Elyssa Franklin

Crew Rating

Career: 6.83 percentile of ICSA crews

▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points

Season	Team	Rating	League percentile	Team percentile	On team	Races	Team page
Fall 2025	Roger Williams University	1.60	55.96	11.90	19 of 21	47	Team page
Spring 2025	Roger Williams University	1.78	57.67	3.85	13 of 13	18	Team page
Fall 2024	Roger Williams University	1.44	50.63	8.33	17 of 18	76	Team page
Spring 2024	Roger Williams University	1.85	60.66	10.00	14 of 15	28	Team page
Fall 2023	Roger Williams University	1.45	48.61	7.14	20 of 21	18	Team page
Spring 2023	Roger Williams University	2.52	70.48	22.73	9 of 11	14	Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating	Rank	vs fleet rating	Record
0.61 (fleet 0.84)	unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active)	+0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts	as crew 106–124 (46%)

Season	Regattas	Skipper W–L	Crew W–L
Spring 2026	8	—	55–48
Spring 2025	5	—	28–30
Spring 2024	4	—	17–17
Spring 2023	4	—	6–29

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 21 graded regattas (230 matches) the record is 106–124 against 101.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+5.0). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 8 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 16 bits of surprise in all.

Date	Regatta	Role	Value	Perf.	Record	Exp. wins	Δ	Surprise (bits)	P(this good or better)
2026-04-26	ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship	crew	2.29	2.50	7–7	6.4	+0.22	0.1	48%
2026-04-11	NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler	crew	2.27	2.26	7–9	7.0	−0.01	0.0	61%
2026-04-04	Yale Women's	crew	2.22	3.59	6–2	3.9	+1.38	2.0	10%
2026-03-28	Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy	crew	2.23	2.14	6–10	6.3	−0.08	0.0	66%
2026-03-21	Duplin Women's Team Race	crew	3.20	3.77	10–7	8.3	+0.57	0.7	24%
2026-03-14	Women's SNE Team Race	crew	2.32	3.02	7–5	5.6	+0.70	0.7	26%
2026-03-07	Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race	crew	2.27	1.94	8–4	8.7	−0.34	0.2	80%
2026-03-01	Harvard Women's Team Race	crew	2.19	3.84	4–4	1.9	+1.65	2.7	6%
2025-04-12	NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy	crew	2.24	1.81	3–6	3.6	−0.43	0.2	82%
2025-04-05	Yale Women's Team Race	crew	2.18	2.75	4–4	3.2	+0.57	0.3	38%
2025-03-29	Jumbo Team Race	crew	2.84	3.11	15–5	14.2	+0.27	0.2	43%
2025-03-22	The Duplin Trophy	crew	2.10	2.25	5–11	4.6	+0.15	0.0	51%
2025-03-01	Women's Team Race	crew	2.08	0.52	1–4	2.1	−1.56	1.2	97%
2024-04-13	NEISA Women’s Team Race Champs/Legler Trophy	crew	2.51	3.03	3–6	2.2	+0.52	0.3	39%
2024-04-06	Bowdoin Women's Team Race	crew	2.38	3.92	7–2	4.5	+1.54	2.7	6%
2024-03-30	Callahan Team Race	crew	2.38	1.43	6–3	7.4	−0.95	1.0	95%
2024-03-02	Harvard Women's Team Race	crew	1.95	0.97	1–6	1.8	−0.97	0.5	92%
2023-04-01	Women's Staake Trophy Team Race	crew	1.48	-0.24	1–8	3.3	−1.72	2.6	99%
2023-03-25	Duplin Women’s TR	crew	1.46	0.50	1–8	1.9	−0.96	0.6	92%
2023-03-18	Brown Team Race Invite	crew	2.01	2.11	3–7	2.8	+0.10	0.0	60%
2023-03-05	Harvard Women's Team Race	crew	1.15	0.79	1–6	1.2	−0.36	0.1	83%

Regatta results

Regatta	Role	Div	Races	Avg	Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's	Crew	TR	8	75%	—
Women's SNE Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	12	58%	—
Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	12	67%	—
NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler Women's	Crew	TR	16	44%	—
NEISA Women's Fleet Race Championship -Reed Trophy Women's	Crew	B	4	7.0	+0.00
ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship Women's	Crew	TR	14	50%	—
Harvard Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	8	50%	—
Duplin Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	16	62%	—
Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy Women's	Crew	TR	16	38%	—
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1B Women's	Crew	B	9	9.8	-0.32
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2025 Women's	Crew	A	14	10.0	+0.05
Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's	Crew	C	7	10.3	-0.10
Dave Perry Trophy	Crew	A	8	6.2	+0.03
The 27th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's	Crew	A	9	13.6	-0.14
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Yale Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	7	57%	—
Women's Western National Semi Finals Women's	Crew	B	7	6.9	+0.01
Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	5	20%	—
Women's Fleet Race National Championships Women's	Crew	B	11	15.5	-0.20
NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy Women's	Crew	TR	9	33%	—
Jumbo Team Race	Crew	TR	20	75%	—
The Duplin Trophy Women's	Crew	TR	16	31%	—
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Women's Urn Trophy/NEISA Women’s Fall Champs Women's	Crew	B	14	6.4	+0.23
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Finals Women's	Crew	B	12	11.2	+0.01
Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's	Crew	B	10	7.4	-0.06
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2024 Women's	Crew	B	14	8.2	-0.18
Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's	Crew	B	10	6.7	+0.06
Regis Trophy Women's	Crew	A	10	12.6	-0.16
Eagle Invite	Crew	A	6	8.8	-0.02
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Women's New England Fleet Race Championship Women's	Crew	B	10	6.0	+0.16
Women's Dinghy National Championship Women's	Crew	B	12	12.9	-0.10
Harvard Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	7	14%	—
Eastern Women's National Semi-final Women's	Crew	B	6	14.5	-0.50
Callahan Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	9	67%	—
Bowdoin Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	9	78%	—
NEISA Women’s Team Race Champs/Legler Trophy Women's	Crew	TR	9	33%	—
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Yale Fall Invite	Crew	A	8	7.2	-0.04
Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's	Crew	B	8	4.4	+0.08
The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's	Crew	A	2	12.0	-0.00
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Women's Staake Trophy Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	9	11%	—
Harvard Women's Team Race Women's	Crew	TR	7	14%	—
Emily Wick Women's	Crew	B	14	7.2	+0.07
Duplin Women’s TR Women's	Crew	TR	9	11%	—
Brown Team Race Invite	Crew	TR	16	44%	—
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Women's ACC Series, Round 1A Women's	Crew	B	3	10.0	—
Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's	Crew	B	14	13.0	—
The Harvard FJ Invitational	Crew	A	10	8.4	—

Linked Profiles

League	Name	School	Year
ISSA	Elyssa Franklin	Good Hope County Day School	'22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

How do skipper ratings work?A log-strength fitted to every race at once, smoothed week to week.
What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
How does a crew rating work?A crew rating is small and uncertain; a worked example on one roster.
Play 1, Play 2, Play 4: how team races are wonHow often each play happens, how that shifts with breeze and level, and whether a star wins differently.

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Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

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Elyssa Franklin

Crew Rating?How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).How crew ratings work →

Regatta results

Linked Profiles

From the notes

Crew Rating