown University | 2.24 | 70.04 | 14.71 | 15 of 17 | 28 | Team page | |
| Spring 2026 | Brown University | 2.23 | 72.13 | 15.00 | 9 of 10 | 24 | Team page | |
| Fall 2025 | Brown University | 2.35 | 72.44 | 25.00 | 14 of 18 | 46 | Team page | |
| Spring 2025 | Brown University | 2.34 | 69.10 | 9.38 | 15 of 16 | 14 | Team page | |
| Fall 2024 | Brown University | 2.58 | 76.33 | 22.92 | 19 of 24 | 54 | Team page | |
| Spring 2024 | Norfolk Academy | 1.04 | 41.82 | 10.00 | 5 of 5 | 27 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | Norfolk Academy | -0.27 | 14.23 | 4.17 | 12 of 12 | 30 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | Norfolk Academy | 0.69 | 31.24 | 21.43 | 6 of 7 | 56 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 62–33 (65%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 6 | — | 46–22 |
| Spring 2025 | 4 | — | 16–11 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 9 graded regattas (93 matches) the record is 60–33 against 63.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.7). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | crew | 2.79 | 2.60 | 7–7 | 7.6 | −0.19 | 0.1 | 73% |
| 2026-03-28 | Jumbo Team Race | crew | 3.70 | 2.43 | 13–9 | 16.2 | −1.27 | 2.9 | 99% |
| 2026-03-22 | BC Team Race | crew | 3.48 | 5.41 | 9–1 | 7.1 | +1.93 | 2.4 | 9% |
| 2026-03-21 | RWU Team Race | crew | 3.54 | 2.70 | 6–4 | 7.0 | −0.84 | 0.6 | 93% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | crew | 3.54 | 6.54 | 6–0 | 5.6 | ≥+3.00 | 0.5 | 69% |
| 2026-03-01 | McMerrick Team Race Sunday | crew | 3.51 | 3.77 | 5–1 | 4.8 | +0.26 | 0.0 | 69% |
| 2025-04-05 | Mystic Lake Team Race | crew | 2.92 | 2.57 | 6–2 | 6.3 | −0.35 | 0.1 | 82% |
| 2025-03-15 | Southern NE Team Race | crew | 2.93 | 1.08 | 2–7 | 5.2 | −1.85 | 4.0 | >99% |
| 2025-03-08 | Camel Team Race | crew | 2.67 | 4.07 | 6–2 | 3.8 | +1.40 | 2.1 | 9% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Whalen Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 5.7 | -0.06 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 10.0 | -0.16 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Crew | A | 8 | 4.6 | +0.16 |
| The 35th Captain Hurst Bowl | Crew | B | 10 | 5.5 | +0.06 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| The Wood Trophy | Crew | TR | 21 | 81% | — |
| RWU Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | A | 14 | 4.9 | -0.15 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Sunday | Crew | TR | 7 | 86% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Crew | TR | 22 | 59% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Crew | A | 10 | 2.8 | +0.18 |
| BC Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 90% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2025 Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 11.8 | -0.28 |
| Terrier Invite | Crew | B | 6 | 3.7 | +0.09 |
| Sister Ester Trophy | Crew | A | 2 | 12.5 | -0.20 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Crew | A | 8 | 5.9 | -0.07 |
| Mystic Lake Invite | Crew | A | 4 | 5.0 | +0.07 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Crew | B | 7 | 4.6 | -0.03 |
| Bears Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 10.8 | -0.10 |
| The 27th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 8.9 | -0.08 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern NE Team Race | Crew | TR | 12 | 17% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 6 | 1.7 | +0.16 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Crew | TR | 8 | 75% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Crew | TR | 20 | 85% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 5.0 | -0.19 |
| Camel Team Race | Crew | TR | 8 | 75% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Trophy | Crew | B | 10 | 7.4 | -0.18 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Crew | B | 5 | 5.4 | +0.11 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 3.3 | +0.07 |
| Hood Trophy | Crew | A | 5 | 11.4 | -0.25 |
| Eagle Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 10.0 | +0.05 |
| Coast Guard Invite | Crew | A | 8 | 8.2 | -0.07 |
| BU Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 2.7 | +0.12 |
| Bears Invite | Crew | A | 8 | 6.5 | +0.19 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Marin Soderberg |  Norfolk Academy |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
