Lillian Newman

Crew Rating

Career: 16.56 percentile of ICSA crews
1.251.501.752.002.25C. Williams (17 races): -0.22C. WilliamsN. Jensen (11 races): +0.19N. JensenL. Cormie (8 races): -0.18H. Haddon (4 races): -0.05Fall 2023: rating 1.81Fall 2023St. Mary's College of MarylandL. Carper (30 races): -0.04L. CarperSpring 2024: rating 1.71Spring 2024St. Mary's College of MarylandJ. Marynowski (14 races): -0.48J. MarynowskiL. Carper (46 races): +0.28L. CarperS. Opert (6 races): +0.03Fall 2024: rating 1.75Fall 2024St. Mary's College of MarylandL. Carper (26 races): +0.01L. CarperSpring 2025: rating 1.72Spring 2025St. Mary's College of Maryland
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2025 St. Mary's College of Maryland 1.72 Rating 1.72; 90% range -0.6 to 4.1; team skipper average 3.08 56.96 20.83 10 of 12 26 Team page
Fall 2024 St. Mary's College of Maryland 1.75 Rating 1.75; 90% range -0.6 to 4.1; team skipper average 3.01 58.76 17.86 12 of 14 66 Team page
Spring 2024 St. Mary's College of Maryland 1.71 Rating 1.71; 90% range -0.6 to 4.0; team skipper average 2.89 56.12 29.17 9 of 12 30 Team page
Fall 2023 St. Mary's College of Maryland 1.81 Rating 1.81; 90% range -0.6 to 4.2; team skipper average 2.73 56.86 23.33 12 of 15 40 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.46 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 34–32 (52%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20251—6–6
Spring 20242—4–14
Spring 20232—24–12

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 5 graded regattas (66 matches) the record is 34–32 against 33.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.6). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-03-01Navy Team Race Invitiationalcrew1.912.966–63.7+1.061.810%
2024-03-23Seahawk Women's Team Racecrew1.85-1.150–40.3≤−3.000.5>99%
2024-03-02ODU Women's Team Racecrew1.621.794–103.7+0.170.054%
2023-03-18Washington College Team Racecrew1.821.2813–814.5−0.550.689%
2023-03-04Tom Noble Team Racecrew1.961.8911–411.1−0.070.070%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Women's Eastern National Semi Finals Women's Crew B 1 17.0 -0.19
St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's Crew B 12 9.0 -0.09
Owen Trophy Crew B 1 7.0 +0.04
Navy Team Race Invitiational Crew TR 12 50% —
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Crew B 6 6.8 -0.03
Emily Wick Women's Crew B 2 4.5 +0.07
CNU Women's Women's Crew B 4 1.2 +0.20
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's Crew B 11 5.6 +0.16
Women's ACC Round 1A Women's Crew B 8 10.1 +0.08
Riley Cup Crew B 6 8.2 +0.03
MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's Crew B 11 7.4 +0.01
MAISA Top 9 Women's Women's Crew B 16 11.6 +0.03
Chesapeake Open Crew B 14 13.6 -0.48
Spring 2024 Team page Season
St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's Crew B 14 6.9 +0.10
Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's Crew TR 18 22% —
ODU Women's Team Race Women's Crew TR 14 29% —
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Crew B 10 9.2 -0.22
CNU Women's Women's Crew B 6 2.8 +0.08
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Washington College Fall Crew B 11 2.4 +0.19
Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta Crew A 8 8.6 -0.18
Riley Cup Crew B 4 7.5 -0.05
Oyster Bowl Women's Women's Crew A 17 11.2 -0.22
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Washington College Team Race Crew TR 21 62% —
Tom Noble Team Race Crew TR 15 73% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Washington College Fall Open Crew B 9 3.8 —
Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta Crew A 8 9.2 —
Oyster Bowl Women's Women's Crew B 9 11.8 —
Navy Women's Women's Crew B 9 7.2 —
Spring 2022 Team page Season
GW Invite Crew B 14 12.9 —
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Washington College Fall Crew A 9 3.8 —
Oyster Bowl - Spat Crew A 12 1.8 —

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →