Navigate

The Harvard FJ Invitational

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 32 32
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 46 46
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 56 56
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 60 60
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 61 61
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 72 72
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 78 78
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 79 79
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 84 84
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 97 97
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 100 100
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 106 106
13 Crimson 1 Crimson 1 Crimson 1 124 124
14 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 128 128
15 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 128 128
16 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 130 130
17 Crimson 2 Crimson 2 Crimson 2 151 151
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 3 3 2 2 2 9 3 3 2 3 32 Peter Busch '26
Lily Ornstein '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 8 2 5 3 3 4 1 4 3 13 46 Graham Ness '23
Josie Warfield '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 8 3 12 4 6 4 12 1 2 56 Adrien Bellanger '25
Cecilia Adams '23
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 14 4 10 5 5 1 5 1 14 1 60 Nick Budington '25
Katelyn Mcgauley '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 7 7 1 4 7 2 OCS 2 4 9 61 Ian Hopkins Guerra '26
Keira Fowler '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 5 4 1 10 12 6 13 5 7 72 Ella Hubbard '26
Devin Hart '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 1 11 8 8 11 10 7 10 8 4 78 Matthew Wallace '25
Margaret Klein '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 5 1 6 10 6 11 8 8 12 12 79 Benjamin Stevens '25 [1-10]
Nellie Ross '26 [1-4]
Aidan Michelow '25 [5-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 12 10 12 9 9 3 2 9 10 8 84 Alexandra Chigas '26
Elyssa Franklin '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 2 9 7 6 1 17 13 16 16 10 97 Chase Reynolds '23
Ruby Hope '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 6 13 11 13 13 7 10 7 9 11 100 Clark Morris '26
Thomas Mazzeo '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 10 12 15 14 8 5 15 15 6 6 106 Adam Larzelere '25
Michael Salvatore '26
Crimson 1 Crimson 1 Crimson 1 16 6 9 11 14 15 11 11 17 14 124
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 11 15 13 7 15 8 14 14 15 16 128 Blake Vogel '26
Nicolas Echarte '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 13 16 14 15 12 14 16 6 7 15 128 Charlie Apolinsky '26 [1-10]
Aidan Michelow '25 [1-4]
Lucas Johnson '22 [5-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 17 17 16 16 16 13 12 5 13 5 130 Alex Kitay '23
Katharine Kurtz '24
Crimson 2 Crimson 2 Crimson 2 15 14 17 17 17 16 9 DNF 11 17 151
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 11122334455
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 22233445566
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 33344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 14455667788
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 25566778899
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 3667788991010
Crimson 1Crimson 1 Crimson 177889910101111
Crimson 2Crimson 2 Crimson 28899101011111212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1991010111112121313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 210101111121213131414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 311111212131314141515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 213131414151516161717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 3141415151616171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 41515161617171122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 516161717112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 6171711223344

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →