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Washington College Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 20 13 33
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 33 41 74
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 48 34 82
4 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 45 45 90
5 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 63 36 99
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 53 56 109
7 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 45 68 113
8 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 57 60 117
9 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 84 77 161
10 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 89 86 175
11 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 101 112 213
12 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 104 109 213
13 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 101 118 219
14 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 107 114 221
15 St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 121 113 234
16 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 153 153 306
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 2 4 2 1 4 1 4 1 1 20 Jack Welburn '26
Linnea Forsberg '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 5 5 2 1 8 3 BKD 2 33 Robert Ziman '25
Alexander Brenia '26
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 1 2 6 3 7 3 12 6 5 45 Jedidiah Bechtel '26
Ella Adelman '26
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 1 7 4 2 4 2 10 9 45 Jonathan Kelly '23
Shalis Hunt '23
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 6 3 6 3 2 DNS 2 4 48 Jonathan Weed '26
Shannon Brecher '26
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 9 9 1 10 5 10 1 5 3 53 Asher Green '24
Tacy Guest '26
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 3 4 8 6 13 9 4 6 57 Iain Shand '24 [1-9]
Charlotte Shaw '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 10 7 8 5 8 5 5 3 12 63 Can Dilikoglu '23
Mateo Manzanares '23
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 12 15 11 11 9 6 6 7 7 84 Bryan Lawrence '24 [1-9]
Robert Rubin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Hali Liu '25 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 8 8 9 12 10 9 11 12 10 89 Pearce Bragaw '23 [1-9]
Ian Kaplan '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brad Daugherty '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 7 11 14 15 11 14 13 8 8 101 Henry Powell '26
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 11 13 12 7 12 12 8 13 13 101 Anish Jayewardene '24
Sophia Rosahl '23
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 13 12 13 13 14 7 10 11 11 104 Luke Plecinoga '25 [1-9]
Mary Geise '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
William Crabtree '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 14 14 10 14 13 11 7 9 15 107 Patrick Cashin '24
Joseph Bitterman '25
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 15 10 15 9 15 15 14 14 14 121 Brooke Murphy-Petri '23 [1-5, 7-9]
Jonah Donis '23 [6]
Reagan Bottomley '26 [1-3, 5, 7-9]
Madelyn Minor '24 [4, 6]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 153
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 3 13 Tanner Kelly '25
Hunter Anderson '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 3 6 4 1 7 2 6 1 34 Cho-Cho Williams '26
Lillian Newman '25
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 5 4 2 1 6 9 3 4 2 36 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 2 7 3 8 8 4 2 4 41 Jonah Hatt '23
Margo Cicero '26
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 2 5 4 7 4 3 6 9 5 45 Tryg Van Wyk '26
Sylvia Fresco '23
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 7 9 BKD 10 3 2 5 8 6 56 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-9]
Ellen Toberman '25 [1-6]
Skylor Wong '26 [7-9]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 8 7 9 6 7 4 7 5 7 60 Kieran Elliott '26
Caitlin Rosner '27
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 8 8 5 5 5 DSQ 3 11 68 Hartley Meyer '25
Andrew Tran '23
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 9 6 5 9 9 6 11 10 12 77 Richard Kertatos '26 [1-6]
Robert Rubin '23 [7-9]
Kaitlyn Greppin '26 [1-6]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 13 10 3 8 14 13 9 7 9 86 Tamryn Whyte '23 [1-2]
David Berson '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Evan Walter '23 [5-6]
Elizabeth Barile '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Logan Devaric '25 [3-6, 9]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 15 11 12 13 12 15 10 13 8 109 Clare Leeper '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Caroline Fortier '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Amelia Dunat '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Jackson Martin '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 11 15 11 11 DNS 14 8 11 14 112 Robert Chapman '24 [1-9]
Ralph Molinari '24 [1-4, 6-9]
Ajita Nair '23 [5]
St. John's College St. John's College Johnnies 10 13 DNF 14 11 11 12 12 13 113 Kaleth Cushman '26 [1, 3, 5-9]
Henry Stockman '26 [2]
Alexander Macaulay '24 [4]
Madelyn Minor '24 [1, 3, 5-9]
Kaleth Cushman '26 [2]
Ian O'Donnell '26 [4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 14 14 10 12 10 10 14 15 15 114 Daniel Dickson '23
Isabella Hughes '24
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 12 12 DNF 15 13 12 13 14 10 118
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 153
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1313151511335
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons113355779
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue2216161414121210
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates3355779911
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds44221616141412
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers1414121210108818
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks557799111113
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1111113131515113
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21212101088664
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 1664422161614
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 277991111131315
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights8866442216
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies991111131315151
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10108866442
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats15151133557
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen16161414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens14141616224418
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2244668810
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue111515131311119
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates446688101012
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds33111515131311
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers1313111199775
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks66881010121214
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1121214141616224
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 211119977553
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 1553311151513
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 28810101212141416
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights7755331115
St. John's CollegeSt. John's College Johnnies10101212141416162
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks997755331
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1616224418188
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151513131111997
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Iain Shand '24 [1-9] Charlotte Shaw '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Dragons Kieran Elliott '26 Caitlin Rosner '27
George Washington University George Washington University Jedidiah Bechtel '26 Ella Adelman '26
Buff and Blue Tryg Van Wyk '26 Sylvia Fresco '23
Hampton University Hampton University Can Dilikoglu '23 Mateo Manzanares '23
Pirates Stefano Palamara '25 Tommaso Ciaglia '25
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Luke Plecinoga '25 [1-9] Mary Geise '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
William Crabtree '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Greyhounds Clare Leeper '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Caroline Fortier '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Amelia Dunat '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Jackson Martin '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Patrick Cashin '24 Joseph Bitterman '25
Hawks Daniel Dickson '23 Isabella Hughes '24
Princeton University Princeton University Bryan Lawrence '24 [1-9] Robert Rubin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Hali Liu '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Tigers 1 Richard Kertatos '26 [1-6]
Robert Rubin '23 [7-9]		 Kaitlyn Greppin '26 [1-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Asher Green '24 Tacy Guest '26
Tigers 2 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-9] Ellen Toberman '25 [1-6]
Skylor Wong '26 [7-9]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Anish Jayewardene '24 Sophia Rosahl '23
Scarlet Knights Robert Chapman '24 [1-9] Ralph Molinari '24 [1-4, 6-9]
Ajita Nair '23 [5]
St. John's College St. John's College Brooke Murphy-Petri '23 [1-5, 7-9]
Jonah Donis '23 [6]		 Reagan Bottomley '26 [1-3, 5, 7-9]
Madelyn Minor '24 [4, 6]
Johnnies Kaleth Cushman '26 [1, 3, 5-9]
Henry Stockman '26 [2]
Alexander Macaulay '24 [4]		 Madelyn Minor '24 [1, 3, 5-9]
Kaleth Cushman '26 [2]
Ian O'Donnell '26 [4]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Jonathan Weed '26 Shannon Brecher '26
Seahawks Cho-Cho Williams '26 Lillian Newman '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jack Welburn '26 Linnea Forsberg '25
Midshipmen 1 Tanner Kelly '25 Hunter Anderson '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Robert Ziman '25 Alexander Brenia '26
Midshipmen 2 Jonah Hatt '23 Margo Cicero '26
University of Delaware University of Delaware Pearce Bragaw '23 [1-9] Ian Kaplan '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brad Daugherty '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Blue Hens Tamryn Whyte '23 [1-2]
David Berson '26 [3-4, 7-9]
Evan Walter '23 [5-6]		 Elizabeth Barile '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Logan Devaric '25 [3-6, 9]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Henry Powell '26
Retrievers
Washington College Washington College Jonathan Kelly '23 Shalis Hunt '23
Shoremen Hartley Meyer '25 Andrew Tran '23

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington College: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Washington College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →