CNU Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 89
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 96
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 142
4 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 197
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 204
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 209
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 1 1 3 3 4 1 1 7 5 1 12 2 41 Cho-Cho Williams '26 [1-12]
Emily Shioutakon '26 [1-6, 9-12]
Grace Phillips '27 [7-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 8 6 5 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 7 42 Laura Smith '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 2 10 1 4 7 7 4 6 2 3 1 1 48 Lily Flack '25 [1-6]
Lina Carper '27 [7-12]
Mary Catherine Hill '27 [1-6]
Lillian Newman '25 [7-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 4 5 6 1 1 10 9 2 4 4 4 4 54 Grace Watlington '26
Gail Schneider '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 3 2 9 5 3 2 7 11 3 8 6 5 64 Olivia Gilmore '27
Isabelle Kanach '25
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 9 8 8 9 6 4 5 8 6 5 2 3 73 Carly Mraz '25
Virginia Cobbs '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 6 4 4 11 9 5 10 5 7 6 5 6 78 Emma Friedauer '26
Kailyn Irving '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 5 3 2 6 12 11 6 9 11 11 10 11 97 Arantxa Argibay '27
Eva Klovatskiy '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 7 11 10 DSQ 5 6 3 3 9 10 11 12 100 Annika Milstien '25
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 10 9 7 7 10 8 12 4 10 9 9 9 104 Maddison Carew '27
Julia Boutet '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 11 12 11 8 11 9 8 10 8 7 7 10 112 Olivia Campmany '25
Briana Hummel '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 12 7 12 10 8 12 11 12 12 12 8 8 124 Evelyn Walsh '26 [1-8]
Bracklinn Williams '25 [9-12]
Kate Feiner '26 [1-8]
Tacy Guest '26 [9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233556677
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes778899101011111212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack223355667788
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs335566778899
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55667788991010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks6677889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains88991010111112121313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes13131122335566
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack99101011111212131311
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs10101111121213131122
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers111112121313112233
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212131311223355

Conditions — 03/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1011.6 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.0 kn
avg  ·  max 18.9 kn
Gusts to 32.9 kn
From SE (137°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1011.6 hPa Rain0.45 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →