Princeton University '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 (fleet 0.99) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 4–8 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–5 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 4–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 4–8 against 4.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Washington College Team Race | skipper | 0.53 | -2.47 | 0–5 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.7 | >99% |
| 2024-03-02 | Tom Noble Open Team Race | skipper | 0.00 | -0.02 | 4–3 | 4.0 | −0.02 | 0.0 | 68% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 11.9 | 0.14 |
| Hanbury Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.1 | -1.96 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.6 | 0.89 |
| Drexel Open | Skipper | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.0 | -1.99 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 15.8 | 0.08 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.1 | 0.14 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 7.7 | 1.25 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl | Skipper | B | 8 | 16.2 | — |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 0% | — |
| Seawolf Women's Open Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.7 | 0.80 |
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 12.7 | 0.33 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 15.8 | -1.95 |
| Washington College Fall Open | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.9 | 0.37 |
| Tiger Women's Open Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.2 | 0.96 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 11.3 | 1.11 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Noble Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.9 | 0.60 |
| CNU Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.5 | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regatta at KP Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.7 | — |
| McCurdy Memorial | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.4 | 0.53 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.2 | -0.80 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Ocean County Spring Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.0 | -1.72 |
| MAISA Women's Dinghy Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 13.2 | -1.09 |
| Delaware River Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.5 | -0.69 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Princeton Fall Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.1 | -0.89 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
