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Victorian Urn Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 43 58 101
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 70 38 108
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 71 59 130
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 74 67 141
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 110 33 143
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 101 68 169
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 81 107 188
8 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 67 123 190
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 90 102 192
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 125 95 220
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 100 122 222
12 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 120 102 222
13 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 109 158 267
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 120 167 287
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 159 141 300
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 5 1 7 6 2 1 2 5 2 2 8 43 Maddie Hawkins '24
Aisling Sullivan '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 9 6 1 2 4 8 10 7 4 7 4 67 Dana Haig '22 [1-8]
Brooke Schmelz '25 [9-12]
Grace Mao '23 [1-8]
Samantha Karlson '25 [9-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 15 2 8 9 11 10 1 1 3 1 2 70 Mia Nicolosi '25 [1-12]
Ximena Escobar '25 [1-2]
Sarah Moeder '26 [3-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 1 3 5 14 8 2 11 4 1 11 1 71 Sarah Burn '24 [1-12]
Emily Launderville '24 [1-8]
Juliana Ruggieri '23 [9-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 4 4 12 1 3 9 3 10 9 8 10 74 Blaire Mccarthy '23
Savannah Young '25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 3 9 2 10 10 7 6 2 5 12 9 81 Emily Bornarth '24
Mia Quinlan '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 8 11 14 7 1 4 4 12 13 10 3 90 Okyanus Arıkan '26
Elizabeth Taylor '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 7 8 3 5 12 14 13 8 6 9 7 100 Chloe Holder '23
Caroline Kelly '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 2 10 13 4 7 6 14 3 8 13 12 101 Ellie Maus '22
Meghan Gonzalez '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 12 12 15 3 6 11 5 6 10 5 13 109 Grace Gear '23
Maddy Saffer '24
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 14 14 10 11 9 5 9 9 7 3 15 110 Colleen O'Brien '24 [1-8]
Libby Redmond '24 [9-12]
Lilly Mathieu '23 [1-8]
Lourdes Gallo '24 [9-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 10 7 9 12 14 13 7 13 11 4 6 120 Claire Siegel-Wilson '24
Julia O'Connor '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 6 5 11 13 13 15 8 11 12 6 5 120 Pearl Lattanzi '23
Frances Donahoe '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 11 15 4 8 5 3 12 15 14 15 11 125 Lucia Loosbrock '25 [1-12]
Zoe Grant '25 [1-2, 9-10]
Isabella Welch '25 [3-8, 11-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 13 13 6 15 15 12 15 14 15 14 14 159 Lucy Paskoff '24
Arielle Candaele '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 2 5 3 1 1 1 3 1 1 6 6 33 Caroline Sibilly '26
Elliot Dyroff '26
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 1 2 2 5 6 4 1 5 4 3 1 38 Emma Cowles '25 [1-12]
Helena Ware '23 [1-6]
Carmen Berg '26 [7-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 8 6 5 2 10 2 6 7 3 5 2 58 Gray Hemans '25
Caroline Oyster '24
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 6 4 1 4 3 7 2 9 7 4 3 59 Marbella Marlo '24 [1-8]
Cordelia Burn '25 [9-12]
Juliana Ruggieri '23 [1-8]
Emily Launderville '24 [9-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 11 3 7 15 3 2 3 5 3 5 1 9 67 Caroline Bayless '23 [1-4]
Brielle Willoughby '24 [5-12]
Menasha Leport '25 [1-4]
Olivia Miller '25 [5-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 4 1 8 11 9 8 10 2 2 2 4 68 Elizabeth Kaplan '23 [1-10]
Teagan Cunningham '22 [11-12]
Holliss Hirsch '25 [1-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 10 14 12 7 6 7 4 8 10 11 95 Eva Ermlich '26
Lila Coffman '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 10 8 7 7 13 5 4 10 12 13 8 102 Caylin Schnoor '25
Maren Matthews '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 7 3 9 8 14 9 8 13 9 9 5 102 Kytalin Hendrickson '26
Katie Coughlin '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 11 9 6 9 4 12 14 6 10 7 13 107 Emma Snead '23
Leonora Krajewski '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 12 11 4 13 11 10 13 8 6 14 7 122 Samantha Jensen '24 [1-6, 9-12]
Annika Fedde '23 [7-8]
Alessandra Torres '24 [1-6, 9-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 13 15 11 6 5 11 9 12 11 8 10 123 Emily Scherer '23 [1-8]
Lucy Brock '25 [9-12]
Yitian Zhu '25 [1-8]
Jemma Schroder '24 [9-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 9 12 10 10 8 14 11 14 15 11 12 141 Madeline Stull '23
Morgan Contrino '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 14 14 13 13 14 12 15 12 11 13 12 15 158 Audrey Commerford '25 [1-6, 9-12]
Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [7-8]
Lilia Hutchins '23 [1-6, 9-12]
Alex Forrest '26 [7-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 15 14 12 15 15 13 15 15 14 15 14 167 Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-8]
Ana López '26 [9-12]
Kate Johnson '25 [1-6]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [7-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears445566778899
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121313141415151122
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55667788991010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson6677889910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers778899101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131314141515112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101011111212131314141515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414151511
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414151511223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs15151122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears445566778899
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121313141415151122
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55667788991010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson6677889910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers778899101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131314141515112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213131414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101011111212131314141515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414151511
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414151511223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs15151122334455
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Colleen O'Brien '24 [1-8]
Libby Redmond '24 [9-12]		 Lilly Mathieu '23 [1-8]
Lourdes Gallo '24 [9-12]
Eagles Caroline Sibilly '26 Elliot Dyroff '26
Boston University Boston University Lucy Paskoff '24 Arielle Candaele '26
Terriers Madeline Stull '23 Morgan Contrino '24
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Ellie Maus '22 Meghan Gonzalez '23
Polar Bears Elizabeth Kaplan '23 [1-10]
Teagan Cunningham '22 [11-12]		 Holliss Hirsch '25 [1-10]
Brown University Brown University Blaire Mccarthy '23 Savannah Young '25
Bears Caroline Bayless '23 [1-4]
Brielle Willoughby '24 [5-12]		 Menasha Leport '25 [1-4]
Olivia Miller '25 [5-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Maddie Hawkins '24 Aisling Sullivan '22
Big Green Gray Hemans '25 Caroline Oyster '24
Harvard University Harvard University Sarah Burn '24 [1-12] Emily Launderville '24 [1-8]
Juliana Ruggieri '23 [9-12]
Crimson Marbella Marlo '24 [1-8]
Cordelia Burn '25 [9-12]		 Juliana Ruggieri '23 [1-8]
Emily Launderville '24 [9-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Dana Haig '22 [1-8]
Brooke Schmelz '25 [9-12]		 Grace Mao '23 [1-8]
Samantha Karlson '25 [9-12]
Engineers Emily Scherer '23 [1-8]
Lucy Brock '25 [9-12]		 Yitian Zhu '25 [1-8]
Jemma Schroder '24 [9-12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Lucia Loosbrock '25 [1-12] Zoe Grant '25 [1-2, 9-10]
Isabella Welch '25 [3-8, 11-12]
Huskies Eva Ermlich '26 Lila Coffman '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Claire Siegel-Wilson '24 Julia O'Connor '24
Hawks Caylin Schnoor '25 Maren Matthews '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Pearl Lattanzi '23 Frances Donahoe '24
Seahawks Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-8]
Ana López '26 [9-12]		 Kate Johnson '25 [1-6]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [7-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Chloe Holder '23 Caroline Kelly '23
Jumbos Samantha Jensen '24 [1-6, 9-12]
Annika Fedde '23 [7-8]		 Alessandra Torres '24 [1-6, 9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Emily Bornarth '24 Mia Quinlan '24
Bears Emma Snead '23 Leonora Krajewski '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Okyanus Arıkan '26 Elizabeth Taylor '24
Rams Kytalin Hendrickson '26 Katie Coughlin '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Grace Gear '23 Maddy Saffer '24
Catamounts Audrey Commerford '25 [1-6, 9-12]
Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [7-8]		 Lilia Hutchins '23 [1-6, 9-12]
Alex Forrest '26 [7-8]
Yale University Yale University Mia Nicolosi '25 [1-12] Ximena Escobar '25 [1-2]
Sarah Moeder '26 [3-12]
Bulldogs Emma Cowles '25 [1-12] Helena Ware '23 [1-6]
Carmen Berg '26 [7-12]

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1031.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From NNE (25°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1031.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Brown: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.15 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →