Massachusetts Institute of Technology '28
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 66.80 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.116 rating points from 18 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | 3.28 | 85.95 | 59.38 | 7 of 16 | 14 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 (fleet 3.23) | 156 of 331 | −0.04 ± 0.15 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 43–81 (35%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 8 | 34–74 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 9–7 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 10 graded regattas (124 matches) the record is 43–81 against 47.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 2.70 | 2.94 | 5–9 | 4.4 | +0.24 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2026-04-11 | NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler | skipper | 2.63 | 1.69 | 2–14 | 3.8 | −0.94 | 1.1 | 94% |
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.70 | 1.10 | 3–11 | 7.3 | −1.60 | 4.7 | >99% |
| 2026-03-28 | Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy | skipper | 2.64 | 3.14 | 6–10 | 4.5 | +0.50 | 0.6 | 27% |
| 2026-03-21 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.62 | 2.70 | 6–10 | 5.8 | +0.08 | 0.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-14 | Women's SNE Team Race | skipper | 2.51 | 3.30 | 5–7 | 3.6 | +0.78 | 0.8 | 22% |
| 2026-03-07 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.47 | 1.92 | 5–7 | 6.0 | −0.55 | 0.4 | 86% |
| 2026-03-01 | Harvard Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.58 | 2.28 | 2–6 | 2.3 | −0.30 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2025-03-08 | Camel Team Race | skipper | 2.07 | -0.93 | 0–4 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.8 | >99% |
| 2025-02-22 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.06 | 2.10 | 9–3 | 8.9 | +0.04 | 0.0 | 66% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.3 | 3.78 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 9.5 | 2.98 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.6 | 3.44 |
| Stu Nelson @ Connecticut College 2026 | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.2 | 3.27 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semis Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 6.1 | 3.07 |
| Women's SNE Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 42% | — |
| Women's Fleet Race National Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.3 | 3.06 |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 42% | — |
| NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 12% | — |
| NEISA Women's Fleet Race Championship -Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.2 | 3.61 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 21% | — |
| ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Harvard Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 38% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 38% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.3 | 2.54 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.0 | 3.26 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.1 | 3.09 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2025 Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.4 | 3.11 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 11.6 | 2.25 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 7.4 | 2.65 |
| The 27th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.5 | 3.81 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Eastern National Semi Finals Women's | Skipper | A | 1 | 9.0 | — |
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 82% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 6 | 5.2 | 3.04 |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.8 | 2.96 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.1 | 2.32 |
| Camel Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 10.2 | 2.15 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | B | 5 | 7.6 | 2.45 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.5 | 1.85 |
| Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 14.0 | 2.02 |
| Harvard Invitational | Crew | A | 8 | 13.8 | -0.09 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 24 | Crew | B | 10 | 6.5 | +0.43 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Karya Basaraner |  Ben Franklin High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
