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Navy Women's Spring Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 27 60 87
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 61 58 119
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 47 78 125
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 77 83 160
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 78 83 161
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 58 106 164
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 80 88 168
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 117 55 172
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 106 77 183
10 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 118 85 203
11 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 127 98 225
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 117 120 237
13 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 118 124 242
14 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 140 121 261
15 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 112 173 285
16 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 169 140 309
17 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 159 158 317
18 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 171 175 346
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 2 2 3 1 3 1 4 4 4 1 27 Bridget Green '25
Gabbi Delbello '23
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 4 10 4 5 1 8 1 3 2 6 47 Madison Bashaw '24 [1-11]
Anna Flynn '25 [1-4, 9-10]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [5-8, 11]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 5 7 1 14 2 3 11 1 5 2 58 Chloe Holder '23
Annabel De Alessi '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 12 1 3 6 8 4 2 2 2 8 13 61 Grace Squires '24 [1-11]
Kalea Woodard '24 [1-4]
Chloe Hudgins '24 [5-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 7 5 11 6 16 4 5 6 7 5 77 Heather Kerns '24 [1-11]
Ksenia Lowry-Neufeld '25 [1-6]
Laura Therien '26 [7-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 3 6 10 2 17 12 6 8 1 9 78 Eva Blauvelt '25 [1-11]
Maggie Schuler '25 [1-4, 7-11]
Julia Christie '24 [5-6]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 16 1 2 3 6 15 3 5 10 11 80 Piper Holthus '25 [1-11]
Louisa Buckingham '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kathryn Winters '24 [5-6]
Morgan Rice '25 [9-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 16 15 8 5 10 7 5 9 14 9 8 106 Lucia Loosbrock '25
Emma Cole '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 6 11 8 7 12 17 7 7 13 15 112 Eden Nykamp '25
Elissa Martinez '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 11 12 14 4 5 11 13 18 11 12 117 Olivia Sowa '24
Abby Scudder '24
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 8 14 9 16 14 13 10 10 3 7 117 Elizabeth Cutler '24
Rebecca Keller '25
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 10 4 7 17 11 16 14 12 12 14 118 Mia Hanes '24 [1-11]
Megan Cassidy '26 [1-4, 7-11]
Essie Clifton '25 [5-6]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 11 9 15 12 9 8 7 12 11 14 10 118 Emily Allen '25
Reagan Carris '26
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 10 18 16 13 18 10 9 15 9 6 3 127 Aili Moffet '23
Miya Preyer '23
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 17 14 13 16 13 9 6 16 17 15 4 140 Elizabeth Gildea '24 [1-11]
Alivia Markham '23 [1-4, 11]
Isabelle Kanach '25 [5-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 13 9 18 12 13 14 17 13 18 17 159 Audrey Commerford '25 [1-11]
Lilia Hutchins '23 [1-10]
Campbell Mcclellan '26 [11]
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 14 17 18 15 15 15 18 8 15 16 18 169 Avery Canavan '25 [1-11]
Ruby Gordon '23 [1-4, 7-10]
Elizabeth Ellis '24 [5-6, 11]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 18 12 17 17 11 18 10 DNF 16 17 16 171 Kennedy Jones '24
Laurel Krause '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 1 2 3 1 4 5 4 1 9 14 55 Isabella Du Plessis '25
Annika Milstien '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 2 11 9 2 3 3 12 7 3 2 58 Emma Tallman '25 [1-11]
Rowan Schanley '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Roxanne Snyder '23 [5-6]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 5 5 5 12 9 2 11 6 1 1 60 Sophia Devling '26
Amelia Neumann '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 12 7 6 3 8 9 8 2 10 7 77 Eva Ermlich '26 [1-11]
Lila Coffman '26 [1-10]
Morgan Termaat '23 [11]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 7 3 4 6 7 10 2 15 2 16 78 Leah Rickard '26 [1-10]
Lily Flack '25 [11]
Emma Gronda '22 [1-8]
Anna Flynn '25 [9-10]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 9 8 7 7 6 1 1 16 13 6 83 Aubin Hattendorf '24
Catherine Aitken '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 3 9 10 8 2 4 15 3 11 5 83 Brook Wood '25 [1-11]
Valyn Mogensen '26 [1-6]
Juliana Victor '26 [7-8, 11]
Payton Kliesch '25 [9-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 10 1 1 14 13 14 13 4 5 3 85 Lucy Spearman '25 [1-11]
Annie Richard '23 [1-2, 7-11]
Ella May Corckran '26 [3-6]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 11 10 2 5 18 6 6 10 8 11 88 Riley Kloc '23 [1-8]
Kelly Bates '26 [9-11]
Morgan Rice '25 [1-8]
Louisa Buckingham '24 [9-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 4 12 12 4 5 13 3 13 14 10 98 Hailey Pemberton '23 [1-10]
Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [11]
Aurora Kreyche '25 [1-10]
Cecilia Roe '26 [11]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 18 13 14 17 1 7 5 8 12 9 106 Samantha Jensen '24 [1-4]
Annika Fedde '23 [5-11]
Lilly Ladd '26 [1-4]
Alessandra Torres '24 [5-6]
Naomi Pedersen '25 [7-11]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 15 8 17 13 11 16 11 10 5 6 8 120 Caroline Sandoval '23
Ashley Abboud '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 15 4 8 10 14 8 16 12 7 13 121 Megan Geith '24
Cadence Goodnight '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 16 6 18 15 13 15 15 7 11 4 4 124 Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-6]
Agija Elerte '26 [7-11]
Mary Mann '23 [1-6]
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 10 17 16 11 9 10 16 9 9 18 15 140 Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '26
Alexandra Lee '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 17 16 14 17 15 11 12 14 14 16 12 158 Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [1-6]
Caitlin Derby '26 [7-11]
Campbell Mcclellan '26 [1-4]
Alice Thompson '25 [5-6]
Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [7-11]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 12 13 15 16 18 12 17 18 17 17 18 173 Lily Schwartz '25 [1-11]
Amelia Johnson '25 [1-8, 11]
Tess Levanway '26 [9-10]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 18 14 6 18 16 17 18 17 DNS 15 17 175 Hartley Meyer '25
Shalis Hunt '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars113355779911
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22181816161414121210
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111113
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons442218181616141412
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5577991111131315
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue6644221818161614
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas779911111313151517
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88664422181816
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins9911111313151517171
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1616141412121010886
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack10108866442218
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111131315151717113
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121210108866442
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks13131515171711335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141212101088664
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave151517171133557
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717113355779
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen181816161414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22446688101012
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1117171515131311119
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010121214
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons331117171515131311
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams668810101212141416
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue5533111717151513
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas88101012121414161618
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77553311171715
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins101012121414161618182
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151313111199775
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack997755331117
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212141416161818224
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111997755331
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141616181822446
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131311119977553
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave161618182244668
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts18182244668810
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717151513131111997
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Grace Squires '24 [1-11] Kalea Woodard '24 [1-4]
Chloe Hudgins '24 [5-11]
Cougars Emma Tallman '25 [1-11] Rowan Schanley '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Roxanne Snyder '23 [5-6]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Aili Moffet '23 Miya Preyer '23
Camels Hailey Pemberton '23 [1-10]
Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [11]		 Aurora Kreyche '25 [1-10]
Cecilia Roe '26 [11]
Cornell University Cornell University Bridget Green '25 Gabbi Delbello '23
Big Red Sophia Devling '26 Amelia Neumann '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Eden Nykamp '25 Elissa Martinez '23
Tritons Lily Schwartz '25 [1-11] Amelia Johnson '25 [1-8, 11]
Tess Levanway '26 [9-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Elizabeth Cutler '24 Rebecca Keller '25
Rams Caroline Sandoval '23 Ashley Abboud '26
George Washington University George Washington University Avery Canavan '25 [1-11] Ruby Gordon '23 [1-4, 7-10]
Elizabeth Ellis '24 [5-6, 11]
Buff and Blue Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '26 Alexandra Lee '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Piper Holthus '25 [1-11] Louisa Buckingham '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kathryn Winters '24 [5-6]
Morgan Rice '25 [9-11]
Hoyas Riley Kloc '23 [1-8]
Kelly Bates '26 [9-11]		 Morgan Rice '25 [1-8]
Louisa Buckingham '24 [9-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Heather Kerns '24 [1-11] Ksenia Lowry-Neufeld '25 [1-6]
Laura Therien '26 [7-11]
Statesmen Brook Wood '25 [1-11] Valyn Mogensen '26 [1-6]
Juliana Victor '26 [7-8, 11]
Payton Kliesch '25 [9-10]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Emily Allen '25 Reagan Carris '26
Fins Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-6]
Agija Elerte '26 [7-11]		 Mary Mann '23 [1-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Olivia Sowa '24 Abby Scudder '24
Wolfpack Isabella Du Plessis '25 Annika Milstien '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Lucia Loosbrock '25 Emma Cole '25
Huskies Eva Ermlich '26 [1-11] Lila Coffman '26 [1-10]
Morgan Termaat '23 [11]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Elizabeth Gildea '24 [1-11] Alivia Markham '23 [1-4, 11]
Isabelle Kanach '25 [5-10]
Monarchs Megan Geith '24 Cadence Goodnight '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Madison Bashaw '24 [1-11] Anna Flynn '25 [1-4, 9-10]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [5-8, 11]
Seahawks Leah Rickard '26 [1-10]
Lily Flack '25 [11]		 Emma Gronda '22 [1-8]
Anna Flynn '25 [9-10]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [11]
Tufts University Tufts University Chloe Holder '23 Annabel De Alessi '25
Jumbos Samantha Jensen '24 [1-4]
Annika Fedde '23 [5-11]		 Lilly Ladd '26 [1-4]
Alessandra Torres '24 [5-6]
Naomi Pedersen '25 [7-11]
Tulane University Tulane University Mia Hanes '24 [1-11] Megan Cassidy '26 [1-4, 7-11]
Essie Clifton '25 [5-6]
Green Wave Lucy Spearman '25 [1-11] Annie Richard '23 [1-2, 7-11]
Ella May Corckran '26 [3-6]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Eva Blauvelt '25 [1-11] Maggie Schuler '25 [1-4, 7-11]
Julia Christie '24 [5-6]
Midshipmen Aubin Hattendorf '24 Catherine Aitken '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Audrey Commerford '25 [1-11] Lilia Hutchins '23 [1-10]
Campbell Mcclellan '26 [11]
Catamounts Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [1-6]
Caitlin Derby '26 [7-11]		 Campbell Mcclellan '26 [1-4]
Alice Thompson '25 [5-6]
Elizabeth Amelotte '24 [7-11]
Washington College Washington College Kennedy Jones '24 Laurel Krause '24
Shoremen Hartley Meyer '25 Shalis Hunt '23

Conditions — 03/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1009.9 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From WNW (295°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1009.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →