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The 27th Mrs. Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 48 49 97
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 78 44 122
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 68 57 125
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 73 52 125
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 64 68 132
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 49 84 133
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 58 77 135
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 45 90 135
9 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 64 80 144
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 67 84 151
11 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 122 40 162
12 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 86 80 166
13 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 66 105 171
14 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 88 115 203
15 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 138 95 233
16 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 115 126 241
17 Boston University Boston University Terriers 148 131 279
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 2 5 3 4 11 3 11 2 45 Lauren Russler '26
Ava Tobias '28
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 12 10 1 9 9 1 4 48 Dorothy Mendelblatt '28
Julia Miller '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 5 14 9 2 2 1 2 1 49 Eva Ermlich '26
Nathalie Caudron '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 12 6 14 7 6 2 6 3 58 Laura Hamilton '27
Katherine Majette '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 3 3 13 11 6 1 12 9 6 64 Bella Casaretto '26
Lilly Baker '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 10 4 15 2 3 5 13 4 8 64 Katharine Doble '26
Reese Corckran '28
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 5 6 1 12 8 3 11 10 10 66 Olivia Drulard '27
Sudi Zhao '26
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 10 11 5 5 10 5 3 9 67 Julia Conneely '26
Allison Nystrom '26
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 8 2 1 11 8 6 13 12 68 Zoey Ziskind '27 [1-9]
Christina Chen '27 [1-4]
Peyton Hadfield '27 [5-9]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 14 10 4 9 7 4 8 5 73 Brooke Barry '26
Christine Keedy Brown '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 13 3 13 12 4 8 7 7 78 Ella Hubbard '26 [1-4, 9]
Sophia Hubbard '28 [5-8]
Eloise Goedkoop '27 [1-4, 9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 9 4 8 10 15 7 14 11 86 Kytalin Hendrickson '26
Erin Little '28
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 7 7 6 15 14 14 5 14 88 Ella Towner '27
Mira Broussard '29
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 11 9 16 13 13 10 15 13 115 Lilly Saffer '27 [1-6]
Natalie Fear '28 [7-9]
Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [1-6]
Alexandra Daigle '29 [7-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 16 15 8 15 14 12 15 12 15 122 Katherine Mcgagh '26
Elyssa Franklin '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 14 17 17 7 17 16 17 17 16 138 Jane Marvin '28
Taber Allen '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers 17 16 16 17 16 17 16 16 17 148 Sage Andrews '28
Danielle Bogacheva '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 3 5 7 2 6 2 3 4 40 Tavia Smith '27
Sophia Litos '29
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 1 9 6 5 10 2 8 44 Maddie Janzen '29
Lilly Ladd '26
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 4 4 8 8 3 11 1 7 49 Audrey Foley '28
Carmen Berg '26
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 2 13 2 1 7 7 9 10 52 Karya Basaraner '28 [1-4]
Emma Wang '27 [5-9]
Sophia Woodbury '28 [1-4]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 6 6 4 11 9 1 5 6 57 Sophia Montgomery '25
Katherine Shin '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 5 5 10 12 13 1 5 4 13 68 Charlotte West '28
Kathryn Mcgranahan '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 7 10 9 1 7 15 8 6 14 77 Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [1-4, 9]
Gabby Collins '28 [5-8]
Gabby Collins '28 [1-4, 9]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [5-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 12 11 10 14 2 9 7 9 80 Sidney Moyer '27
Marin Soderberg '28
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 11 8 3 4 8 15 8 12 80 Molly Coghlin '25
Olivia Dutra '28
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 8 14 6 9 16 3 11 5 84 Meara Conley '28
Sarah Krajewski '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 14 13 12 5 10 14 4 10 2 84 Sylvia Burns '26
Lydia Frost '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 14 2 11 3 10 13 16 11 90 Mairéad Reitzel '28
Yasmine Nee '29
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 17 16 17 5 4 6 12 1 95 Simone Ford '29 [1]
Skye Johnson '29 [2-4]
Alma Bewsher '29 [5-9]
Cathleen Rutter '29 [1-4]
Simone Ford '29 [5-9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 4 7 3 13 16 17 17 13 15 105 Blake Oberbauer '29 [1-4]
Ava Hurwitz '27 [5-9]
Sophie Menyhart '27 [1-4]
Grace Patterson '29 [5-9]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 16 16 7 15 17 12 12 17 3 115 Jordynn Johnson '27
Julia Brighton '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 9 17 14 15 11 16 15 16 126 Julia Scipione '29 [1-8]
Charlotte Mcdonald '29 [9]
Sophia Rey '26 [1-8]
June Roe '28 [9]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 15 15 16 12 13 14 14 17 131 Bailey Kreszswick '29
Delanie Massenet '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears223344556
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2445566778
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151616171718181
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556677889
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 16677889910
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2778899101011
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88991010111112
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners9910101111121214
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers101011111212141415
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111112121414151516
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161617171818112
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141415151616171718
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181122334

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears223344556
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2445566778
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151616171718181
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556677889
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 16677889910
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2778899101011
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88991010111112
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners9910101111121214
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers101011111212141415
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies111112121414151516
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161617171818112
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141415151616171718
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181122334
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Sage Andrews '28 Danielle Bogacheva '27
Terriers Bailey Kreszswick '29 Delanie Massenet '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Lauren Russler '26 Ava Tobias '28
Polar Bears Mairéad Reitzel '28 Yasmine Nee '29
Brown University Brown University Katharine Doble '26 Reese Corckran '28
Bears 1 Sidney Moyer '27 Marin Soderberg '28
Brown University Brown University Laura Hamilton '27 Katherine Majette '27
Bears 2 Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [1-4, 9]
Gabby Collins '28 [5-8]		 Gabby Collins '28 [1-4, 9]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [5-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Lilly Saffer '27 [1-6]
Natalie Fear '28 [7-9]		 Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [1-6]
Alexandra Daigle '29 [7-9]
Camels Julia Scipione '29 [1-8]
Charlotte Mcdonald '29 [9]		 Sophia Rey '26 [1-8]
June Roe '28 [9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Bella Casaretto '26 Lilly Baker '27
Big Green 1 Charlotte West '28 Kathryn Mcgranahan '29
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Olivia Drulard '27 Sudi Zhao '26
Big Green 2 Blake Oberbauer '29 [1-4]
Ava Hurwitz '27 [5-9]		 Sophie Menyhart '27 [1-4]
Grace Patterson '29 [5-9]
Harvard University Harvard University Zoey Ziskind '27 [1-9] Christina Chen '27 [1-4]
Peyton Hadfield '27 [5-9]
Crimson Sophia Montgomery '25 Katherine Shin '27
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Jane Marvin '28 Taber Allen '27
Mariners Simone Ford '29 [1]
Skye Johnson '29 [2-4]
Alma Bewsher '29 [5-9]		 Cathleen Rutter '29 [1-4]
Simone Ford '29 [5-9]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Brooke Barry '26 Christine Keedy Brown '28
Engineers Karya Basaraner '28 [1-4]
Emma Wang '27 [5-9]		 Sophia Woodbury '28 [1-4]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Eva Ermlich '26 Nathalie Caudron '29
Huskies Sylvia Burns '26 Lydia Frost '29
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Katherine Mcgagh '26 Elyssa Franklin '26
Hawks Tavia Smith '27 Sophia Litos '29
Tufts University Tufts University Ella Hubbard '26 [1-4, 9]
Sophia Hubbard '28 [5-8]		 Eloise Goedkoop '27 [1-4, 9]
Jumbos Maddie Janzen '29 Lilly Ladd '26
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Julia Conneely '26 Allison Nystrom '26
Bears Meara Conley '28 Sarah Krajewski '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Kytalin Hendrickson '26 Erin Little '28
Rams Molly Coghlin '25 Olivia Dutra '28
University of Vermont University of Vermont Ella Towner '27 Mira Broussard '29
Catamounts Jordynn Johnson '27 Julia Brighton '27
Yale University Yale University Dorothy Mendelblatt '28 Julia Miller '26
Bulldogs Audrey Foley '28 Carmen Berg '26

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1024.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From ENE (74°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1024.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn* · S 7 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →