Southern 5 Fleet Race/Ewenson Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 166
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 171
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 174
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 195
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 218
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 242
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 291
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 9 2 1 25 Matthew Wallace '25
Devin Hart '23
Brown University Brown University Bears A 7 5 5 3 7 7 3 2 5 4 2 8 4 4 66 Grant Adam '23 [1-9]
Severin Gramm '23 [10-14]
Lucian Sharpe '24 [1-9]
Spencer Dellenbaugh '23 [10-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 2 4 2 5 2 4 4 7 6 DSQ 9 1 3 2 66 Chase Reynolds '23
Ruby Hope '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 9 BKD 4 1 5 2 BKD BKD 4 2 11 4 9 6 72 Ben Rosenberg '23
Elizabeth Taylor '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 5 2 6 DSQ 4 5 5 4 9 11 12 2 13 3 96 Jack Derry '25 [1-9]
Peter Mcgonagle '25 [10-14]
Jin Johnson '24 [1-9]
Jonathan Glander '24 [10-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 7 11 10 9 9 6 6 3 3 6 10 7 7 97 Carter Brock '22
Abigail Thress '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 4 3 3 4 8 3 10 5 12 12 10 6 14 5 99 Celia Houston '25
Leonora Krajewski '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 6 8 8 6 6 6 8 8 10 5 4 3 10 11 99 Jonathan Riley '23 [1-14]
Max Hooker '22 [1-10]
Halle Peterlin '24 [11-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 8 10 10 8 OCS 8 1 3 2 7 8 5 1 14 100 Luke Hosek '24 [1-9]
Emmett Nevel '25 [10-14]
Izaiah Farr '23 [1-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 12 9 9 7 3 12 12 9 7 6 13 7 5 10 121 Santiago Hirschmann '23
Bridget Maguire '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 11 6 12 9 10 11 7 DNF 13 9 7 12 6 8 136 Olivia Lowthian '25
Caelan Haddock '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 10 11 7 11 11 10 11 10 8 10 14 13 11 12 149 Niall Sheridan '23 [1-9]
Adam Larzelere '25 [10-14]
Sara Morrison '23 [1-9]
Rachel Bonanno '25 [10-14]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 13 13 13 12 12 13 9 11 11 8 5 14 8 13 155 Garrett Moen '23
Gabrielle Trongone '23
Brown University Brown University Bears B 14 14 14 13 13 DNF DNS DNS DNS 13 3 11 12 9 176 Ali Zaidi '24 [1-9]
Keller Morrison '25 [10-14]
Ali Zaidi '24 [1-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66666666666666
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies22222222222222
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams77777777777777
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks33333333333333
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks44444444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos55555555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears88888888888888
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313131313131313131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99999999999999
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414141414141414141414141414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010101010101010101010101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111111111111111111111111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212121212121212121212121212

Conditions — 04/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1002.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 32.9 kn
From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1002.5 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn · N 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →