Seawolf Women's Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 9 21
2 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 16 28
3 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 13 29 42
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 25 17 42
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 29 20 49
6 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 35 35 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 2 3 1 3 2 12 Carly Mraz '25
Virginia Cobbs '25
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 1 1 2 2 4 12 Elizabeth Frost '27
Tara Sangal '26
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 3 3 2 3 1 1 13 Sophie Grigg '28
Carmen Benitez '27
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 5 4 4 4 3 25 Olivia Coffill '28
Mia Graziano '27
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 4 5 6 5 5 29 Sophia Dimont '27
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 6 6 6 5 6 6 35 Julia Marich '28
Jeanette Herencia '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 1 1 2 1 2 9 Eva Decastro '28
Amelia Thomas '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 2 2 4 2 3 16 Evelyn Walsh '26
Kaitlyn Greppin '26
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 1 3 3 3 3 4 17 Anna Servidio '26
Savannah Mcmullen '26
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 4 5 1 4 1 20 Alexandra Leen '28
Ella Musso '26
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 4 5 4 5 5 6 29 Lara Nielsen '28 [1-3]
Caroline Fuller '28 [4-6]
Caroline Fuller '28 [1-3]
Linnea Wurdack '28 [4-6]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 6 6 6 6 6 5 35 Cheyenne Fair '25
Kathryn Marshall '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions111333
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens555111
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps666222
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks222444
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers333555
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves444666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions222444
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens666222
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps111333
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks333555
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers444666
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves555111

Conditions — 03/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 998.5 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 36.5 kn
From SW (218°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity61% Pressure998.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · NW 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →