MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship

Women's
HostHobart & William
Date03/30/2024
TypeConference Championship
Boat420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Cornell University	Big Red	34	33	67
2	University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	53	27	80
3	Georgetown University	Hoyas	28	53	81
4	Fordham University	Rams	68	52	120
5	U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	55	68	123
6	Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	66	70	136
7	George Washington University	Revolutionaries	49	95	144
8	Old Dominion University	Monarchs	88	60	148
9	U. S. Merchant Marine Academy	Mariners	83	86	169
10	Christopher Newport University	Captains	111	70	181
11	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Seahawks	92	92	184
12	Princeton University	Tigers	100	119	219
13	Washington College	Shoremen	107	141	248
14	SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	128	123	251
15	Queen's University	Gaels	159 MRP	131 MRP	290 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Georgetown University	Hoyas	1	1	2	2	1	3	6	3	2	7	28	Piper Holthus '25 [1-10] Lucy Jervis '27 [1-2] Audrey Fung '24 [3-10]
Cornell University	Big Red	2	2	3	1	5	5	8	1	3	4	34	Bridget Green '25 Sophia Mulvania '26
George Washington University	Revolutionaries	11	6	5	4	6	1	5	7	1	3	49	Avery Canavan '25 [1-10] Alexandra Lee '25 [1-2] Annabelle O'Bryan '24 [3-10]
University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	3	7	1	6	3	11	1	6	5	10	53	Torrey Chisari '24 Kiki Bruzzi '25
U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	9	4	4	9	4	9	2	8	4	2	55	Eva Blauvelt '25 Mary Dwyer '27
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	4	OCS	9	13	2	8	3	2	8	1	66	Heather Kerns '24 Stella Kim '27
Fordham University	Rams	7	3	7	7	13	6	9	4	6	6	68	Elizabeth Cutler '24 Ashley Abboud '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy	Mariners	13	9	13	5	8	12	4	5	9	5	83	Annika Vanderhorst '27 Grace Jenkins '27
Old Dominion University	Monarchs	8	5	6	3	7	15	7	12	13	12	88	Elizabeth Gildea '24 Cadence Goodnight '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland	Seahawks	5	8	8	12	11	7	10	10	12	9	92	Cho-Cho Williams '26 [1-10] Grace Phillips '27 [1-2] Emily Shioutakon '26 [3-10]
Princeton University	Tigers	6	13	15	11	10	2	13	9	10	11	100	Carly Mraz '25 Virginia Cobbs '25
Washington College	Shoremen	14	10	11	8	12	14	12	11	7	8	107	Kennedy Jones '24 Rachel Morgen '26
Christopher Newport University	Captains	10	14	12	10	9	4	11	13	14	14	111	Grace Watlington '26 Gail Schneider '25
SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	12	12	10	14	14	13	15	14	11	13	128	Eva Leggett '24 Kaitlyn Scarcella '27
Queen's University	Gaels	15	11	14	15	15	10	14	15	15	15	159 MRP	Elle Pirie '27 [1-10] Clea Yates '26 [1-6, 8-10] Sophie Carter '22 [7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
University of Pennsylvania	Quakers	8	6	1	1	3	2	3	1	1	1	27	Madeleine Rice '24 [1-2] Sofia Segalla '25 [3-10] Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [1-2] Hannah Bast '25 [3-10]
Cornell University	Big Red	1	3	2	3	10	1	2	2	4	5	33	Sophia Devling '26 Amelia Neumann '25
Fordham University	Rams	3	1	7	11	5	8	1	5	7	4	52	Lizzie Cochran '27 Rebecca Keller '25
Georgetown University	Hoyas	7	4	3	2	1	9	5	9	2	11	53	Kelly Bates '26 Margot Gordon '26
Old Dominion University	Monarchs	4	2	5	6	6	10	4	10	5	8	60	Gianna Dewey '27 [1-6] Megan Geith '24 [7-10] Kristin Johnson '26 [1-2] Allison Volk '25 [3-10]
U. S. Naval Academy	Midshipmen	2	5	9	5	9	3	7	8	13	7	68	Ava Farley '26 [1-10] Josephine Sherry '27 [1-2] Linnea Forsberg '25 [3-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Statesmen	5	8	4	7	4	6	8	14	11	3	70	Elizabeth Starck '25 Ella Donaldson '27
Christopher Newport University	Captains	6	14	6	4	2	7	11	4	14	2	70	Laura Smith '26 Ellie Mcfall '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy	Mariners	9	7	12	12	11	5	13	3	8	6	86	Katherine Mason '27 Madison Monkevich '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland	Seahawks	11	11	10	8	8	11	6	6	12	9	92	Lina Carper '27 Lillian Newman '25
George Washington University	Revolutionaries	10	10	8	9	12	4	12	12	6	12	95	Eva Wieting '26 [1-10] Genevieve Mumma '24 [1-4, 7-10] Alexandra Lee '25 [5-6]
Princeton University	Tigers	13	13	11	10	13	12	15	7	10	15	119	Evelyn Walsh '26 Kate Feiner '26
SUNY Maritime College	Privateers	14	15	15	13	7	14	10	13	9	13	123	Isabelle Gautier '26 [1-10] Ian Guzman '27 [1-8] Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [9-10]
Queen's University	Gaels	12	12	13	14	14	13	9	11	3	10	131 MRP	Defne Melikoglu '27 [1-5, 7-10] Charlie Ambler '21 [6] Maxine Haywood '26 [1-5, 7-10]
Washington College	Shoremen	15	9	14	15	15	15	14	15	15	14	141	Laurel Krause '24 [1-10] Nora Beebe '26 [1-8] Rachel Morgen '26 [9-10]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Christopher Newport University Captains	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Cornell University Big Red	2	2	16	16	14	14	12	12	10	10
Fordham University Rams	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
George Washington University Revolutionaries	4	4	2	2	16	16	14	14	12	12
Georgetown University Hoyas	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen	6	6	4	4	2	2	16	16	14	14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners	12	12	10	10	8	8	6	6	4	4
U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen	13	13	15	15	1	1	3	3	5	5
SUNY Maritime College Privateers	10	10	8	8	6	6	4	4	2	2
Old Dominion University Monarchs	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
University of Pennsylvania Quakers	14	14	12	12	10	10	8	8	6	6
Princeton University Tigers	8	8	6	6	4	4	2	2	16	16
Queen's University Gaels	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	1	1
St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks	11	11	13	13	15	15	1	1	3	3
Washington College Shoremen	15	15	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Christopher Newport University Captains	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Cornell University Big Red	1	1	15	15	13	13	11	11	9	9
Fordham University Rams	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
George Washington University Revolutionaries	3	3	1	1	15	15	13	13	11	11
Georgetown University Hoyas	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen	5	5	3	3	1	1	15	15	13	13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners	11	11	9	9	7	7	5	5	3	3
U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen	14	14	16	16	2	2	4	4	6	6
SUNY Maritime College Privateers	9	9	7	7	5	5	3	3	1	1
Old Dominion University Monarchs	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
University of Pennsylvania Quakers	13	13	11	11	9	9	7	7	5	5
Princeton University Tigers	7	7	5	5	3	3	1	1	15	15
Queen's University Gaels	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16	2	2
St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks	12	12	14	14	16	16	2	2	4	4
Washington College Shoremen	16	16	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Christopher Newport University	Grace Watlington '26	Gail Schneider '25
Captains	Laura Smith '26	Ellie Mcfall '24
Cornell University	Bridget Green '25	Sophia Mulvania '26
Big Red	Sophia Devling '26	Amelia Neumann '25
Fordham University	Elizabeth Cutler '24	Ashley Abboud '26
Rams	Lizzie Cochran '27	Rebecca Keller '25
George Washington University	Avery Canavan '25 [1-10]	Alexandra Lee '25 [1-2] Annabelle O'Bryan '24 [3-10]
Revolutionaries	Eva Wieting '26 [1-10]	Genevieve Mumma '24 [1-4, 7-10] Alexandra Lee '25 [5-6]
Georgetown University	Piper Holthus '25 [1-10]	Lucy Jervis '27 [1-2] Audrey Fung '24 [3-10]
Hoyas	Kelly Bates '26	Margot Gordon '26
Hobart and William Smith Colleges	Heather Kerns '24	Stella Kim '27
Statesmen	Elizabeth Starck '25	Ella Donaldson '27
Old Dominion University	Elizabeth Gildea '24	Cadence Goodnight '26
Monarchs	Gianna Dewey '27 [1-6] Megan Geith '24 [7-10]	Kristin Johnson '26 [1-2] Allison Volk '25 [3-10]
Princeton University	Carly Mraz '25	Virginia Cobbs '25
Tigers	Evelyn Walsh '26	Kate Feiner '26
Queen's University	Elle Pirie '27 [1-10]	Clea Yates '26 [1-6, 8-10] Sophie Carter '22 [7]
Gaels	Defne Melikoglu '27 [1-5, 7-10] Charlie Ambler '21 [6]	Maxine Haywood '26 [1-5, 7-10]
SUNY Maritime College	Eva Leggett '24	Kaitlyn Scarcella '27
Privateers	Isabelle Gautier '26 [1-10]	Ian Guzman '27 [1-8] Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [9-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland	Cho-Cho Williams '26 [1-10]	Grace Phillips '27 [1-2] Emily Shioutakon '26 [3-10]
Seahawks	Lina Carper '27	Lillian Newman '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy	Annika Vanderhorst '27	Grace Jenkins '27
Mariners	Katherine Mason '27	Madison Monkevich '27
U. S. Naval Academy	Eva Blauvelt '25	Mary Dwyer '27
Midshipmen	Ava Farley '26 [1-10]	Josephine Sherry '27 [1-2] Linnea Forsberg '25 [3-10]
University of Pennsylvania	Torrey Chisari '24	Kiki Bruzzi '25
Quakers	Madeleine Rice '24 [1-2] Sofia Segalla '25 [3-10]	Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [1-2] Hannah Bast '25 [3-10]
Washington College	Kennedy Jones '24	Rachel Morgen '26
Shoremen	Laurel Krause '24 [1-10]	Nora Beebe '26 [1-8] Rachel Morgen '26 [9-10]

Conditions — 03/30/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 54% · Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

44°F

↑ 50°F ↓ 31°F

Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

5.6 kn

avg · max 9.6 kn

Gusts to 19.6 kn

From NW (309°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1010.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn · NW 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Hobart & William: a favourites’ day (+0.03)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03

Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.36 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Hobart & William, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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