Tufts University '25
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.61 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 60 | Fall 2023 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.02 (fleet 2.88) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.07 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 16–31 (34%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 4–17 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 6–6 | — |
| Fall 2022 | 1 | 1–3 | — |
| Fall 2021 | 1 | 5–5 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (47 matches) the record is 16–31 against 22.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−6.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.52 | 1.47 | 4–17 | 7.7 | −1.05 | 2.7 | 99% |
| 2023-03-11 | Salve Regina Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.35 | 1.43 | 6–6 | 8.2 | −0.92 | 1.5 | 96% |
| 2022-10-23 | Franklin Lane Trophy | skipper | 2.32 | 1.84 | 1–3 | 1.3 | −0.48 | 0.1 | 84% |
| 2021-10-24 | Lane Trophy Team Race | skipper | 2.32 | 2.34 | 5–5 | 5.0 | +0.01 | 0.0 | 64% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| BU Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.0 | 2.38 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 19% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.8 | 3.16 |
| Montotype Trophy - NEISA Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 18.6 | 2.70 |
| The Dark of Night | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.0 | 2.19 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Salve Regina Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.9 | 3.28 |
| 2023 Central Series 4 | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.2 | 3.50 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Montotype Trophy - NEISA Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 12.5 | 2.80 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.4 | 3.23 |
| The Harvard FJ Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.8 | 2.54 |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.5 | 2.36 |
| Franklin Lane Trophy | Skipper | TR | 4 | 25% | — |
| Bears Invite | Skipper | A | 3 | 14.3 | 1.34 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 5 Fleet Race/Ewenson Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 1.8 | 4.77 |
| Priddy Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.3 | 2.91 |
| Boston University Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.2 | 2.53 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Montotype Trophy - NEISA Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.3 | 0.33 |
| Lark Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.7 | 2.82 |
| Lane Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Matthew Wallace |  Rye High School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
