Oyster Bowl Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 52
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 90
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 138
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 149
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 167
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 176
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 209
8 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 244
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 1 10 3 1 2 1 1 1 3 23 Sofia Segalla '25
Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 5 2 6 2 1 2 4 3 4 29 Torrey Chisari '24
Ella Marsden '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 2 14 1 6 5 5 5 4 2 44 Piper Holthus '25
Louisa Buckingham '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 3 1 5 3 15 3 7 8 1 46 Riley Kloc '23
Addi Harris '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 6 4 11 12 10 9 2 2 8 64 Elizabeth Gildea '24
Isabelle Kanach '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 13 7 8 4 13 7 3 5 6 66 Kelly Bates '26 [1-9]
Grace Flanagan '23 [1-6]
Rebekah Morrison '23 [7-9]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 B 9 12 2 5 6 4 9 6 14 67 Leah Rickard '26
Emma Gronda '22
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 A 4 9 4 9 4 6 12 10 13 71 Madison Bashaw '24
Anna Flynn '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 7 11 13 10 3 11 10 7 7 79 Aubin Hattendorf '24
Darby Graham '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 8 3 10 8 9 8 13 14 12 85 Allison Volk '25
Alivia Markham '23
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 10 15 7 16 7 10 6 15 11 97 Isabella Fadullon '25
Elizabeth Linsdell '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 12 16 12 14 11 14 8 9 5 101 Alexa Shea '26 [1-9]
Rebekah Morrison '23 [1-6]
Grace Flanagan '23 [7-9]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 A RAF 13 9 7 12 13 11 12 9 103 Lily Flack '25
Rachel O'Neill '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 B 11 6 15 13 8 12 15 11 15 106 Cho-Cho Williams '26
Lillian Newman '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 14 5 14 15 16 16 14 16 10 120 Grace Watlington '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 15 8 16 11 14 15 16 13 16 124 Laura Smith '26
Grace Keene '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111122223
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 12222111116
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2333344445
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen777788889
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs444433332
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers888877776
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1555566667
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2666655554

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains99991010101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11010101099998
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2111111111212121213
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151515161616161
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121212121111111110
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161616161515151514
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1131313131414141415
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2141414141313131312

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From W (268°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn* · S 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →