University of Vermont '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 72.31 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.102 rating points from 77 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | University of Vermont | 2.50 | 72.34 | 76.67 | 4 of 15 | 10 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 (fleet 2.32) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 10–55 (15%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–5 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 1–20 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 4–5 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 2 | 4–25 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (65 matches) the record is 10–55 against 11.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Callahan Trophy | skipper | 2.02 | 2.38 | 1–5 | 0.7 | +0.37 | 0.1 | 56% |
| 2024-03-30 | Callahan Team Race | skipper | 1.76 | 2.14 | 1–8 | 0.7 | +0.37 | 0.1 | 53% |
| 2024-03-09 | Franny Charles Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.71 | -1.29 | 0–12 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.8 | >99% |
| 2023-04-01 | Women's Staake Trophy Team Race | skipper | 1.74 | 2.47 | 4–5 | 2.7 | +0.73 | 0.7 | 26% |
| 2022-03-26 | Last Chance Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.98 | 0.96 | 2–6 | 3.7 | −1.02 | 1.2 | 95% |
| 2022-03-05 | McMerrick Cup Team Race | skipper | 2.13 | 1.64 | 2–19 | 3.0 | −0.48 | 0.3 | 83% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semi Finals Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 13.8 | 1.77 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.7 | 2.01 |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.0 | -0.49 |
| NEISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 10.7 | 2.63 |
| Little Three | Skipper | A | 3 | 2.7 | 2.21 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.8 | 1.93 |
| CNU Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 5.1 | 1.99 |
| Callahan Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 8 | 12% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Urn Trophy/NEISA Women’s Fall Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.8 | 2.57 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 10.9 | 1.56 |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.4 | 2.45 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2024 Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.6 | 2.41 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.0 | 2.74 |
| The 26th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.1 | 2.63 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Wick Trophy Womens event Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 8.2 | 1.09 |
| Western Women’s National Semi-finals Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 13.6 | +0.10 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.2 | 1.72 |
| Franny Charles Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 0% | — |
| Callahan Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| 2024 Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.5 | 2.01 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 14.1 | 2.06 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.4 | 1.54 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.8 | 2.42 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 9.2 | 2.03 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.0 | 1.94 |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championships Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 11.4 | 2.27 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Staake Trophy Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.5 | 1.77 |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 11.0 | 2.28 |
| Navy Women's Spring Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 14.5 | 1.33 |
| Icebreaker Invitational | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.4 | 1.52 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.0 | 0.73 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.5 | 1.24 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Dinghy Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.5 | 1.41 |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.1 | 0.90 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.1 | 2.24 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.5 | 3.67 |
| The 25th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A, B | 10 | 15.2 | A 1.60 · B -0.03 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's College Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 10.4 | 2.22 |
| College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.5 | 2.02 |
| McMerrick Cup Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 10% | — |
| Last Chance Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 11.5 | 1.81 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.9 | 1.62 |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.2 | 2.69 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.4 | 1.54 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 5.3 | — |
| The 2021 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 9.8 | 2.54 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Audrey Commerford |  Leonardtown High School |
'21 |
| ISSA | Audrey Commerford |  Chopticon High School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
