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Women's Regatta at KP Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 77
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 88
3 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 105
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 116
5 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 118
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 177
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 192
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 3 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 24 Adra Ivancich '26
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 2 3 2 1 11 2 4 2 27 Gilda Dondona '28
Kathleen Keller '28
Columbia University Columbia University Lions B 13 5 3 2 2 1 2 10 38 Eva Decastro '28
Amelia Thomas '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 10 12 10 4 6 4 1 3 50 Ava Gustafson '28
Hope Campbell '28
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 14 8 5 6 8 6 7 1 55 Annika Vanderhorst '27
Haylie Dawson '29
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 4 4 6 9 12 10 8 4 57 Sabrina Starck '28
Olivia Wilkins '28
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 1 7 9 14 9 8 6 7 61 Deana Fedulova '28
Reilly Roedel '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 5 9 14 13 4 7 3 6 61 Katherine Mason '27
Hanna Sophia Dornik '28
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 8 10 4 5 1 12 12 12 64 Esme Gonzalez '28
Janet Fu '27
Columbia University Columbia University Lions A 6 2 11 7 13 9 11 8 67 Elizabeth Frost '27 [1-8]
Stella Manyan '27 [1-4]
Wren Greeley-Havard '28 [5-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 11 13 8 8 5 5 13 9 72 Anna Robertson '28
Nora Donahue '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 7 14 12 10 14 11 9 11 88 Evelyn Walsh '26
Skyler Marnik '29
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 12 6 15 12 10 15 10 14 94 Nikita Troast '29
Amelia Tebbens '29
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 15 11 13 11 7 14 14 13 98 Nicole Ostapowicz '28
Grace Wilson '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 9 15 7 16 15 13 15 15 105 Isabela Hillmann '27
Alana Shigekane '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 16 16 16 15 16 16 16 16 127 Ella Gonzalez '28
Ella Miner '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11223344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221116161515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33445566
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen44332211
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7788991010
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers66554433
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers88776655
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55667788

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions99101011111212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1010998877
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1111121213131414
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen12121111101099
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners151516161122
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1414131312121111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616151514141313
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1313141415151616

Conditions — 09/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1013.5 hPa Rain0.35 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →