Olivia Lowthian

Rating History

Crew Rating

Career: 46.80 percentile of ICSA crews (limited evidence)

No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.97 (fleet 2.66) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.05 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 26–59 (31%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202449–30—
Spring 2023317–29—
1.21.31.41.51.61.7Spring 2023Spring 2024Brown Team Race Invite (2023-03-18): rating 1.39, fleet rating alone 1.34, offset +0.05; record 0-2 in this boatBrown Team Race Invite (2023-03-18): rating 1.39, fleet rating alone 1.34, offset +0.05; record 8-4 in this boatStaake Trophy (2023-03-25): rating 1.43, fleet rating alone 1.34, offset +0.10; record 2-18 in this boatMcMerrick Cup SATURDAY (2024-03-02): rating 1.59, fleet rating alone 1.53, offset +0.06; record 2-6 in this boatMcMerrick Cup SUNDAY (2024-03-03): rating 1.58, fleet rating alone 1.54, offset +0.04; record 3-1 in this boatSalve Regina Team Race Invite (2024-03-10): rating 1.61, fleet rating alone 1.54, offset +0.07; record 3-7 in this boatIvan Geiger Team Race (2024-03-16): rating 1.60, fleet rating alone 1.54, offset +0.07; record 1-16 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 7 graded regattas (85 matches) the record is 26–59 against 23.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.7). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 14 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-03-16Ivan Geiger Team Raceskipper2.030.641–163.0−1.391.797%
2024-03-10Salve Regina Team Race Inviteskipper2.022.163–72.9+0.140.061%
2024-03-03McMerrick Cup SUNDAYskipper1.965.093–10.9+3.134.72%
2024-03-02McMerrick Cup SATURDAYskipper1.991.092–63.2−0.900.893%
2023-03-25Staake Trophyskipper1.780.812–184.3−0.981.596%
2023-03-18Brown Team Race Inviteskipper1.653.158–64.5+1.503.82%
2023-03-11Salve Regina Team Race Inviteskipper1.352.357–54.5+1.001.810%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Vietor Trophy Skipper A 13 5.5 3.23
O’Toole Sunday Skipper A 6 3.0 2.65
O’Toole Saturday Skipper A 5 4.0 2.68
Oberg Trophy Skipper A 6 8.8 2.92
New England Dinghy Tournament Skipper A 8 2.8 2.73
NEISA Open FR Champs/Coast Guard Alumni Bowl Skipper A 12 14.3 2.15
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper B 14 6.1 2.74
Savin Hill Invite Skipper A 5 10.0 2.10
NEISA Fall Tournament Skipper A 14 2.5 3.11
Mt. Hope Bay Invite Skipper A 4 7.0 2.62
Moody Trophy Skipper B 11 11.3 2.43
Hood Trophy Skipper B 13 13.3 2.21
Donaghy Bowl Skipper B 2 2.5 2.40
Chris Loder Trophy Skipper A 4 2.5 3.14
Charles Invitational Skipper B 8 4.4 1.33
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Southern Series 7 Skipper B 8 7.0 0.97
Salve Regina Team Race Invite Skipper TR 10 30% —
Salve Regina Saturday FR Invite Skipper B 10 2.7 2.22
College Sailing Regional Teams Championship Skipper B 2 4.0 -0.03
Oberg Trophy Skipper B 14 13.6 1.14
New England Dinghy Tournament Skipper B 10 4.9 1.10
NEISA Open Dinghy Championship/CG Alumni Bowl Skipper B 9 12.0 2.57
McMerrick Cup SUNDAY Skipper TR 4 75% —
McMerrick Cup SATURDAY Skipper TR 8 25% —
Ivan Geiger Team Race Skipper TR 17 6% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Skipper B 14 6.7 3.02
Salt Pond Invite Skipper B 6 5.8 1.78
The Moody Skipper B 12 10.7 2.52
Captain Hurst Bowl Skipper B 12 14.4 1.41
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Sunday Salve Regina Invite Skipper B 7 7.3 2.12
Staake Trophy Skipper TR 20 10% —
Salve Regina Team Race Invite Skipper TR 12 58% —
College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's Skipper B 8 13.0 1.80
Rhody the Riveter Women's Fleet Race Women's Skipper A 9 9.9 —
Peter Wenner Rainbow Invitational Skipper B 8 6.8 2.01
NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's Skipper B 13 11.5 1.96
Emily Wick Women's Skipper B 14 9.7 1.66
Brown Team Race Invite Skipper TR 16 62% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Victorian Urn Trophy Women's Skipper B 8 13.6 0.57
Regis Trophy Women's Skipper B 9 9.4 2.24
Mt. Hope Bay Invite Skipper B 5 7.6 1.16
Mass Maritime Invite Skipper B 5 2.0 3.64
The Hood Trophy Skipper B 12 16.2 1.39
Great Herring Pond Open Skipper B 8 3.8 2.04
George Warren Smith Trophy Skipper A 8 9.9 2.80
The Chris Loder Trophy Skipper B 5 1.6 3.99
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Southern 5 Fleet Race/Ewenson Trophy Skipper A 13 9.3 -1.03
Southern 7 Fleet Race Crew A 8 11.4 —
Rhody the Riveter Women's Skipper B 8 14.9 —
O'Toole Trophy Skipper B 15 3.4 2.30
NEISA Women's Championship Women's Skipper B 3 12.3 1.27
Central Series March 27 Crew A 7 2.6 —
Central Series April 2 Skipper B 8 4.0 0.87
Central Series 1 Crew A 5 1.6 —
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Tufts Invitational Skipper B 3 13.0 0.87
Sister Ester Skipper B 8 11.4 1.76
Savin Hill Invite Skipper B 10 13.9 1.11
Salt Pond Invite Skipper A 10 10.3 1.31
The Nickerson Trophy Skipper B 8 17.2 0.94
Mt. Hope Bay Invite Crew A 11 7.5 —
Mass Maritime Invite Skipper B 6 6.2 1.13
Great Herring Pond Open Skipper B 2 8.0 1.04
Fairfield Cup Skipper A 12 11.2 -1.85

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →