Rhody the Riveter Women's Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 90
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 97
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 101
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 105
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 128
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 181
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 5 1 1 3 3 5 9 2 9 38 Ella Hubbard '26
Margaret Klein '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 B 9 4 3 5 2 2 3 3 8 39 Katherine Mcnamara '26
Talia Levine '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 4 2 2 2 1 7 6 12 7 43 Haley Andreasen '25
Marina Garrido '25
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 6 6 9 4 5 3 4 5 4 46 Aili Moffet '23
Miya Preyer '23
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 B 11 11 7 1 8 6 1 1 1 47 Katharine Doble '26
Brianna Ross '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 A 12 3 4 7 6 1 8 6 3 50 Charlotte Costikyan '24
Catherine Morrissette '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 2 8 6 9 7 8 2 8 2 52 Meredith Broadus '25
Lilah Parker '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 A 3 5 5 12 10 12 5 4 6 62 Emily Mueller '25
Kaitlyn Hamilton '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 1 7 8 6 9 4 11 11 5 62 Maisie Macgillivray '25
Annecy Kagan '26
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 7 10 10 11 4 9 10 9 12 82 Hailey Pemberton '23 [1-4]
Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [5-9]
Sophia Rey '26 [1-4]
Aurora Kreyche '25 [5-9]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 10 12 12 8 12 10 7 7 11 89 Olivia Lowthian '25
Camille Cullen '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 8 9 11 10 11 11 12 10 10 92 Ana López '26
Caelan Haddock '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2222222222
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels333333333
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1555555555
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1777777777
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2888888888
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels999999999
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101010101010101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1111111111111111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121212121212121212

Conditions — 03/04/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 996.9 hPa

Temperature

38°F
↑ 39°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 25°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
18.9 kn
avg  ·  max 23.2 kn
Gusts to 39.7 kn
From NNE (17°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity89% Pressure996.9 hPa Rain0.49 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 20 kn · NW 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.52 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →