The Chris Loder Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 8 25
2 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 12 20 32
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 13 23 36
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 28 19 47
5 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 32 18 50
6 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 36 38 74
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 44 33 77
8 Williams College Williams College Ephs 37 50 87
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 31 59 90
10 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 49 55 104
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 49 63 112
12 Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths 60 53 113
13 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 69 45 114
14 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 58 59 117
15 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 65 57 122
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 1 1 1 2 7 12 Grace Cannon '23
Martin Keene '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 2 4 3 2 13 Andy Leshaw '25
Hannah Hicks '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 5 2 4 1 17 Pearl Lattanzi '23
Charlotte Martinez '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 3 12 6 28 Luke Quine '23
Natasha Vallett '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 7 4 6 5 9 31 James Sullivan '25
Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto '23
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 9 8 11 1 3 32 Dane Phippen '23
Jordan Morris '23
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 9 8 6 5 36 Mikhail Lavrenov '26
Nicholas Belev '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs 3 6 5 11 12 37 Rem Johannknecht '26
Viviana Barberi '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 12 7 8 11 44 Benjamin Wilkinson '26
Andres Milne '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 10 7 12 10 10 49 Kathleen Hanson '25
Devon Valenta '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 11 10 13 7 8 49 Caleb Burt '25
Bailey Macvaugh '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 15 11 10 9 13 58 Kate Myler '23
Cole Perra '26
Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths 13 15 15 13 4 60
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 13 9 15 14 65 Talia Trigg '26
Olivia Fulghum '24
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 12 14 14 14 15 69 Andy Giaya '24 [1-3]
Ozel Yilmazel '25 [4-5]
Veronika Jaster '23 [1-3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 1 3 1 8 Olivia Lowthian '25
Kate Johnson '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 5 3 6 3 18 David Schuh '23
Carolina Morlion '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 2 2 8 4 19 Gavin Sanborn '25
Alex Boni '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 7 3 4 1 5 20 Sam Harris '26
Amelia Fisher '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 4 7 4 2 23 John Van Zanten '25
Logan O’Rourke '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 7 8 2 6 33 Sylvia Burns '26
Kyle Fitzgerald '24
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 4 6 9 12 7 38 Colston Howell '24
Tristan Stevens '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 9 9 6 11 10 45 Marshall Rodes '26
Ariana Schreibman '23
Williams College Williams College Ephs 5 11 5 15 14 50 Alex Von Lehe '26
Gwyn Mclear '24
Mammoths Mammoths Mammoths 14 14 12 5 8 53
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 11 10 11 14 9 55 Robert Caldwell '25
Maya Veldman-Wilson '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 12 15 7 11 57 Bronwyn Jensen '25
Emily Strasburg '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 8 13 14 9 15 59 Anne Berg '25
Jan-Philipp Pps '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 13 8 13 13 12 59 Tiernan O'Kane '26
Angelina Papa '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 15 15 10 10 13 63 Olyn Jacobson '26
Benan Mccarren '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
MammothsMammoths Mammoths11133
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons22244
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 19991111
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 21010101212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 133355
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 244466
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds55577
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers66688
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 11111111313
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 21212121414
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 31313131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77799
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8881010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141411
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs15151522

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
MammothsMammoths Mammoths22244
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons33355
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 11010101212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 21111111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 144466
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 255577
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds66688
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers77799
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 11212121414
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 21313131515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 314141411
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies8881010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks9991111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151522
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs11133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Dane Phippen '23 Jordan Morris '23
Falcons David Schuh '23 Carolina Morlion '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andy Leshaw '25 Hannah Hicks '25
Buccaneers 1 John Van Zanten '25 Logan O’Rourke '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Caleb Burt '25 Bailey Macvaugh '26
Buccaneers 2 Olyn Jacobson '26 Benan Mccarren '26
McGill University McGill University Mikhail Lavrenov '26 Nicholas Belev '26
Redbirds Colston Howell '24 Tristan Stevens '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Talia Trigg '26 Olivia Fulghum '24
Panthers Bronwyn Jensen '25 Emily Strasburg '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Benjamin Wilkinson '26 Andres Milne '26
Huskies Sylvia Burns '26 Kyle Fitzgerald '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Pearl Lattanzi '23 Charlotte Martinez '23
Seahawks Olivia Lowthian '25 Kate Johnson '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Kate Myler '23 Cole Perra '26
Minutemen 1 Tiernan O'Kane '26 Angelina Papa '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Andy Giaya '24 [1-3]
Ozel Yilmazel '25 [4-5]
Veronika Jaster '23 [1-3]
Minutemen 2 Marshall Rodes '26 Ariana Schreibman '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Grace Cannon '23 Martin Keene '23
Wildcats 1 Sam Harris '26 Amelia Fisher '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire James Sullivan '25 Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto '23
Wildcats 2 Anne Berg '25 Jan-Philipp Pps '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Kathleen Hanson '25 Devon Valenta '26
Wildcats 3 Robert Caldwell '25 Maya Veldman-Wilson '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Luke Quine '23 Natasha Vallett '25
Catamounts Gavin Sanborn '25 Alex Boni '25
Williams College Williams College Rem Johannknecht '26 Viviana Barberi '24
Ephs Alex Von Lehe '26 Gwyn Mclear '24

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1024.3 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1024.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn · E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →