Heather Kerns

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded2.11unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)113Fall 2023
Keelboat1.15unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)7Fall 2018

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.99 (fleet 2.79) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) −0.03 ± 0.16
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 38–94 (29%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2024314–29—
Spring 202338–33—
Spring 2022316–32—
1.71.81.922.12.2Spring 2022Spring 2023Spring 2024Seahawk Women's Team Race InterConference (2022-03-26): rating 2.04, fleet rating alone 2.07, offset -0.03; record 4-10 in this boatMAISA Women's Team Race Championship (2022-04-02): rating 1.96, fleet rating alone 2.01, offset -0.06; record 3-11 in this boatSt. Mary's Women's Team Race (2023-03-11): rating 1.93, fleet rating alone 2.00, offset -0.07; record 0-11 in this boatFinger Lakes Women's Team Race (2023-04-01): rating 1.88, fleet rating alone 1.98, offset -0.10; record 4-8 in this boatMAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship (2023-04-15): rating 1.87, fleet rating alone 1.94, offset -0.07; record 4-14 in this boatJen Harris Women's Team Race (2024-03-09): rating 1.78, fleet rating alone 1.88, offset -0.10; record 1-10 in this boatSeahawk Women's Team Race (2024-03-23): rating 1.80, fleet rating alone 1.90, offset -0.10; record 7-11 in this boatMAISA Women's Team Race Championships (2024-04-13): rating 1.83, fleet rating alone 1.91, offset -0.08; record 6-8 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 9 graded regattas (132 matches) the record is 38–94 against 42.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.9). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 6 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-04-13MAISA Women's Team Race Championshipsskipper2.382.956–84.6+0.570.628%
2024-03-23Seahawk Women's Team Raceskipper2.232.957–114.9+0.721.116%
2024-03-09Jen Harris Women's Team Raceskipper2.250.801–102.5−1.451.497%
2023-04-15MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championshipskipper2.291.744–145.6−0.550.688%
2023-04-01Finger Lakes Women's Team Raceskipper2.293.224–82.1+0.941.414%
2023-03-11St. Mary's Women's Team Raceskipper2.38-0.620–111.5≤−3.002.4>99%
2022-04-02MAISA Women's Team Race Championshipskipper2.381.533–115.3−0.851.395%
2022-03-26Seahawk Women's Team Race InterConferenceskipper2.471.844–105.6−0.630.790%
2022-03-05Navy Team Race Inviteskipper2.402.009–1110.8−0.400.586%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Western Women’s National Semi-finals Women's Skipper A 11 12.7 2.38
St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's Skipper A 14 7.4 2.92
Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 18 39% —
MAISA Women's Team Race Championships Women's Skipper TR 14 43% —
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Skipper A 9 5.6 3.08
Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 11 9% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Yale Women's Regatta Women's Skipper A 12 12.4 2.54
Seneca Showdown Skipper A 6 8.3 2.92
MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championship Women's Skipper A 14 7.9 2.29
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 9.0 2.32
Atlantic Coast Women's Championships Round 1B Women's Skipper A 12 11.1 2.56
Spring 2023 Team page Season
St. Mary's Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 11 0% —
College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's Skipper A 8 9.9 3.15
Navy Women's Spring Fleet Race Women's Skipper A 11 7.0 3.51
MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship Women's Skipper TR 18 22% —
MAISA Women's Dinghy Championships Women's Skipper A 14 7.6 2.46
Finger Lakes Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 12 33% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championship, Finals Women's Skipper A 9 14.8 2.36
Women's ACC Series, Round 1A Women's Skipper A 14 9.6 3.08
Top 9/Women's Susan Rogers '75 Memorial Regatta Women's Skipper A 12 6.0 2.51
Seneca Showdown Skipper A 10 4.1 3.77
Janet Lutz Trophy Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 9.9 2.69
MAISA Fall Women's Women's Skipper A 11 5.6 3.14
Kings Point Women's Women's Skipper A 8 6.6 -0.17
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 6.8 2.71
Spring 2022 Team page Season
St. Mary's College Women's Interconference Women's Skipper B 10 6.1 3.46
Seahawk Women's Team Race InterConference Women's Skipper TR 14 29% —
College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's Skipper B 13 6.5 3.57
Navy Team Race Invite Skipper TR 20 45% —
MAISA Women's Team Race Championship Women's Skipper TR 14 21% —
MAISA Spring Women's Championship Women's Skipper B 14 5.4 2.98
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's Skipper B 12 8.7 2.79
College Sailing Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 10.0 2.64
Oyster Bowl - Spat Skipper A 12 2.7 3.43
MAISA Fall Women's Women's Skipper A 4 8.0 2.21
Intrepid Trophy - MAISA Match Race Keelboat Crew A 1 6.0 —
Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded Skipper A 14 4.3 2.97
David Lee Arnoff Trophy Skipper A 12 7.4 2.93

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ISSA Heather Kerns Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →