Roger Williams University '27
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.56 | 104 of 251 | 18 | Fall 2024 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.64 (fleet 3.56) | 98 of 331 | +0.07 ± 0.14 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 100–100 (50%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 8 | 55–48 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 4 | 13–25 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 7 | 32–27 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 19 graded regattas (200 matches) the record is 100–100 against 91.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+8.5). 4 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 15 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 3.23 | 3.44 | 7–7 | 6.5 | +0.20 | 0.1 | 49% |
| 2026-04-11 | NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler | skipper | 3.03 | 3.03 | 7–9 | 7.0 | −0.00 | 0.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-04 | Yale Women's | skipper | 2.98 | 4.35 | 6–2 | 3.9 | +1.37 | 2.0 | 10% |
| 2026-03-28 | Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy | skipper | 2.99 | 2.86 | 6–10 | 6.4 | −0.13 | 0.0 | 69% |
| 2026-03-21 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.95 | 3.50 | 10–7 | 8.4 | +0.55 | 0.6 | 26% |
| 2026-03-14 | Women's SNE Team Race | skipper | 2.88 | 3.59 | 7–5 | 5.6 | +0.70 | 0.7 | 26% |
| 2026-03-07 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.85 | 2.55 | 8–4 | 8.6 | −0.30 | 0.1 | 79% |
| 2026-03-01 | Harvard Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.65 | 4.30 | 4–4 | 1.9 | +1.65 | 2.6 | 6% |
| 2025-04-12 | NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy | skipper | 2.63 | 2.20 | 3–6 | 3.6 | −0.43 | 0.2 | 82% |
| 2025-04-05 | Yale Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.59 | 3.16 | 4–4 | 3.2 | +0.57 | 0.3 | 38% |
| 2025-03-22 | The Duplin Trophy | skipper | 2.48 | 2.63 | 5–11 | 4.6 | +0.15 | 0.0 | 51% |
| 2025-03-01 | Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.38 | 0.83 | 1–4 | 2.1 | −1.56 | 1.2 | 97% |
| 2024-04-13 | NEISA Women’s Team Race Champs/Legler Trophy | skipper | 2.51 | 3.03 | 3–6 | 2.2 | +0.52 | 0.3 | 39% |
| 2024-04-06 | Bowdoin Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.38 | 3.92 | 7–2 | 4.5 | +1.54 | 2.7 | 6% |
| 2024-03-30 | Callahan Team Race | skipper | 2.38 | 1.43 | 6–3 | 7.4 | −0.95 | 1.0 | 95% |
| 2024-03-17 | Sunshine City Team Race (Eckerd Top 4) | skipper | 2.44 | 3.87 | 4–2 | 2.2 | +1.43 | 1.8 | 12% |
| 2024-03-16 | Sunshine City Team Race (Eckerd) | skipper | 2.42 | 2.36 | 6–3 | 6.0 | −0.06 | 0.0 | 77% |
| 2024-03-10 | Salve Regina Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.31 | 1.99 | 5–5 | 5.5 | −0.32 | 0.1 | 79% |
| 2024-03-02 | Harvard Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.33 | 1.35 | 1–6 | 1.8 | −0.97 | 0.5 | 92% |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Tavia Smith |  John T. Hoggard High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Tavia Smith |  Green Hope High School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
